DundeeAberdeen

Dundee v Aberdeen result

Full-time · Dundee 3–2 Aberdeen

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dundee · Aberdeen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee 3–2 Aberdeen — Dundee won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dundee beat Aberdeen 3–2 in the Premiership on Sunday 17 May.

The goals

Dundee came from behind: Aberdeen led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Dundee: Drey Wright (10’, assisted by Charlie Reilly), Joseph Westley (61’) and Ryan Astley (90’, assisted by F. Roberts); Aberdeen: Liam Morrison (23’, assisted by Lyall Cameron) and T. Olusanya (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Astley’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Dundee 1.78, Aberdeen 1.29, from 11 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Hardie showed no yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Dundee have scored 42 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded 61 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs.

Aberdeen have scored 40 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 55 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Liam Morrison (Aberdeen) 9.4, Ryan Astley (Dundee) 7.6 and Lyall Cameron (Aberdeen) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Dundee next travel to ST Johnstone on 7 November 2026.

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee: ST Johnstone v Dundee, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Aberdeen: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Dundee 3–2 Aberdeen · Premiership
  • Referee: R. Hardie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee 1 · draws 0 · Aberdeen 5 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dundee 2W 1D 2L · Aberdeen 3W 1D 1L

Dundee 3–2 Aberdeen (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.11 yellows
Referee · R. Hardie
25.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDundee for / againstLineAberdeen for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
9.13 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.88 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
2.63 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
15.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: R. Hardie — 4.11 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 25.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jon McCracken35893126 min1303.7 /90561.6 /9000 /90
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jon McCracken n 887
4.47/6

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luke Graham35893126 min521.5 /90481.4 /90361 /902697.7 /90320.9 /9030.1 /90
R. Astley35862997 min531.6 /90381.1 /90270.8 /902026.1 /90250.8 /9020.1 /90
D. Wright33882906 min441.4 /90260.8 /9060.2 /901243.8 /90140.4 /9020.1 /90
I. Samuels28711990 min311.4 /90351.6 /9030.1 /90833.8 /90110.5 /9010 /90
C. Robertson15851277 min80.6 /9080.6 /90120.8 /90392.7 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luke Graham n 890
16/2
27/5
—
Jon McCracken n 887
00/0
0.42/1
—
R. Astley n 889.3
0.84/2
1.13/2
M. Knoester
D. Wright n 889.6
0.43/0
1.36/2
M. Knoester
E. Hamilton n 890
1.14/2
27/3
—
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luke Graham n 890
1.96/4
R. Astley n 889.3
1.68/4
D. Wright n 889.6
1.46/4
E. Hamilton n 890
3.17/5
C. Congreve n 878.5
0.95/1
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Murray29661922 min70.3 /9000 /90281.3 /90130.6 /90120.6 /90100.5 /90
Ashley Hay21581227 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161.2 /9080.6 /90110.8 /9060.4 /90
C. Reilly828223 min10.4 /9010.4 /9062.4 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9041.6 /90
S. Wright738265 min10.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9031 /9020.7 /90
E. Acquah637222 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9052 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Luke Graham n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
Jon McCracken n 887
00/0
00/0
R. Astley n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Wright n 889.6
00/0
00/0
E. Hamilton n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luke Graham n 890
00/0
00/0
Jon McCracken n 887
00/0
00/0
R. Astley n 889.3
00/0
00/0
D. Wright n 889.6
00/0
0.11/0
E. Hamilton n 890
00/0
00/0
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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Mitov38903420 min1173.1 /90571.5 /9010 /90
P. Kristian Bråtveit590450 min183.6 /9091.8 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Mitov n 890
2.66/4

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Milne40853389 min421.1 /90421.1 /90421.1 /901273.4 /90300.8 /9040.1 /90
M. Knoester33822695 min501.7 /90331.1 /90260.9 /901906.3 /90421.4 /9080.3 /90
N. Devlin33782562 min421.5 /90260.9 /90140.5 /901334.7 /90361.3 /9080.3 /90
G. Molloy15811220 min191.4 /90171.3 /9090.7 /90705.2 /90211.5 /9000 /90
L. Morrison13781012 min80.7 /90111 /90100.9 /90433.8 /90131.2 /9040.4 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Milne n 878.4
0.94/1
15/2
—
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
K. Nisbet n 878.8
1.36/2
0.32/0
—
M. Knoester n 865.9
1.45/2
0.94/1
D. Wright
N. Devlin n 864.4
13/2
1.75/4
—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Milne n 878.4
1.76/4
K. Nisbet n 878.8
0.63/1
M. Knoester n 865.9
2.75/4
N. Devlin n 864.4
2.38/4
S. Armstrong n 867.1
1.34/1
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nisbet34672277 min100.4 /9010 /90451.8 /90220.9 /90281.1 /9080.3 /90
M. Lazetić31461419 min40.3 /9010.1 /90211.3 /90100.6 /9090.6 /90181.1 /90
J. Karlsson24751793 min60.3 /9000 /90351.8 /90180.9 /90361.8 /90311.6 /90
T. Olusanya1467944 min10.1 /9010.1 /90141.3 /9040.4 /90101 /90111 /90
N. Milanovic1244531 min00 /9000 /90101.7 /9030.5 /9081.4 /90122 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Milne n 878.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Nisbet n 878.8
1.78/3
0.73/1
M. Knoester n 865.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
N. Devlin n 864.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Milne n 878.4
00/0
00/0
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Nisbet n 878.8
0.42/1
00/0
M. Knoester n 865.9
00/0
00/0
N. Devlin n 864.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DundeeAberdeen
56%Possession44%
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.29
11Shots9
6Shots on target2
2Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box3
7Corners2
2Offsides1
14Fouls9
0Saves3
408Passes317
75%Pass accuracy68%

Dundee Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. O'Hara9000000006.2
D. Wright9010112106.9
R. Astley9010110207.6
Billy Dawson Koumetio9000000107.2
C. Jones9000000206.7
Finlay Robertson9001112106.5
I. Samuels8700000006.3
E. Hamilton7700000206.3
C. Congreve7700104006.7
J. Westley7710110106.9
C. Reilly6801211006.2
J. Bevan sub2200000006.5
J. Cotterill sub1300110006.6
Tony Yogane sub1300001006.6
S. Murray sub1300000006.5
Luke Graham sub30000000–

Aberdeen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Suman9000000005.7
J. Milne9000002105.9
L. Morrison9010110407.3
G. Molloy9000000306.3
T. Olusanya9010111007.2
K. Nisbet9000000006.2
K. Kjartansson7600100406.9
L. Cameron6901001407.5
T. Keskinen6900000206.2
D. Geiger6900100306.6
M. Knoester1400000006.5
N. Devlin sub7600000106.3
G. Shinnie sub2100100106.7
K. Bilalovic sub2100000006.3
N. Milanovic sub2100100006.9
A. Aremu sub1400000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dundee v Aberdeen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DundeeDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
AberdeenWWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dundee 1 · 0 draws · Aberdeen 5 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 Aberdeen 2–3 Dundee
  • 2025-12-06 Dundee 1–3 Aberdeen
  • 2025-10-05 Aberdeen 4–0 Dundee
  • 2025-02-15 Dundee 1–2 Aberdeen
  • 2024-11-09 Aberdeen 4–1 Dundee
  • 2024-09-28 Dundee 1–2 Aberdeen
League standing · 2025/26
Dundee#2 pos42 pts38 pl-19 GD
Aberdeen#3 pos40 pts38 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Dundee scored1.11
Aberdeen scored1.05
Dundee conceded1.61
Aberdeen conceded1.45

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee v Aberdeen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee v Aberdeen was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Aberdeen?
In their last 6 meetings, Dundee won 1, Aberdeen won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee and Aberdeen?
Recent form — Dundee 2W 1D 2L; Aberdeen 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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