KilmarnockCeltic

Kilmarnock v Celtic result

Full-time · Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic

Premiership · · Rugby Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kilmarnock · Celtic · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic — Celtic won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,932 of 2,585 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Celtic won 5–1 at Rugby Park in the Premiership on Sunday 9 August. Celtic have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Celtic led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Celtic: Kasper Høgh (2’, assisted by Arne Engels; 33’, assisted by B. Nygren; 35’, assisted by C. Duran), B. Nygren (47’) and Luke McCowan (75’); Kilmarnock: Michael Schjønning-Larsen (56’, assisted by Thomas Lowery).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kasper Høgh’s goal on 2 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Kilmarnock 0.86, Celtic 5.64, from 10 shots to 33 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Lee showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kilmarnock: Joseph Hugill (26’).

What it changes

Kilmarnock move down from 10th to 12th (two league matches played). Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Celtic move up from fifth to first (two league matches played). Celtic have scored 27 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Celtic have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across six matches. Kilmarnock are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Celtic have won their last 11 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kasper Høgh (Celtic) 15.1, B. Nygren (Celtic) 8.7 and Arne Engels (Celtic) 8.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Celtic are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Kilmarnock, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Kilmarnock or Celtic (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Celtic next host Kilmarnock on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic · Premiership
  • Venue: Rugby Park · Kilmarnock
  • Referee: R. Lee
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kilmarnock 0 · draws 0 · Celtic 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kilmarnock 2W 2D 1L · Celtic 5W 0D 0L

Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.5
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4 / 6.71
Corners
against 3.6 / 4.29 · 0 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.6 / 4.86
Shots on target
against 3.2 / 2.86 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2 / 3.14
Cards
against 1.8 / 2.29 · 1 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 5 matches
2.76 yellows
Referee · R. Lee
22.59 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKilmarnock for / againstLineCeltic for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.25our book
2.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.6 against n 5
9.5standard
6.71 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
10 for · 8.6 against n 5
19.5standard
13.14 for · 8.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.6 for · 3.2 against n 5
8.5standard
4.86 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.4 for · 9.8 against n 5
21.5standard
13.43 for · 8.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 1.8 against n 5
3.5standard
3.14 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: R. Lee — 2.76 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.59 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Stryjek19090 min22 /9044 /9000 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 890
37/4

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Brown19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9011 /9000 /90
G. Stanger19090 min11 /9033 /9011 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Ring16666 min22.7 /9000 /9000 /9056.8 /9022.7 /9000 /90
J. Brandon14646 min12 /9000 /9012 /9035.9 /9035.9 /9012 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Hugill n 888.6
1.76/5
0.64/1
—
G. Stanger n 886.5
1.26/2
0.32/0
A. Trusty
E. Brown n 882.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
—
T. Lowery n 880.4
0.43/0
0.63/1
A. Engels
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 872.5
0.32/0
0.64/0
A. Johnston
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Lowery n 880.4
1.57/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 872.5
1.15/2
E. Brown n 882.3
0.85/1
G. Stanger n 886.5
0.75/0
J. Hugill n 888.6
0.42/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Hugill19090 min11 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
Roshaun Mathurin13131 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.9 /90
T. Lowery19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /90
G. Kiltie18585 min11.1 /9000 /9022.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
N. Cleșcenco15959 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 888.6
1.76/5
1.35/4
T. Lowery n 880.4
0.73/2
0.42/1
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 872.5
0.63/1
0.21/0
E. Brown n 882.3
0.54/0
0.43/0
G. Stanger n 886.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 888.6
0.95/2
00/0
T. Lowery n 880.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 872.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Stryjek n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Stanger n 886.5
00/0
00/0
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Celtic

Celtic Goalkeeper

Celtic — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Sinisalo19494 min32.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
1.75/2

Celtic Defensive

Celtic — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Johnston19494 min21.9 /9021.9 /9000 /9054.8 /9011 /9000 /90
A. Trusty19494 min11 /9021.9 /9011 /9054.8 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Carter-Vickers19494 min21.9 /9032.9 /9000 /901211.5 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Tierney18383 min22.2 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Engels19494 min11 /9000 /9000 /9032.9 /9032.9 /9011 /90
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Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Engels n 875.5
2.57/6
1.25/2
T. Lowery
A. Johnston n 859.8
1.76/2
0.83/1
M. Schjønning-Larsen
C. McGregor n 886.9
1.68/3
0.54/0
—
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
1.26/1
14/3
—
A. Trusty n 888.4
0.63/2
0.63/1
G. Stanger
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Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Johnston n 859.8
2.15/4
A. Engels n 875.5
1.96/3
C. McGregor n 886.9
1.37/3
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
1.26/2
A. Trusty n 888.4
0.32/0
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Celtic Attacking

Celtic — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kasper Høgh19494 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Tounekti11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Engels19494 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9021.9 /9000 /90
C. McGregor19494 min00 /9000 /9021.9 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
B. Nygren18383 min11.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9044.3 /9022.2 /90
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Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Engels n 875.5
15/2
0.32/0
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
0.75/1
0.21/1
C. McGregor n 886.9
0.63/2
0.32/0
A. Johnston n 859.8
0.42/0
00/0
A. Trusty n 888.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 3 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Engels n 875.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Johnston n 859.8
00/0
0.21/0
C. McGregor n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
00/0
00/0
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KilmarnockCeltic
36%Possession64%
0.86Expected goals (xG)5.64
10Shots33
6Shots on target16
2Shots off target10
2Blocked shots7
10Shots inside the box29
5Corners7
1Offsides0
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
11Saves4
370Passes661
81%Pass accuracy91%

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Stryjek9000000009.2
J. Brandon9000001206
J. Yfeko9000000406.2
G. Stanger9000000106.2
E. Ring9000000206.3
A. Tshibola9000222107.3
T. Lowery9001103107.5
G. Kiltie9000113207.3
J. Hugill90002101Y6.3
T. John-Jules7500111107
M. Schjønning-Larsen7410110006.7
Mark O'Hara sub1600000106.7
B. Rice sub1500000006.5

Celtic Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Sinisalo9000000007.9
C. Carter-Vickers9000001007.2
A. Trusty9000000107.9
K. Tierney9000224308.7
C. McGregor9000000307.2
A. Engels9001225108.2
Kasper Høgh8230853109.2
B. Nygren7411323108.3
Yang Hyun-Jun7400102406.7
C. Duran6401522107.7
A. Johnston4500001107.2
Colby Donovan sub4500100006.7
S. Tounekti sub2600112006.7
J. Forrest sub1600210006.6
L. McCowan sub1610111108
C. Osmand sub800001006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kilmarnock v Celtic — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KilmarnockDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CelticWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kilmarnock 0 · 0 draws · Celtic 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-15 Kilmarnock 2–3 Celtic
  • 2025-11-09 Celtic 4–0 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-09-14 Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic
  • 2025-04-12 Celtic 5–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-01-18 Celtic 2–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2024-11-10 Kilmarnock 0–2 Celtic
League standing · 2026/27
Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD
Celtic#1 pos28 pts12 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Kilmarnock scored1.08
Celtic scored2.25
Kilmarnock conceded2.33
Celtic conceded0.83

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kilmarnock v Celtic?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kilmarnock v Celtic was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Celtic?
In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock won 0, Celtic won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kilmarnock and Celtic?
Recent form — Kilmarnock 2W 2D 1L; Celtic 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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