SunderlandNottingham Forest

Sunderland v Nottingham Forest result

Full-time · Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest

Premier League · · Stadium of Light

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sunderland · Nottingham Forest

The model’s pre-match pick

Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest — Nottingham Forest won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nottingham Forest: 1.56 to 0.62 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 30th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Nottingham Forest won 5–0 at Stadium of Light in the Premier League on Friday 24 April. Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Nottingham Forest led 4–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Sunderland: an own goal by Trai Hume (17’); Nottingham Forest: Christopher Wood (31’, assisted by Morgan Gibbs-White), Morgan Gibbs-White (34’, assisted by Igor Jesus), Igor Jesus (37’) and Elliot Anderson (90’, assisted by Taiwo Awoniyi).

Discipline

D. England showed seven yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sunderland: H. Diarra (51’) and Granit Xhaka (75’); Nottingham Forest: Nicolás Domínguez (51’), Elliot Anderson (58’), Igor Jesus (60’), Neco Williams (69’) and Ryan Yates (76’).

What it changes

Sunderland stay 11th after this result (34 league matches played). Sunderland have scored 42 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Sunderland have conceded 48 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest stay 16th after this result (34 league matches played). Nottingham Forest have scored 48 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Nottingham Forest have conceded 51 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 34, across 10 matches. Nottingham Forest have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) 8.1, Christopher Wood (Nottingham Forest) 6.6 and Igor Jesus (Nottingham Forest) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sunderland or Nottingham Forest (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Sunderland next host Chelsea on 8 November 2026.

Nottingham Forest next host Manchester City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
  • Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
  • Referee: D. England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Sunderland 2 · draws 0 · Nottingham Forest 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sunderland 2W 0D 3L · Nottingham Forest 3W 2D 0L

Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.14
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.13 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.5 / 1.14
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.72 yellows
Referee · D. England
22.28 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSunderland for / againstLineNottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.14 for · 4.57 against n 7
Shots
11.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.14 for · 9.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.29 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.43 for · 10.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.14 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: D. England — 4.72 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22.28 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs31902790 min983.2 /90381.2 /9010 /90
M. Ellborg490360 min102.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
2.86/4
M. Ellborg n 490
2.53/3

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Hume33822700 min602 /90230.8 /90100.3 /901645.5 /90291 /9090.3 /90
O. Alderete30872599 min321.1 /90301 /90270.9 /901364.7 /90291 /9060.2 /90
N. Mukiele27892415 min632.3 /90351.3 /9090.3 /901606 /90271 /9050.2 /90
Dan Ballard27782115 min331.4 /90200.9 /90231 /901687.1 /90261.1 /9040.2 /90
L. Geertruida20771535 min321.9 /90160.9 /9080.5 /90513 /90140.8 /9010.1 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Hume n 880.9
1.34/2
1.56/4
N. Milenković
E. Le Fée n 880.6
0.85/1
1.87/4
Igor Jesus
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
O. Alderete n 886.6
1.65/3
0.53/1
N. Williams
N. Sadiki n 882
1.27/2
13/2
Morgan Gibbs-White
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Hume n 880.9
2.18/5
E. Le Fée n 880.6
2.88/6
O. Alderete n 886.6
1.67/2
N. Sadiki n 882
1.96/5
G. Xhaka n 872.5
1.24/1
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Brobbey24641529 min60.4 /9010.1 /90221.3 /90140.8 /90100.6 /9020.1 /90
C. Talbi24621485 min40.2 /9010.1 /90211.3 /90110.7 /90140.8 /90171 /90
W. Isidor23491120 min30.2 /9000 /90262.1 /90121 /9000 /9070.6 /90
Eliezer Mayenda1459824 min20.2 /9000 /90111.2 /9060.7 /9050.5 /9070.8 /90
R. Mundle1239473 min00 /9000 /9081.5 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90193.6 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Hume n 880.9
15/2
0.42/1
E. Le Fée n 880.6
0.74/1
0.42/1
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Alderete n 886.6
0.42/1
0.31/1
N. Sadiki n 882
0.54/0
0.43/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Hume n 880.9
0.11/0
00/0
E. Le Fée n 880.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Alderete n 886.6
00/0
00/0
N. Sadiki n 882
00/0
0.11/0
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Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Sels31892745 min802.6 /90401.3 /9000 /90
John989798 min121.4 /90121.4 /9000 /90
S. Ortega790630 min213 /9071 /9000 /90
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 884.4
2.75/4
John n 888.5
1.43/1

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Milenković45863849 min340.8 /90320.7 /90340.8 /901553.6 /90280.7 /9060.1 /90
N. Williams44823607 min1142.8 /90451.1 /90170.4 /902516.3 /90330.8 /9060.1 /90
Murillo34802736 min451.5 /90431.4 /90270.9 /90983.2 /90341.1 /9060.2 /90
O. Aina23831900 min351.7 /90361.7 /9030.1 /90974.6 /90160.8 /9030.1 /90
Morato23801851 min432.1 /90170.8 /90100.5 /90944.6 /90140.7 /9060.3 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Milenković n 875.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Hume
Morgan Gibbs-White n 883.1
0.85/1
1.16/2
N. Sadiki
N. Williams n 876.6
16/1
0.74/1
O. Alderete
E. Anderson n 889.6
1.57/4
1.57/4
—
Igor Jesus n 866.9
1.25/1
1.35/2
E. Le Fée
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Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Milenković n 875.1
0.94/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 883.1
0.74/1
N. Williams n 876.6
2.36/5
E. Anderson n 889.6
2.67/5
Igor Jesus n 866.9
0.83/1
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Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Igor Jesus41632590 min120.4 /9040.1 /90541.9 /90301 /90160.6 /90100.3 /90
D. Bakwa1445635 min00 /9010.1 /9081.1 /9030.4 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90
C. Wood1355721 min30.4 /9000 /90202.5 /9070.9 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Kalimuendo846369 min20.5 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
T. Awoniyi829235 min20.8 /9000 /9083.1 /9051.9 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Milenković n 875.1
00/0
00/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 883.1
27/5
1.26/2
N. Williams n 876.6
0.93/2
0.72/2
E. Anderson n 889.6
1.16/3
0.42/1
Igor Jesus n 866.9
2.57/4
1.55/3
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Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Milenković n 875.1
00/0
00/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 883.1
0.84/1
00/0
N. Williams n 876.6
0.11/0
0.42/1
E. Anderson n 889.6
0.11/0
00/0
Igor Jesus n 866.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SunderlandNottingham Forest
61%Possession39%
0.70Expected goals (xG)1.10
14Shots10
4Shots on target6
3Shots off target2
7Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box6
3Corners6
1Offsides1
13Fouls15
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
2Saves4
436Passes273
82%Pass accuracy73%

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Roefs9000000005.2
N. Mukiele9000001105.6
Dan Ballard9000000105.6
O. Alderete9000310005.3
T. Hume9000001105.6
G. Xhaka90001022Y8
N. Sadiki9000001006.3
E. Le Fée9000112206.7
B. Brobbey9000001106
H. Diarra65000001Y6.2
C. Rigg4500110006.2
Reinildo sub4500000006.3
W. Isidor sub2500110006.9

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Sels9000000007.2
O. Aina9000100407.5
N. Milenković9000000308.2
N. Williams90001020Y6.5
E. Anderson90101111Y7.6
Morgan Gibbs-White9011111107.9
C. Wood8810220007.9
O. Hutchinson6700110006.9
Igor Jesus67111120Y7.2
Jair5000000006.9
I. Sangaré4500000106.9
N. Domínguez sub45000012Y6.9
Morato sub4000000107.2
L. Netz sub2300000106.6
R. Yates sub23000001Y6.9
T. Awoniyi sub1001001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SunderlandLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Nottingham ForestWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Sunderland 2 · 0 draws · Nottingham Forest 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-09-27 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland
  • 2017-12-30 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland
  • 2017-09-12 Sunderland 0–1 Nottingham Forest
League standing · 2025/26
Sunderland#7 pos54 pts38 pl-6 GD
Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Sunderland scored1.11
Nottingham Forest scored1.26
Sunderland conceded1.26
Nottingham Forest conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sunderland 0.62 xG from 15 shots, Nottingham Forest 1.56 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Omar Alderete 86' · 0.11 xGChris Rigg 7' · 0.08 xGEnzo Le Fée 25' · 0.07 xGChris Wood 21' · 0.07 xGTrai Hume 81' · 0.06 xGOmari Hutchinson 12' · 0.05 xGDan Ballard 69' · 0.05 xGOla Aina 36' · 0.05 xGOmar Alderete 56' · 0.04 xGNoah Sadiki 18' · 0.04 xGWilson Isidor 84' · 0.04 xGElliot Anderson 2' · 0.03 xGOmar Alderete 75' · 0.03 xGOmar Alderete 25' · 0.03 xGNeco Williams 2' · 0.03 xGGranit Xhaka 39' · 0.02 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 27' · 0.02 xGEnzo Le Fée 69' · 0.02 xGEnzo Le Fée 86' · 0.02 xGGranit Xhaka 74' · 0.01 xGTrai Hume 16' · 0.00 xGElliot Anderson 94' · 0.44 xG · goalIgor Jesus 36' · 0.42 xG · goalChris Wood 30' · 0.37 xG · goalMorgan Gibbs-White 33' · 0.08 xG · goal
Sunderland (attacking right)Nottingham Forest (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sunderland1500.62
Nottingham Forest1041.56

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 1.12 to 0.24. At full time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 1.56 to 0.62. The widest gap was 0.94 xG to Nottingham Forest, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Nottingham Forest 30 minGoal - Nottingham Forest 33 minGoal - Nottingham Forest 36 minGoal - Nottingham Forest 94 min
Sunderland 0.62 xGNottingham Forest 1.56 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v Nottingham Forest?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Nottingham Forest was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Nottingham Forest?
In their last 3 meetings, Sunderland won 2, Nottingham Forest won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Nottingham Forest?
Recent form — Sunderland 2W 0D 3L; Nottingham Forest 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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