HibernianKilmarnock

Hibernian v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hibernian · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock — Hibernian won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,057 of 1,408 times (75.1%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hibernian beat Kilmarnock 3–0 in the Premiership on Saturday 4 April. Hibernian are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Hibernian led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Hibernian: Owen Elding (1’, assisted by Felix Passlack), Felix Passlack (12’, assisted by Jordan Obita) and Ante Šuto (90’, assisted by Martin Boyle).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Owen Elding’s goal on 1 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Hibernian 2.14, Kilmarnock 0.63, from 5 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Scott showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hibernian: Daniel Barlaser (54’); Kilmarnock: George Stanger (18’), Findlay Curtis (39’) and Aaron Tshibola (65’).

What it changes

Hibernian have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Kilmarnock have scored 50 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 68 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Hibernian have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Felix Passlack (Hibernian) 8.1, Owen Elding (Hibernian) 5.2 and Raphael Sallinger (Hibernian) 4.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Hibernian are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Kilmarnock, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hibernian or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Hibernian next travel to Aberdeen on 7 November 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock · Premiership
  • Referee: C. Scott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 2 · draws 4 · Kilmarnock 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hibernian 2W 3D 0L · Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L

Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 6.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · C. Scott
21.36 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHibernian for / againstLineKilmarnock for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: C. Scott — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 21.36 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger27902430 min752.8 /90281 /9000 /90
J. Smith590450 min102 /9091.8 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
1.85/1

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Iredale30782329 min491.9 /90180.7 /90180.7 /901114.3 /90220.9 /9050.2 /90
R. Bushiri23872000 min190.9 /90231 /90110.5 /901034.6 /90200.9 /9060.3 /90
W. O'Hora22871922 min281.3 /90271.3 /90140.7 /901165.4 /90100.5 /9010 /90
G. Hanley19841603 min140.8 /90201.1 /90241.3 /90975.4 /90130.7 /9020.1 /90
M. Garananga285169 min31.6 /9010.5 /9052.7 /90158 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Iredale n 878.8
15/2
0.42/1
R. Deas
M. Boyle n 851.3
1.32/2
0.73/0
—
J. McGrath n 877
1.57/3
1.56/3
B. Lyons
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
D. Barlaser n 885.1
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Iredale n 878.8
1.76/3
M. Boyle n 851.3
0.73/0
J. McGrath n 877
28/4
D. Barlaser n 885.1
0.85/1
R. Bushiri n 890
14/2
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Boyle30591781 min60.3 /9010.1 /90321.6 /90191 /90201 /90140.7 /90
J. McGrath29732125 min80.3 /9030.1 /90351.5 /90200.8 /90482 /90431.8 /90
Kieron Bowie23741699 min80.4 /9030.2 /90422.2 /90221.2 /90201.1 /90120.6 /90
T. Klidje1645727 min30.4 /9010.1 /90162 /90111.4 /9070.9 /9050.6 /90
J. Hoilett1138416 min30.6 /9010.2 /90173.7 /90102.2 /9051.1 /9061.3 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Iredale n 878.8
00/0
00/0
M. Boyle n 851.3
1.55/2
0.94/0
J. McGrath n 877
1.56/3
0.63/1
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Barlaser n 885.1
0.11/0
00/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Iredale n 878.8
00/0
00/0
M. Boyle n 851.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. McGrath n 877
0.11/0
00/0
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Barlaser n 885.1
00/0
0.11/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Oluwayemi12901080 min443.7 /90181.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Roos990810 min404.4 /90212.3 /9010.1 /90
M. Stryjek790630 min233.3 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Oluwayemi n 890
4.38/7
K. Roos n 890
4.17/7
M. Stryjek n 790
3.35/5

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Deas29862491 min381.4 /90341.2 /90301.1 /901465.3 /90311.1 /9090.3 /90
D. Thompson27812184 min371.5 /90291.2 /90110.5 /90853.5 /90150.6 /9050.2 /90
L. Mayo20881755 min261.3 /90251.3 /90150.8 /90784 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
E. Brown15891331 min191.3 /90151 /90140.9 /90694.7 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
J. Brown15801204 min282.1 /90110.8 /9090.7 /90695.2 /90151.1 /9020.1 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Deas n 890
0.63/1
0.11/0
J. Iredale
D. Watson n 873.3
1.15/1
0.84/1
—
D. Thompson n 871.4
0.85/0
0.64/0
—
B. Lyons n 874.3
1.14/2
1.45/3
J. McGrath
B. Anderson n 865.5
2.47/5
1.56/2
—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
1.14/3
D. Watson n 873.3
2.27/6
D. Thompson n 871.4
1.66/2
B. Lyons n 874.3
1.87/3
B. Anderson n 865.5
0.21/0
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Anderson26631633 min40.2 /9020.1 /90301.7 /90130.7 /9080.4 /9010.1 /90
T. John-Jules17671143 min80.6 /9020.2 /90322.5 /90201.6 /90141.1 /90141.1 /90
M. Dackers17641085 min20.2 /9000 /90201.7 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90131.1 /90
S. Tiffoney1055552 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9071.1 /9061 /90
J. Hugill766461 min20.4 /9020.4 /9071.4 /9040.8 /9051 /9030.6 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.32/0
00/0
D. Watson n 873.3
0.53/0
0.32/0
D. Thompson n 871.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
B. Lyons n 874.3
0.84/1
0.63/1
B. Anderson n 865.5
1.24/2
0.21/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Watson n 873.3
00/0
00/0
D. Thompson n 871.4
00/0
00/0
B. Lyons n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
B. Anderson n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HibernianKilmarnock
52%Possession48%
2.14Expected goals (xG)0.63
5Shots11
3Shots on target2
1Shots off target3
1Blocked shots6
5Shots inside the box4
3Corners9
2Offsides6
9Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves0
473Passes417
82%Pass accuracy84%

Hibernian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sallinger9000000007.2
W. O'Hora9000000007.5
G. Hanley9000000107.5
J. Iredale9000000207.9
F. Passlack9011112108.5
J. Obita9001001008.3
J. McGrath8800101106.2
Owen Elding8810111007.6
M. Chaiwa7300000106.9
D. Barlaser64000000Y6.5
D. Scarlett6400000006.3
J. Newell sub2600000106.9
A. Šuto sub2610110007.3
Kai Andrews sub1700000106.7
J. Campbell sub20000000–
M. Boyle sub20100100–

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Roos9000000006.3
G. Stanger90000001Y6.2
R. Deas9000000006.2
M. Schjønning-Larsen9000001206.3
G. Kiltie9000220006.7
J. Hugill9000101005.9
A. Tshibola81000013Y6.9
Findlay Curtis81001012Y6.7
J. Brandon7100002106.3
L. Polworth6200001106.7
B. Lyons6200100005.9
M. Watkins sub2800000006.2
D. Watson sub2800000006.9
D. Thompson sub1900001006.5
B. Anderson sub900000006.3
Jack Thomson sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HibernianWWDDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
KilmarnockLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hibernian 2 · 4 draws · Kilmarnock 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-03 Kilmarnock 1–3 Hibernian
  • 2025-08-10 Hibernian 2–2 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-03-15 Kilmarnock 1–1 Hibernian
  • 2024-12-29 Hibernian 1–0 Kilmarnock
  • 2024-09-01 Kilmarnock 1–1 Hibernian
  • 2024-01-27 Kilmarnock 2–2 Hibernian
League standing · 2025/26
Hibernian#5 pos57 pts38 pl+14 GD
Kilmarnock#4 pos40 pts38 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Hibernian scored1.53
Kilmarnock scored1.32
Hibernian conceded1.16
Kilmarnock conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Kilmarnock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Kilmarnock was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Kilmarnock?
In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 2, Kilmarnock won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Kilmarnock?
Recent form — Hibernian 2W 3D 0L; Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L.

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