LivingstonKilmarnock

Livingston v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Livingston · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock — Kilmarnock won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.6% of 125 landed (95% range 78.4–90.7%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kilmarnock won 4–1 at Livingston in the Premiership on Sunday 17 May. Kilmarnock are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Livingston, every meeting checked.

The goals

Kilmarnock led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Livingston: S. May (19’, assisted by B. McKay); Kilmarnock: Joseph Hugill (24’, assisted by D. Thompson; 58’, assisted by Robbie Deas), Nicky Cleșcenco (34’, assisted by Greg Kiltie) and Findlay Curtis (53’, assisted by D. Thompson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nicky Cleșcenco’s goal on 34 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Livingston 0.69, Kilmarnock 2.08, from 9 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Lee showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Livingston: E. Danso (31’); Kilmarnock: D. Thompson (38’) and Bradley Lyons (70’).

What it changes

Livingston have scored five goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Livingston have conceded nine goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded three goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Livingston are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Kilmarnock have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joseph Hugill (Kilmarnock) 9.2, Findlay Curtis (Kilmarnock) 7.9 and S. May (Livingston) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Kilmarnock to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Livingston next travel to Inverness CT on 7 November 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Livingston: Inverness CT v Livingston, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock · Premiership
  • Referee: R. Lee
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Livingston 0 · draws 3 · Kilmarnock 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Livingston 1W 2D 2L · Kilmarnock 3W 1D 1L

Livingston 1–4 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.63
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.76 yellows
Referee · R. Lee
22.59 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLivingston for / againstLineKilmarnock for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Lee — 2.76 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.59 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Livingston

Livingston Goalkeeper

Livingston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Prior37903330 min1163.1 /90711.9 /9010 /90
Livingston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Prior n 890
36/4

Livingston Defensive

Livingston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Finlayson35893099 min561.6 /90411.2 /90230.7 /902296.7 /90220.6 /9080.2 /90
D. Wilson30862583 min321.1 /90150.5 /90170.6 /90993.4 /9090.3 /9010 /90
C. Montaño24691661 min382.1 /90170.9 /90110.6 /901136.1 /90351.9 /9070.4 /90
R. McGowan22841848 min251.2 /90211 /90160.8 /901205.8 /90221.1 /9040.2 /90
Brooklyn Kabongolo13841093 min131.1 /90141.2 /90141.2 /90736 /90121 /9020.2 /90
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Livingston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Prior n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Finlayson n 888.4
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
S. Pittman n 855.5
0.63/0
0.83/1
—
M. Tait n 862.3
0.42/0
0.94/1
—
L. Smith n 871.5
1.36/1
2.45/4
G. Kiltie
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Livingston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Finlayson n 888.4
16/2
S. Pittman n 855.5
1.44/2
M. Tait n 862.3
0.93/1
L. Smith n 871.5
1.97/3
D. Wilson n 882.3
1.26/3
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Livingston Attacking

Livingston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. May29611778 min10.1 /9020.1 /90291.5 /90160.8 /90321.6 /90261.3 /90
R. Muirhead27541453 min50.3 /9020.1 /90362.2 /90181.1 /90171.1 /9090.6 /90
J. Bokila1946865 min50.5 /9000 /90121.2 /9060.6 /9070.7 /9090.9 /90
Tete Yengi17621047 min10.1 /9000 /90141.2 /90100.9 /90110.9 /90141.2 /90
C. McLennan1454755 min30.4 /9000 /90131.5 /9081 /9091.1 /9070.8 /90
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Livingston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Prior n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Finlayson n 888.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Pittman n 855.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Tait n 862.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Smith n 871.5
1.15/1
0.62/1
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Livingston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Prior n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Finlayson n 888.4
00/0
00/0
S. Pittman n 855.5
0.21/0
00/0
M. Tait n 862.3
00/0
00/0
L. Smith n 871.5
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Oluwayemi12901080 min443.7 /90181.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Roos1190990 min444 /90262.4 /9020.2 /90
M. Stryjek1190990 min353.2 /90100.9 /9010.1 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Oluwayemi n 890
4.38/7
K. Roos n 890
3.56/6
M. Stryjek n 890
3.27/5

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Deas35873031 min421.2 /90381.1 /90331 /901845.5 /90381.1 /90120.4 /90
D. Thompson33772531 min421.5 /90391.4 /90110.4 /90993.5 /90160.6 /9050.2 /90
L. Mayo22821807 min291.4 /90271.3 /90150.7 /90834.1 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
G. Stanger19861630 min140.8 /90170.9 /90110.6 /90724 /90181 /9060.3 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen17711215 min161.2 /90100.7 /9030.2 /90493.6 /90120.9 /9010.1 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Deas n 890
1.36/3
0.64/1
—
D. Thompson n 848.8
0.73/0
0.52/0
—
D. Watson n 856
0.82/1
14/1
—
G. Kiltie n 881
1.46/4
3.27/6
L. Smith
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.73/1
1.34/2
—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
1.14/3
D. Thompson n 848.8
1.45/1
D. Watson n 856
2.26/4
G. Kiltie n 881
1.55/3
B. Lyons n 861.6
1.35/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Anderson29631831 min40.2 /9020.1 /90311.5 /90140.7 /9090.4 /9010 /90
T. John-Jules17671143 min80.6 /9020.2 /90322.5 /90201.6 /90141.1 /90141.1 /90
M. Dackers17641085 min20.2 /9000 /90201.7 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90131.1 /90
J. Hugill1376990 min60.5 /9020.2 /90161.5 /90100.9 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
S. Tiffoney1055552 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9071.1 /9061 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Thompson n 848.8
0.21/0
00/0
D. Watson n 856
0.63/0
0.42/0
G. Kiltie n 881
15/2
0.63/1
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Thompson n 848.8
00/0
00/0
D. Watson n 856
00/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 881
00/0
0.32/0
B. Lyons n 861.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LivingstonKilmarnock
52%Possession48%
0.69Expected goals (xG)2.08
9Shots14
4Shots on target4
3Shots off target6
2Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box8
6Corners1
1Offsides2
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves3
546Passes516
88%Pass accuracy91%

Livingston Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Prior9000000005.5
Cammy Kerr9000001206.5
Brooklyn Kabongolo9000101005.3
D. Wilson9000000005.9
C. Montaño9000000006.2
S. May9010223107.9
M. Tait8500000306.3
L. Smith6600000106.5
E. Danso56000003Y6.3
B. McKay5601001206.9
R. Muirhead5600100006.9
Aidan Denholm sub3400000006.7
J. Zimmerman sub3400110106.9
Jon Nouble sub3400002006.7
S. Culbert sub2400210006.3
Babacar Fati sub50000000–

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Stryjek9000001007.9
R. Deas9001001207
T. Lowery9000002307.3
Findlay Curtis9010211207.3
G. Kiltie9001102106.9
J. Hugill9020221008.3
D. Thompson84020021Y7.3
N. Cleșcenco6610110307.3
G. Stanger6200000106.9
A. Tshibola6200101206.6
M. Schjønning-Larsen4500100106.3
B. Lyons sub45001001Y7.2
E. Brown sub2800000006.9
Jack Thomson sub2800001007.6
D. Watson sub2400100106.7
Euan Bowie sub60000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Livingston v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LivingstonLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
KilmarnockDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Livingston 0 · 3 draws · Kilmarnock 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Kilmarnock 2–0 Livingston
  • 2026-01-10 Livingston 1–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-08-02 Kilmarnock 2–2 Livingston
  • 2025-07-16 Kilmarnock 1–0 Livingston
  • 2024-02-07 Kilmarnock 1–0 Livingston
  • 2023-12-16 Livingston 0–0 Kilmarnock
League standing · 2025/26
Livingston#6 pos21 pts38 pl-35 GD
Kilmarnock#4 pos40 pts38 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Livingston scored1.05
Kilmarnock scored1.32
Livingston conceded1.97
Kilmarnock conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Livingston v Kilmarnock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Livingston v Kilmarnock was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Livingston and Kilmarnock?
In their last 6 meetings, Livingston won 0, Kilmarnock won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Livingston and Kilmarnock?
Recent form — Livingston 1W 2D 2L; Kilmarnock 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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