Newcastle v Manchester United prediction

Premier League · Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newcastle · Manchester United · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Manchester United, Premier League on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newcastle host Manchester United in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Newcastle have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Newcastle have scored 13 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Newcastle have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Manchester United have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.00. Manchester United have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Manchester United have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Newcastle are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Newcastle (12th) and Manchester United (18th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Newcastle the stronger side, 8 rating points above Manchester United (Newcastle 1534, Manchester United 1526, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Newcastle 2–1 Manchester United.

Team news

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, L. Hall, A. Dedić, D. Burn, M. Thiaw, H. Barnes, N. González, J. Willock, J. Murphy, Joelinton, W. Osula — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1462 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1087 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): S. Lammens, D. Dalot, L. Yoro, H. Maguire, A. Heaven, B. Fernandes, A. Diallo, M. Cunha, Y. Tielemans, K. Mainoo, B. Mbeumo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bruno Fernandes (4.6 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and two assists) and Matheus Cunha (3.9 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Manchester United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bruno Fernandes averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 2101 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matheus Cunha averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1336 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT · Premier League
Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 4 · draws 0 · Manchester United 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Newcastle 1W 1D 3L · Manchester United 1W 1D 3L

Newcastle v Manchester United (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.88 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.88

Corners

against 4.75 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 3.38

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Newcastle for / against	Line	Manchester United for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Horníček	12	901080 min	413.4 /90	131.1 /90	00 /90
E. Jaouen	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 8	90	3.1 8/5

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lewis Hall	13	901169 min	282.2 /90	241.8 /90	110.8 /90	816.2 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Dedić	11	77850 min	161.7 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90	373.9 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
S. Botman	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	91 /90	596.6 /90	30.3 /90	20.2 /90
M. Thiaw	9	89805 min	20.2 /90	70.8 /90	121.3 /90	374.1 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
F. Schär	5	77384 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	92.1 /90	174 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
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Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.8 4/2	2.3 8/5	—
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.4 3/0	1.1 6/1	—
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.7 2/2	1.3 4/2	—
L. Horníček n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	1.6 5/3	1.2 3/2	—
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Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1.9 7/3
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.8 5/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	1.6 8/1
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0.5 3/0
A. Dedić n 8	72.5	1.4 5/3
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Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Wissa	12	69833 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	272.9 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	101.1 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo	7	49345 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	51.3 /90
W. Osula	6	65387 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
B. Touré	6	30181 min	21 /90	00 /90	63 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	42 /90
N. Woltemade	2	55109 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	21.7 /90
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Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1 5/2	0.6 5/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	2.4 8/7	1.1 6/2
J. Willock n 8	61.8	2 7/4	0.9 4/1
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	3.3 8/5	0.8 4/1
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Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Lammens	14	901260 min	423 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90
K. Darlow	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Diogo Dalot	13	821065 min	272.3 /90	211.8 /90	20.2 /90	726.1 /90	131.1 /90	20.2 /90
H. Maguire	12	861033 min	151.3 /90	191.7 /90	40.3 /90	635.5 /90	100.9 /90	50.4 /90
Lisandro Martínez	11	71778 min	91 /90	80.9 /90	60.7 /90	252.9 /90	111.3 /90	10.1 /90
Leny Yoro	10	78779 min	202.3 /90	242.8 /90	10.1 /90	323.7 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
N. Mazraoui	7	72502 min	142.5 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	244.3 /90	71.3 /90	00 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Mbeumo n 8	88.6	1 5/2	1.1 7/2	—
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Bruno Fernandes n 8	85.6	0.9 3/3	1.1 4/3	—
Y. Tielemans n 8	67.4	1 5/1	2.5 7/5	—
Diogo Dalot n 8	79.6	1 5/2	0.1 1/0	—
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	88.6	0.9 5/2
Bruno Fernandes n 8	85.6	1.1 6/1
Y. Tielemans n 8	67.4	2 6/2
Diogo Dalot n 8	79.6	3 8/6
H. Maguire n 8	84.1	1.7 7/3
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Mbeumo	15	841255 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	271.9 /90	151.1 /90	201.4 /90	110.8 /90
J. Zirkzee	6	24146 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	53.1 /90	31.8 /90	31.8 /90	63.7 /90
Benjamin Šeško	5	39196 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90
S. Lacey	4	31123 min	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	42.9 /90	53.7 /90
Bruno Fernandes	14	821152 min	60.5 /90	20.2 /90	322.5 /90	110.9 /90	372.9 /90	40.3 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	88.6	1.8 8/4	1 6/2
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	85.6	2.6 8/5	0.5 4/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	67.4	1 4/1	0.3 2/0
Diogo Dalot n 8	79.6	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	88.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	85.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	67.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Diogo Dalot n 8	79.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NewcastleLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Manchester UnitedLLLWD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 3 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Newcastle 4 · 0 draws · Manchester United 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-03-04 Newcastle 2–1 Manchester United
2025-12-26 Manchester United 1–0 Newcastle
2025-04-13 Newcastle 4–1 Manchester United
2024-12-30 Manchester United 0–2 Newcastle
2024-05-15 Manchester United 3–2 Newcastle
2023-12-02 Newcastle 1–0 Manchester United

League standing · 2026/27

Newcastle#12 pos12 pts10 pl-3 GD

Manchester United#18 pos8 pts10 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Newcastle scored1.3

Manchester United scored1.4

Newcastle conceded1.6

Manchester United conceded1.9

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Manchester United?: In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 4, Manchester United won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Manchester United?: Recent form — Newcastle 1W 1D 3L; Manchester United 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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