Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd result

Full-time · Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd

Premiership · Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · Rugby Park

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 09:11 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kilmarnock · Dundee Utd · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd — Dundee Utd won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,934 of 2,587 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Dundee Utd won 4–0 at Rugby Park in the Premiership on Saturday 29 August. Kilmarnock are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Dundee Utd, every meeting checked.

The goals

Dundee Utd led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Dundee Utd: Emmanuel Agyei (12’, assisted by Mehdi Merghem), Zachary Sapsford (36’ pen), William Ferry (41’, assisted by Mehdi Merghem) and Jesse Randall (77’, assisted by William Ferry).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zachary Sapsford’s goal on 36 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Kilmarnock 1.03, Dundee Utd 3.50, from 16 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

N. Walsh showed six yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kilmarnock: Cathal McCarthy (35’), Joseph Hugill (43’) and Bailey Rice (90+2’); Dundee Utd: Bert Esselink (10’), Zachary Sapsford (38’) and William Ferry (69’).

What it changes

Kilmarnock stay 12th after this result (three league matches played). Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Dundee Utd move up from 11th to sixth (four league matches played). Dundee Utd have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Dundee Utd have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Dundee Utd’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 4, across six matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Emmanuel Agyei (Dundee Utd) 11.5, William Ferry (Dundee Utd) 9.4 and Mehdi Merghem (Dundee Utd) 8.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Kilmarnock or Dundee Utd (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Dundee Utd next host Motherwell on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Dundee Utd: Dundee Utd v Motherwell, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd · Premiership
Venue: Rugby Park · Kilmarnock
Referee: N. Walsh
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Kilmarnock 4 · draws 2 · Dundee Utd 0 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L · Dundee Utd 1W 1D 3L

Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.75 / 4.33

Corners

against 5.5 / 7.67 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

4.25 / 2.67

Shots on target

against 7 / 6 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.5 / 2.33

Cards

against 0.75 / 2.33 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

4.23 yellows

Referee · N. Walsh

23.64 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 22 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kilmarnock for / against	Line	Dundee Utd for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 5.5 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	4.33 for · 7.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	7.75 for · 14.25 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	15 for · 15.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 7 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	2.67 for · 6 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 7.5 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	12.67 for · 12 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 0.75 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	2.33 for · 2.33 against n 3 Last 5

Referee: N. Walsh — 4.23 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.64 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Stryjek	2	90180 min	136.5 /90	94.5 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.5 7/4

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Stanger	2	90180 min	21 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90	136.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen	2	82164 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
J. Brandon	2	68136 min	32 /90	10.7 /90	21.3 /90	74.6 /90	42.6 /90	10.7 /90
E. Brown	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	66 /90	11 /90	00 /90
J. Yfeko	1	9090 min	44 /90	11 /90	22 /90	55 /90	22 /90	00 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	1.4 6/4	0.6 4/1	—
G. Stanger n 8	86.5	1.2 6/2	0.5 3/1	—
T. Lowery n 8	88.8	0.4 3/0	0.6 4/1	—
M. Stryjek n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
G. Kiltie n 8	84.3	1.2 6/3	2.8 7/6	—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Lowery n 8	88.8	1.4 7/3
G. Stanger n 8	86.5	0.7 5/0
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	0.5 3/1
G. Kiltie n 8	84.3	1.1 6/2
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	70.5	0.8 4/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
T. John-Jules	2	60119 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
T. Lowery	2	90180 min	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	21 /90
G. Kiltie	2	88175 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90	42.1 /90	21 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	1.8 6/6	1.4 6/4
T. Lowery n 8	88.8	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1
G. Stanger n 8	86.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
M. Stryjek n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	84.3	1.1 6/2	0.5 4/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	0.9 5/2	0 0/0
T. Lowery n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
M. Stryjek n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Stanger n 8	86.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
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Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd Goalkeeper

Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Walton	3	90270 min	113.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90

Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Walton n 8	90	3.9 8/5

Dundee Utd Defensive

Dundee Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Forbes	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	82.7 /90	10.3 /90	3311 /90	31 /90	00 /90
W. Ferry	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	103.3 /90	31 /90	217 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
B. Esselink	3	81242 min	41.5 /90	41.5 /90	31.1 /90	166 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Joshua Rawlins	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Iurie Iovu	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Dundee Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Tait n 3	90	2 3/1	2.7 3/3	—
W. Ferry n 8	88.9	1.3 4/4	1.4 8/2	—
M. Forbes n 3	90	1 2/1	0.7 1/1	—
J. Walton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	1.1 5/2	0.5 2/1	—
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Dundee Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Tait n 3	90	4.3 3/3
W. Ferry n 8	88.9	2 6/6
M. Forbes n 3	90	0.3 1/0
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	1.9 8/3
V. Ševelj n 8	77.4	2.6 5/5
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Dundee Utd Attacking

Dundee Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Randall	3	69208 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	41.7 /90	20.9 /90	31.3 /90	31.3 /90
L. Rose	3	51152 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
D. Bennie	3	42125 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.2 /90	00 /90	64.3 /90	32.2 /90
I. Metsoko	2	4590 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
M. Merghem	2	4590 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	22 /90
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Dundee Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Tait n 3	90	1 1/1	0.3 1/0
M. Forbes n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
W. Ferry n 8	88.9	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
J. Walton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
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Dundee Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Ferry n 8	88.9	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Walton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Tait n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Forbes n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Kilmarnock		Dundee Utd
51%	Possession	49%
1.03	Expected goals (xG)	3.50
16	Shots	21
4	Shots on target	8
4	Shots off target	9
8	Blocked shots	4
10	Shots inside the box	15
3	Corners	5
0	Offsides	3
11	Fouls	12
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	5
435	Passes	419
79%	Pass accuracy	84%

Kilmarnock Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Stryjek	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
C. McCarthy	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
T. Lowery	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
G. Kiltie	90	1	0	3	2	0	6.9
J. Hugill	90	4	2	1	0	Y	5.9
M. Schjønning-Larsen	90	1	1	2	0	0	5.9
M. O'Hara	64	2	0	0	0	0	5.9
T. John-Jules	64	2	1	1	0	0	6.7
Mark O'Hara	64	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. Cleșcenco	45	0	0	3	2	0	7
Jonathan Meier	45	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
R. Deas	19	0	0	0	0	0	6
G. Stanger sub	71	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
D. Daniels sub	45	0	0	2	0	0	6
J. Brandon sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
B. Rice sub	26	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
C. Burke sub	26	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Dundee Utd Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Forbes	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	8.2
W. Ferry	90	1	1	2	1	4	2	Y	8.9
B. Esselink	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	8.6
Panutche Camará	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
J. Walton	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
E. Agyei	90	1	0	1	1	2	7	0	8.9
Joshua Rawlins	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
D. Bennie	79	0	0	4	1	2	1	0	6.9
Z. Sapsford	74	1	0	2	2	2	0	Y	6.9
Abdoulaye Yoro	63	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
M. Merghem	63	0	2	3	0	4	1	0	7.5
J. Randall sub	27	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	8.2
L. Rose sub	27	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
N. Farrugia sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Naamo sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KilmarnockWDLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Dundee UtdWDLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kilmarnock 4 · 2 draws · Dundee Utd 0 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-05-02 Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee Utd
2026-02-21 Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock
2025-11-29 Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee Utd
2025-09-27 Dundee Utd 0–2 Kilmarnock
2025-08-17 Kilmarnock 2–1 Dundee Utd
2025-02-01 Kilmarnock 1–0 Dundee Utd

League standing · 2026/27

Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD

Dundee Utd#6 pos16 pts11 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Kilmarnock scored1.08

Dundee Utd scored1.45

Kilmarnock conceded2.33

Dundee Utd conceded1.45

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd?: In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock won 4, Dundee Utd won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd?: Recent form — Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L; Dundee Utd 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 09:11 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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