Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone prediction

Premiership · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kilmarnock · ST Johnstone · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone, Premiership on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.45 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 772 of 1,183 times (65.3%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kilmarnock host ST Johnstone in the Premiership on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or ST Johnstone, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Kilmarnock have conceded 26 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Eight of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Kilmarnock have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.00. Kilmarnock have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Six of ST Johnstone’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of ST Johnstone’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, ST Johnstone have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.29. ST Johnstone have scored 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). ST Johnstone have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

ST Johnstone are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Kilmarnock (12th) and ST Johnstone (eighth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have ST Johnstone the stronger side, 77 rating points above Kilmarnock (ST Johnstone 1561, Kilmarnock 1484, after at least 307 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock.

Team news

Predicted Kilmarnock XI (4-2-3-1): C. Ferrie, G. Stanger, C. McCarthy, M. Schjønning-Larsen, J. Brandon, T. Lowery, A. Tshibola, E. Ring, T. John-Jules, G. Kiltie, J. Hugill — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Greg Kiltie (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, three goals) and George Stanger (3.4 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Kilmarnock’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kilmarnock (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Greg Kiltie averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 913 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. George Stanger averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted ST Johnstone XI (3-4-2-1): T. Steward, C. Diabate, D. Finlayson, L. Smith, R. McAlear, T. Steven, J. Holt, J. Cotterill, J. Gullan, J. Campbell, J. Fowler — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Matthew Foulds (4.3 per match over three appearances) and Enes Alić (3.9 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been ST Johnstone’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for ST Johnstone (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Matthew Foulds averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes. Enes Alić averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · Premiership · The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Kilmarnock 3 · draws 0 · ST Johnstone 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L · ST Johnstone 1W 3D 1L

Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.14 / 2.75

Corners

against 7.57 / 8.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.57 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 5 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.43 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.14 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kilmarnock for / against	Line	ST Johnstone for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 7.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	2.75 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.43 for · 16.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.57 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.43 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Stryjek	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	142.3 /90
C. Ferrie	4	90360 min	164 /90	61.5 /90
Nico Mantl	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.9 7/4
C. Ferrie n 4	90	4 3/2

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Schjønning-Larsen	11	89974 min	70.6 /90	70.6 /90	50.5 /90	302.8 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
G. Stanger	11	88971 min	242.2 /90	131.2 /90	100.9 /90	565.2 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90
J. Brandon	10	65652 min	91.2 /90	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	233.2 /90	152.1 /90	20.3 /90
C. McCarthy	9	88795 min	121.4 /90	202.3 /90	60.7 /90	384.3 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara	4	50199 min	20.9 /90	31.4 /90	52.3 /90	104.5 /90	41.8 /90	10.5 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.3 7/3	1 6/2	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	90	0.9 7/0	0.6 4/1	—
G. Stanger n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.6 4/1	—
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	1.4 7/4	—
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.6 3/1	2.1 6/5	—
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.3 2/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	90	0.9 5/1
G. Stanger n 8	90	2.5 8/4
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	1.9 7/6
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.7 4/1
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	11	89976 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	211.9 /90	131.2 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90
T. John-Jules	10	72724 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	141.7 /90	50.6 /90	121.5 /90	20.2 /90
D. Daniels	4	43171 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90
N. Cleșcenco	4	36142 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	21.3 /90	31.9 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.7 6/4	1 5/2
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	1.8 5/4	0.8 3/3
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone Goalkeeper

ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Steward	11	90990 min	514.6 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90

ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Steward n 8	90	4.9 8/6

ST Johnstone Defensive

ST Johnstone — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Diabate	10	86863 min	90.9 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90	535.5 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90
Enes Alic	9	90810 min	131.4 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	394.3 /90	182 /90	20.2 /90
L. Smith	8	89713 min	141.8 /90	121.5 /90	50.6 /90	303.8 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
Z. Mitchell	6	88527 min	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90	284.8 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
D. Finlayson	6	73439 min	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	204.1 /90	51 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

ST Johnstone — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Steward n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	2 5/4	0.5 4/0	—
J. Fowler n 8	62.4	0.7 3/1	1.4 5/3	—
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
J. Holt n 8	80.3	0.4 2/1	2.1 8/4	—
See more players · Pro

ST Johnstone — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	2.2 7/5
J. Fowler n 8	62.4	0.2 1/0
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	1.1 6/1
J. Holt n 8	80.3	0.7 4/1
Enes Alic n 8	90	1.5 6/4
See more players · Pro

ST Johnstone Attacking

ST Johnstone — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Fowler	11	67737 min	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	131.6 /90	81 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90
R. Paton	9	58519 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	122.1 /90	71.2 /90	50.9 /90	20.3 /90
K. Fotheringham	6	26158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	95.1 /90
D. Schmidt	4	26103 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Lucas Pasquoto	3	47141 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
See more players · Pro

ST Johnstone — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Steward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
J. Fowler n 8	62.4	2 7/2	1.1 5/1
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Holt n 8	80.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

ST Johnstone — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Steward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fowler n 8	62.4	0.9 4/1	0 0/0
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Holt n 8	80.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KilmarnockDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

ST JohnstoneDWDLD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kilmarnock 3 · 0 draws · ST Johnstone 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-08-02 ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock
2025-05-03 ST Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock
2025-02-15 Kilmarnock 3–1 ST Johnstone
2024-11-23 ST Johnstone 1–0 Kilmarnock
2024-08-11 Kilmarnock 0–3 ST Johnstone
2024-04-13 ST Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock

League standing · 2026/27

Kilmarnock#12 pos8 pts11 pl-15 GD

ST Johnstone#8 pos13 pts11 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Kilmarnock scored1

ST Johnstone scored1.18

Kilmarnock conceded2.36

ST Johnstone conceded1.55

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone is Draw or Away (best price 1.45 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and ST Johnstone?: In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock won 3, ST Johnstone won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kilmarnock and ST Johnstone?: Recent form — Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L; ST Johnstone 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.