TottenhamLeeds

Tottenham v Leeds result

Full-time · Tottenham 1–1 Leeds

Premier League · · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Tottenham 1–1 Leeds — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,911 of 2,557 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Tottenham: 1.50 to 1.87 in expected goals, 0.76 of Leeds’s from a penalty, from 16 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 31st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Tottenham and Leeds drew 1–1 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 11 May.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Tottenham: Mathys Tel (50’); Leeds: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (74’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

J. Gillett showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Tottenham: Kevin Danso (41’), João Palhinha (66’) and Pedro Porro (82’); Leeds: Joseph Rodon (79’).

What it changes

Tottenham stay 17th after this result (36 league matches played). Tottenham have scored 48 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Tottenham have conceded 57 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Leeds stay 14th after this result (36 league matches played). Leeds have scored 49 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Leeds have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Tottenham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pedro Porro (Tottenham) 6.4, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) 6.1 and Ethan Ampadu (Leeds) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Tottenham are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Leeds.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Tottenham or Leeds (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Tottenham next travel to Leeds on 7 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tottenham: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Tottenham 1–1 Leeds · Premier League
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London
  • Referee: J. Gillett
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham 5 · draws 0 · Leeds 1 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tottenham 2W 1D 2L · Leeds 3W 1D 1L

Tottenham 1–1 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4
Corners
against 4.25 / 6.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.75 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 2.57
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · J. Gillett
19.63 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTottenham for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.43 against n 7
Shots
12.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.43 for · 11.29 against n 7
Shots on target
5.75 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.71 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.86 for · 11.71 against n 7
Cards shown
3.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.57 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: J. Gillett — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.63 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Tottenham

Tottenham Goalkeeper

Tottenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario42903763 min1182.8 /90631.5 /9000 /90
A. Kinský780557 min71.1 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
2.97/5
A. Kinský n 880.9
1.73/1

Tottenham Defensive

Tottenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pedro Porro42853551 min862.2 /90411 /90130.3 /901634.1 /90340.9 /90110.3 /90
M. van de Ven41873583 min511.3 /90300.8 /90300.8 /901423.6 /90381 /90110.3 /90
D. Spence35792782 min521.7 /90250.8 /9060.2 /901545 /90351.1 /9050.2 /90
Cristian Romero31832566 min692.4 /90391.4 /90190.7 /901896.6 /90421.5 /90130.5 /90
K. Danso24801930 min301.4 /90261.2 /90221 /901366.3 /90301.4 /9070.3 /90
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Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
00/0
00/0
—
Pedro Porro n 888
0.54/0
16/2
P. Struijk
M. van de Ven n 877.9
0.74/1
1.24/3
P. Struijk
João Palhinha n 856.8
1.45/1
13/2
E. Ampadu
X. Simons n 848.9
1.24/1
2.55/4
—
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Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Porro n 888
2.25/4
M. van de Ven n 877.9
1.46/3
João Palhinha n 856.8
3.67/4
X. Simons n 848.9
1.65/2
Richarlison n 859
1.94/3
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Tottenham Attacking

Tottenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Richarlison37622300 min100.4 /9050.2 /90512 /90301.2 /90190.7 /90100.4 /90
R. Kolo Muani35571993 min50.2 /9040.2 /90231 /90100.5 /90261.2 /90281.3 /90
W. Odobert27581554 min20.1 /9040.2 /90251.4 /90130.8 /90291.7 /90412.4 /90
M. Tel21621312 min20.1 /9020.1 /90281.9 /90141 /90292 /90412.8 /90
D. Solanke17661120 min60.5 /9000 /90181.4 /90141.1 /9080.6 /90121 /90
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Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
00/0
00/0
Pedro Porro n 888
1.57/4
14/3
M. van de Ven n 877.9
0.11/0
00/0
João Palhinha n 856.8
0.84/0
0.63/0
X. Simons n 848.9
1.84/4
0.93/1
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Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
00/0
00/0
Pedro Porro n 888
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. van de Ven n 877.9
00/0
00/0
João Palhinha n 856.8
0.21/0
00/0
X. Simons n 848.9
0.72/1
0.21/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Darlow20901800 min512.6 /90241.2 /9000 /90
Lucas Perri18901620 min422.3 /90301.7 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Darlow n 890
2.55/3
Lucas Perri n 890
2.15/3

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Bogle34832827 min662.1 /90321 /9060.2 /901384.4 /90401.3 /9070.2 /90
G. Gudmundsson34832819 min702.2 /90280.9 /9080.3 /901906.1 /90321 /9060.2 /90
P. Struijk33882893 min381.2 /90300.9 /90170.5 /901735.4 /90270.8 /9060.2 /90
J. Rodon32852727 min331.1 /90270.9 /90190.6 /901334.4 /90150.5 /9020.1 /90
J. Bijol24781878 min261.2 /90281.3 /9090.4 /901135.4 /90190.9 /9030.1 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
1.87/4
1.57/3
João Palhinha
J. Bogle n 869.9
1.67/2
13/2
—
G. Gudmundsson n 883.8
0.74/1
2.88/6
—
B. Aaronson n 867.4
0.84/1
26/3
—
P. Struijk n 880.4
1.15/2
0.84/2
M. van de Ven
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.36/5
J. Bogle n 869.9
2.47/4
G. Gudmundsson n 883.8
1.67/4
B. Aaronson n 867.4
1.75/1
P. Struijk n 880.4
1.46/3
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Aaronson34692338 min40.2 /9050.2 /90281.1 /90170.7 /90311.2 /90281.1 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin33782567 min120.4 /9010 /90632.2 /90321.1 /90180.6 /9060.2 /90
N. Okafor27631708 min80.4 /9010.1 /90291.5 /90160.8 /90231.2 /90392.1 /90
L. Nmecha24461098 min40.3 /9030.2 /90252 /90141.1 /90110.9 /9050.4 /90
W. Gnonto1539588 min10.2 /9010.2 /9091.4 /9030.5 /90111.7 /9050.8 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Bogle n 869.9
00/0
00/0
G. Gudmundsson n 883.8
0.73/2
0.11/0
B. Aaronson n 867.4
0.74/0
0.32/0
P. Struijk n 880.4
0.74/1
0.11/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bogle n 869.9
00/0
0.21/0
G. Gudmundsson n 883.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Aaronson n 867.4
00/0
0.32/0
P. Struijk n 880.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TottenhamLeeds
57%Possession43%
1.27Expected goals (xG)1.34
16Shots11
3Shots on target4
8Shots off target6
5Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box6
14Corners2
1Offsides3
12Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
431Passes336
80%Pass accuracy72%

Tottenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Kinský9000000008
Pedro Porro90002134Y7.2
K. Danso90001011Y6.9
M. van de Ven9000000106.5
João Palhinha90001004Y6.9
R. Kolo Muani9000001106.7
C. Gallagher9000100307.2
Richarlison9000311006.7
D. Udogie8500000206.6
M. Tel8510111007.2
R. Bentancur8100101506.9
D. Spence sub2100000006.6
J. Maddison sub2100000006.7
L. Bergvall sub900100006.3

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Darlow9000000006.9
J. Rodon90001112Y6.7
J. Bijol9000001007.5
A. Stach9000101306.7
E. Ampadu9000000307.7
J. Justin9000001606.9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin9010211006.7
A. Tanaka8900100406.7
D. James6300101006.3
B. Aaronson6300001206.7
P. Struijk5600100106.9
S. Bornauw sub3400000106.6
W. Gnonto sub2700001006.7
L. Nmecha sub2700110307.3
S. Longstaff sub1300210006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tottenham v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TottenhamLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LeedsWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tottenham 5 · 0 draws · Leeds 1 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-04 Leeds 1–2 Tottenham
  • 2023-05-28 Leeds 1–4 Tottenham
  • 2022-11-12 Tottenham 4–3 Leeds
  • 2022-02-26 Leeds 0–4 Tottenham
  • 2021-11-21 Tottenham 2–1 Leeds
  • 2021-05-08 Leeds 3–1 Tottenham
League standing · 2025/26
Tottenham#17 pos41 pts38 pl-9 GD
Leeds#14 pos47 pts38 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Tottenham scored1.26
Leeds scored1.29
Tottenham conceded1.5
Leeds conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Tottenham 1.50 xG from 16 shots, Leeds 1.87 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Richarlison 57' · 0.47 xGSean Longstaff 98' · 0.35 xGSean Longstaff 97' · 0.27 xGJoe Rodon 20' · 0.23 xGRodrigo Bentancur 32' · 0.13 xGMathys Tel 25' · 0.12 xGRicharlison 32' · 0.11 xGRicharlison 31' · 0.11 xGLukas Nmecha 74' · 0.08 xGJoão Palhinha 35' · 0.08 xGConor Gallagher 27' · 0.07 xGJoão Palhinha 102' · 0.07 xGLucas Bergvall 92' · 0.06 xGAo Tanaka 39' · 0.06 xGRodrigo Bentancur 38' · 0.06 xGRicharlison 104' · 0.05 xGKevin Danso 90' · 0.04 xGPedro Porro 43' · 0.04 xGPascal Struijk 0' · 0.04 xGPedro Porro 32' · 0.04 xGConor Gallagher 32' · 0.02 xGDaniel James 60' · 0.02 xGJames Justin 78' · 0.02 xGDominic Calvert-Lewin 83' · 0.02 xGAnton Stach 68' · 0.02 xGDominic Calvert-Lewin 73' · 0.76 xG · goalMathys Tel 49' · 0.02 xG · goal
Tottenham (attacking right)Leeds (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Tottenham1611.50
Leeds1111.87

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Tottenham led on xG, 0.78 to 0.33. At full time, Leeds led on xG, 1.87 to 1.50, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.94 xG to Tottenham, in the 57th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.90.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Tottenham 49 minGoal - Leeds 73 min
Tottenham 1.50 xGLeeds 1.87 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Tottenham v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Leeds was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Leeds?
In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham won 5, Leeds won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tottenham and Leeds?
Recent form — Tottenham 2W 1D 2L; Leeds 3W 1D 1L.

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