DundeeKilmarnock

Dundee v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock

Premiership · · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dundee · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock — Dundee won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.28 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,932 of 2,585 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dundee beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park in the Premiership on Wednesday 28 October. Dundee have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Dundee led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Dundee: Joseph Bevan (32’, assisted by Ethan Hamilton) and Ashley Hay (83’, assisted by Alan Forrest; 90+4’, assisted by Owen Goodman); Kilmarnock: Joseph Hugill (75’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ashley Hay’s goal on 83 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Dundee 2.29, Kilmarnock 2.11, from 15 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Kilmarnock: Cathal McCarthy (58’), George Stanger (85’) and Michael-John Kamson-Kamara (90+3’).

What it changes

Dundee move up from fifth to fourth (11 league matches played). Dundee have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock stay 11th after this result (11 league matches played). Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Dundee’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 11, across six matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ashley Hay (Dundee) 11.3, Owen Goodman (Dundee) 6.9 and Joseph Bevan (Dundee) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Dundee or Kilmarnock (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Dundee next travel to ST Johnstone on 7 November 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee: ST Johnstone v Dundee, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock · Premiership
  • Venue: The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Dundee
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee 2 · draws 2 · Kilmarnock 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dundee 2W 1D 2L · Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L

Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5 / 5.43
Corners
against 6.25 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.63 / 3.43
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 4.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 2.29
Cards
against 2 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDundee for / againstLineKilmarnock for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.43 for · 7 against n 7
Shots
12.5 for · 18.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.57 for · 16 against n 7
Shots on target
4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.43 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
11.86 for · 12.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.29 for · 1.43 against n 7

Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Goodman1090904 min404 /9080.8 /9000 /90
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 890
4.38/8

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Bevan1090904 min101 /90151.5 /90141.4 /90686.8 /90131.3 /9010.1 /90
R. Astley1090904 min161.6 /90171.7 /90161.6 /90616.1 /9040.4 /9000 /90
D. Wright1082817 min101.1 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90323.5 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
I. Odutayo591454 min20.4 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90214.2 /9040.8 /9000 /90
I. Samuels589447 min61.2 /9051 /9010.2 /90204 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Hamilton n 890
1.97/4
2.57/7
M. Schjønning-Larsen
O. Bevan n 890
1.67/4
14/2
—
R. Astley n 890
0.43/0
0.64/1
G. Stanger
O. Goodman n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Wright n 880.9
0.74/1
1.36/2
G. Stanger
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Astley n 890
1.96/5
E. Hamilton n 890
1.57/4
O. Bevan n 890
15/1
D. Wright n 880.9
1.35/2
J. Bevan n 861.5
0.52/1
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Fink865517 min40.7 /9000 /90122.1 /9071.2 /9020.3 /9030.5 /90
J. Westley688530 min30.5 /9000 /90132.2 /9071.2 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
Ashley Hay566329 min10.3 /9000 /90164.4 /9082.2 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90
B. Wales444177 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /90
S. Murray263125 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.4 /9000 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 890
1.15/3
0.42/1
R. Astley n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
O. Bevan n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
O. Goodman n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Wright n 880.9
0.42/1
0.42/1
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bevan n 890
0.32/0
00/0
E. Hamilton n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Astley n 890
00/0
0.11/0
O. Goodman n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Wright n 880.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Stryjek690540 min264.3 /90142.3 /9000 /90
C. Ferrie490360 min164 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 890
3.97/4
C. Ferrie n 490
43/2

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Schjønning-Larsen1088884 min60.6 /9070.7 /9050.5 /90262.6 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
G. Stanger1088881 min191.9 /90131.3 /90101 /90474.8 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
J. Brandon964576 min91.4 /9020.3 /9020.3 /90223.4 /90152.3 /9020.3 /90
C. McCarthy888706 min121.5 /90182.3 /9060.8 /90354.5 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara360179 min21 /9021 /9052.5 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Hugill n 888.3
1.37/3
16/2
—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 890
0.97/0
0.53/1
E. Hamilton
G. Stanger n 887.6
0.95/2
0.64/1
D. Wright
T. Lowery n 887.5
0.11/0
1.36/4
—
G. Kiltie n 882.8
0.74/1
2.47/6
—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 888.3
0.32/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 890
0.84/1
G. Stanger n 887.6
2.28/4
T. Lowery n 887.5
1.97/6
G. Kiltie n 882.8
15/2
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Hugill1089886 min10.1 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
D. Daniels443171 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.6 /9000 /90
N. Cleșcenco436142 min10.6 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9031.9 /9000 /90
Roshaun Mathurin13131 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.9 /90
I. Owen12828 min00 /9000 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 888.3
1.86/4
0.95/2
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
G. Stanger n 887.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Lowery n 887.5
0.43/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 882.8
1.45/3
0.83/3
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 888.3
00/0
0.11/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Stanger n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
T. Lowery n 887.5
00/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 882.8
0.31/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DundeeKilmarnock
46%Possession54%
2.29Expected goals (xG)2.11
15Shots15
5Shots on target3
8Shots off target8
2Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box13
7Corners5
2Offsides1
7Fouls13
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves2
405Passes412

Dundee Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Goodman9001001006.9
D. Wright9000001106.3
R. Astley9000100107
I. Samuels9000000106.4
E. Hamilton9001513107.7
A. Forrest9001002007.9
Ashley Hay9020220109.1
C. Jones7800001106.6
J. Wright6600000106.1
B. Fink6500411005.9
J. Bevan6010310007.7
C. Reilly3000000006.4
J. Westley2500000006.5
M. Akinmboni2400000006.3
Ž. Bešir1200000006

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Hugill9010330006.4
Nico Mantl9000000005.7
A. Tshibola9000101106.5
T. Lowery9000101306.3
M. Schjønning-Larsen9000201106
G. Stanger90001014Y6.1
T. John-Jules9000201306.5
C. McCarthy89001010Y6
J. Brandon7600001105.8
G. Kiltie7600405006.7
R. Deas7000000306.1
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara20000000Y5.8
Jonathan Meier1400001005.9
I. Owen1400000006.2
D. Daniels100000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dundee v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DundeeLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
KilmarnockWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dundee 2 · 2 draws · Kilmarnock 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-12 Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee
  • 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee
  • 2026-01-17 Kilmarnock 1–2 Dundee
  • 2025-12-30 Dundee 2–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-08-23 Kilmarnock 0–0 Dundee
  • 2025-05-10 Kilmarnock 3–2 Dundee
League standing · 2026/27
Dundee#5 pos17 pts11 pl+4 GD
Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Dundee scored1.55
Kilmarnock scored1.08
Dundee conceded1.18
Kilmarnock conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee v Kilmarnock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee v Kilmarnock was Home or Away (best price 1.28 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Kilmarnock?
In their last 6 meetings, Dundee won 2, Kilmarnock won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee and Kilmarnock?
Recent form — Dundee 2W 1D 2L; Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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