Nottingham ForestBournemouth

Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth result

Full-time · Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth

Premier League · · Wembley Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Bournemouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nottingham Forest: 2.08 to 1.34 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 17, ahead on xG from the 69th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth drew 1–1 at Wembley Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May. Bournemouth have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Nottingham Forest led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Nottingham Forest: Morgan Gibbs-White (34’, assisted by O. Hutchinson); Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (54’, assisted by Adrien Truffert).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marcus Tavernier’s goal on 54 minutes.

Discipline

C. Pawson showed two yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nottingham Forest: Taiwo Awoniyi (66’); Bournemouth: James Hill (33’).

What it changes

Nottingham Forest stay 16th after this result (38 league matches played). Nottingham Forest have scored 48 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Nottingham Forest have conceded 51 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth stay sixth after this result (38 league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bournemouth have conceded 54 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Bournemouth are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth) 10.3, Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth) 9.6 and Tyler Adams (Bournemouth) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nottingham Forest, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Nottingham Forest next host Manchester City on 7 November 2026.

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth · Premier League
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
  • Referee: C. Pawson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 0 · draws 3 · Bournemouth 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nottingham Forest 2W 1D 2L · Bournemouth 3W 2D 0L

Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.75
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.93 yellows
Referee · C. Pawson
21.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNottingham Forest for / againstLineBournemouth for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: C. Pawson — 2.93 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.13 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Sels35893105 min982.8 /90451.3 /9010 /90
S. Ortega990810 min313.4 /90111.2 /9000 /90
John989798 min121.4 /90121.4 /9000 /90
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
3.57/6
S. Ortega n 890
3.67/6
John n 888.5
1.43/1

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Milenković51854344 min440.9 /90400.8 /90410.8 /901813.8 /90340.7 /9060.1 /90
N. Williams50824103 min1292.8 /90561.2 /90210.5 /902786.1 /90370.8 /9070.2 /90
Murillo34802736 min451.5 /90431.4 /90270.9 /90983.2 /90341.1 /9060.2 /90
Morato29802322 min501.9 /90220.9 /90160.6 /901064.1 /90200.8 /9080.3 /90
O. Aina25832065 min411.8 /90361.6 /9040.2 /901114.8 /90160.7 /9030.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Milenković n 876.3
1.25/2
0.32/0
Adrien Truffert
N. Williams n 884.5
0.75/0
1.56/3
M. Senesi
E. Anderson n 884.4
1.77/6
2.38/5
Alex Scott
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.8
0.75/0
0.64/0
Alex Scott
Igor Jesus n 872.1
1.97/3
0.84/1
—
See more players · Pro
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Milenković n 876.3
1.55/3
N. Williams n 884.5
2.97/7
E. Anderson n 884.4
2.18/5
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.8
0.74/1
Igor Jesus n 872.1
1.15/1
See more players · Pro

Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Igor Jesus47653048 min140.4 /9050.1 /90621.8 /90371.1 /90210.6 /90120.4 /90
C. Wood19571081 min50.4 /9000 /90252.1 /90110.9 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
D. Bakwa1845818 min00 /9020.2 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90151.7 /90131.4 /90
T. Awoniyi1138418 min40.9 /9000 /90122.6 /9081.7 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90
A. Kalimuendo846369 min20.5 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Milenković n 876.3
0.11/0
00/0
N. Williams n 884.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. Anderson n 884.4
0.84/1
0.32/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.8
2.26/5
1.35/2
Igor Jesus n 872.1
27/3
1.76/3
See more players · Pro
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Milenković n 876.3
00/0
00/0
N. Williams n 884.5
00/0
0.11/0
E. Anderson n 884.4
0.32/0
0.31/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.8
0.94/1
0.32/0
Igor Jesus n 872.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović38903426 min1062.8 /90511.3 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.37/2

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Adrien Truffert37893290 min962.6 /90471.3 /90100.3 /902025.5 /90381 /9050.1 /90
M. Senesi37883251 min601.7 /90551.5 /90451.2 /901935.3 /90340.9 /9080.2 /90
Álex Jiménez30772320 min682.6 /90271 /90110.4 /901405.4 /90351.4 /9090.3 /90
J. Hill26812106 min391.7 /90351.5 /90150.6 /901747.4 /90140.6 /9040.2 /90
B. Diakité16821305 min201.4 /90120.8 /9050.3 /90604.1 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.94/1
1.16/1
N. Milenković
M. Senesi n 890
14/2
1.37/3
N. Williams
Alex Scott n 889.9
1.55/4
1.55/4
Morgan Gibbs-White
Evanilson n 882.5
1.26/3
1.25/3
—
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
2.17/7
M. Senesi n 890
1.45/3
Alex Scott n 889.9
2.38/5
Evanilson n 882.5
0.73/1
M. Tavernier n 887.8
1.25/3
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson36752716 min60.2 /9010 /90581.9 /90240.8 /90311 /90150.5 /90
A. Adli24461114 min30.2 /9010.1 /90131.1 /9080.6 /90161.3 /9090.7 /90
E. Ünal425101 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Doak23162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
Alex Scott37802954 min30.1 /9010 /90310.9 /90130.4 /90310.9 /90290.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.64/1
0.64/1
M. Senesi n 890
0.43/0
00/0
Alex Scott n 889.9
0.84/2
0.43/0
Evanilson n 882.5
1.97/4
0.42/1
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 19 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Senesi n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Alex Scott n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Evanilson n 882.5
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nottingham ForestBournemouth
45%Possession55%
1.73Expected goals (xG)0.95
15Shots17
5Shots on target4
5Shots off target6
5Blocked shots7
10Shots inside the box6
6Corners3
3Offsides1
11Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves3
396Passes485
78%Pass accuracy84%

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Sels9000000006.2
N. Milenković9000002107.7
Morato9000000107.3
N. Williams9000210206.3
Morgan Gibbs-White9010212007.3
Igor Jesus9000110106.7
O. Hutchinson7801003307.2
I. Sangaré6500000006.7
E. Anderson6500102307.2
Jair6300000005.6
C. Wood6200211006.5
T. Awoniyi sub28001001Y6.5
L. Netz sub2700000006.9
N. Domínguez sub2500000206.5
R. Yates sub2500110207
J. McAtee sub1200000006.5

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović9000000006.6
J. Hill90000000Y6.2
M. Senesi9000000207.7
Adrien Truffert9001003707.7
T. Adams9000100607.2
M. Tavernier9010216107.7
A. Smith8900000107
Rayan7300001006.7
E. Kroupi7300211006.2
Evanilson7300100106.9
A. Tóth5700101006.7
B. Doak sub3300210106.3
J. Kluivert sub1700000006.7
A. Adli sub1700000206.7
E. Ünal sub1700110006.2
L. Cook sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nottingham ForestWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
BournemouthWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nottingham Forest 0 · 3 draws · Bournemouth 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-26 Bournemouth 2–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-01-25 Bournemouth 5–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-08-17 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth
  • 2024-02-04 Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2023-12-23 Nottingham Forest 2–3 Bournemouth
  • 2023-01-21 Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest
League standing · 2025/26
Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD
Bournemouth#6 pos57 pts38 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Nottingham Forest scored1.26
Bournemouth scored1.53
Nottingham Forest conceded1.34
Bournemouth conceded1.42

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nottingham Forest 2.08 xG from 15 shots, Bournemouth 1.34 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Morgan Gibbs-White 75' · 0.62 xGChris Wood 31' · 0.48 xGBen Doak 59' · 0.34 xGTaiwo Awoniyi 69' · 0.19 xGRyan Yates 78' · 0.14 xGNicolás Domínguez 78' · 0.11 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 15' · 0.10 xGJustin Kluivert 85' · 0.09 xGAlex Tóth 5' · 0.08 xGIgor Jesus 28' · 0.08 xGChris Wood 44' · 0.07 xGMarcus Tavernier 11' · 0.07 xGEli Junior Kroupi 27' · 0.07 xGIgor Jesus 3' · 0.07 xGEnes Ünal 90' · 0.07 xGEvanilson 17' · 0.05 xGIgor Jesus 43' · 0.05 xGEli Junior Kroupi 61' · 0.04 xGRayan 57' · 0.04 xGNeco Williams 44' · 0.03 xGEli Junior Kroupi 21' · 0.03 xGNeco Williams 44' · 0.03 xGEli Junior Kroupi 22' · 0.03 xGNeco Williams 31' · 0.02 xGBen Doak 63' · 0.02 xGEli Junior Kroupi 20' · 0.02 xGTyler Adams 9' · 0.02 xGMarcus Tavernier 57' · 0.02 xGEli Junior Kroupi 19' · 0.02 xGElliot Anderson 59' · 0.02 xGMarcus Tavernier 53' · 0.34 xG · goalMorgan Gibbs-White 33' · 0.08 xG · goal
Nottingham Forest (attacking right)Bournemouth (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Nottingham Forest1512.08
Bournemouth1711.34

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 1.01 to 0.39. At full time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 2.08 to 1.34. The widest gap was 0.90 xG to Nottingham Forest, in the 78th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Nottingham Forest 33 minGoal - Bournemouth 53 min
Nottingham Forest 2.08 xGBournemouth 1.34 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 0, Bournemouth won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth?
Recent form — Nottingham Forest 2W 1D 2L; Bournemouth 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+