This Matchweek

MotherwellAberdeen

Motherwell v Aberdeen result

Full-time · Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen

Premiership · · Fir Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Motherwell · Aberdeen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen — Aberdeen won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.15 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aberdeen won 4–0 at Fir Park in the Premiership on Tuesday 15 September.

The goals

Aberdeen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Aberdeen: Gavin Molloy (38’), Connor Ronan (46’, assisted by Kevin Nisbet), Ayoub Mouloua (76’, assisted by Connor Ronan) and Kevin Nisbet (87’, assisted by Marius Müller).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gavin Molloy’s goal on 38 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Motherwell 0.77, Aberdeen 0.91, from 12 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. McLean showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Motherwell: Thomas Sparrow (40’) and M. Emmanuel (53’); Aberdeen: Lewis Mayo (12’), A. Aremu (63’) and Ayoub Mouloua (76’).

What it changes

Motherwell stay fifth after this result (six league matches played). Motherwell have scored eight goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded nine goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Aberdeen move up from 10th to eighth (six league matches played). Aberdeen have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Aberdeen’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 3, across six matches. Aberdeen are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Connor Ronan (Aberdeen) 9.1, Marius Müller (Aberdeen) 8.3 and Kevin Nisbet (Aberdeen) 7.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Motherwell next host Rangers on 21 November 2026.

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Motherwell: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Aberdeen: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen · Premiership
  • Venue: Fir Park · Motherwell
  • Referee: S. McLean
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Motherwell 3 · draws 1 · Aberdeen 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Motherwell 1W 1D 3L · Aberdeen 1W 2D 2L

Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.14 / 6.33
Corners
against 5.86 / 6.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.57 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.57 / 5.33 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.57 / 3
Cards
against 1.14 / 2.33 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · S. McLean
23.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 20 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMotherwell for / againstLineAberdeen for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 5.86 against n 7
9.5standard
6.33 for · 6.5 against n 6
Shots
10.29 for · 17 against n 7
19.5standard
11 for · 15.83 against n 6
Shots on target
3.57 for · 5.57 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 5.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.71 for · 10.29 against n 7
21.5standard
12.33 for · 12.83 against n 6
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
3 for · 2.33 against n 6

Referee: S. McLean — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 23.5 fouls over 20 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Paulsen790630 min284 /90121.7 /9000 /90
Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Paulsen n 790
45/5

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Emmanuel784591 min60.9 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90264 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Martin Moormann682490 min40.7 /9030.6 /9050.9 /90162.9 /9040.7 /9020.4 /90
Jamie Knight-Lebel672429 min00 /9030.6 /90132.7 /90163.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
T. Sparrow667402 min143.1 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90306.7 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
J. Girdwood-Reich660361 min61.5 /9030.7 /9071.7 /90235.7 /9030.7 /9000 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Paulsen n 790
00/0
0.32/0
—
L. Fadinger n 886.1
28/4
1.35/4
—
M. Emmanuel n 884.8
0.74/1
0.84/2
L. Mayo
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868
1.34/3
1.86/3
K. Nisbet
A. Lowry n 762.4
1.43/3
1.25/1
K. Nisbet
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Fadinger n 886.1
2.48/6
M. Emmanuel n 884.8
0.84/2
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868
1.55/3
A. Lowry n 762.4
0.62/1
Martin Moormann n 681.7
0.74/0
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise766461 min10.2 /9020.4 /90132.5 /9051 /9040.8 /9051 /90
R. Charles-Cook553266 min20.7 /9000 /9051.7 /9031 /9020.7 /9041.4 /90
S. Palmer-Houlden546228 min10.4 /9000 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9000 /90
W. Vogt542208 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9041.7 /90
E. Björgólfs­son22448 min00 /9000 /9023.8 /9011.9 /9011.9 /9011.9 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 790
00/0
00/0
L. Fadinger n 886.1
0.84/1
0.74/1
M. Emmanuel n 884.8
0.94/2
0.11/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868
2.56/5
14/2
A. Lowry n 762.4
2.15/2
1.44/2
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 790
00/0
00/0
L. Fadinger n 886.1
0.32/0
00/0
M. Emmanuel n 884.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868
0.21/0
0.31/1
A. Lowry n 762.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Müller590450 min244.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Müller n 590
4.85/5

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Cadden587433 min102.1 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90183.7 /9051 /9020.4 /90
N. Guinness-Walker585427 min122.5 /9061.3 /9051.1 /90388 /9010.2 /9000 /90
L. Mayo585425 min40.8 /9071.5 /9040.8 /90163.4 /9061.3 /9040.8 /90
D. Happe490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90287 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
G. Molloy338114 min10.8 /9000 /9000 /9053.9 /9021.6 /9000 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Müller n 590
00/0
00/0
—
C. Cadden n 586.6
13/2
0.42/0
—
N. Guinness-Walker n 585.4
0.21/0
2.15/2
—
L. Mayo n 585
1.35/1
0.21/0
M. Emmanuel
K. Nisbet n 876
0.42/1
15/2
A. Lowry
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cadden n 586.6
2.15/2
N. Guinness-Walker n 585.4
2.55/4
L. Mayo n 585
0.84/0
K. Nisbet n 876
00/0
T. Olusanya n 878.4
0.95/1
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nisbet572360 min10.3 /9010.3 /9071.8 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
L. Smith539196 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9020.9 /9031.4 /90
A. Mouloua533167 min00 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Ntelo351153 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
T. Olusanya571357 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.3 /9000 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Müller n 590
00/0
00/0
C. Cadden n 586.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 585.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
L. Mayo n 585
0.41/1
0.21/0
K. Nisbet n 876
1.56/3
0.64/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Müller n 590
00/0
00/0
C. Cadden n 586.6
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 585.4
00/0
00/0
L. Mayo n 585
0.21/0
00/0
K. Nisbet n 876
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MotherwellAberdeen
69%Possession31%
0.77Expected goals (xG)0.91
12Shots11
5Shots on target4
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box7
5Corners2
1Offsides3
7Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves5
695Passes310
88%Pass accuracy74%

Motherwell Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Paulsen9000000005.2
T. Sparrow90000012Y6.9
J. Girdwood-Reich9000000005.9
Martin Moormann9000000306.7
M. Emmanuel90003220Y5.7
L. Fadinger9000111107
A. Lowry7500422207
J. Hodge6800000206.7
R. Charles-Cook6700002006.3
J. Kanga5300001006.3
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise5300000006.2
I. Said sub3700100006.7
S. Palmer-Houlden sub3700100006.5
W. Vogt sub2300001006.7
D. Levitt sub2200000006.6
E. Björgólfs­son sub1500000006.6

Aberdeen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Müller9001001008
C. Cadden9000000006.9
G. Molloy9010110208.3
N. Guinness-Walker9000001306.9
C. Ronan9011113208.2
K. Nisbet9011311108.5
M. Knoester7800000307.5
Findlay Marshall7200100006.6
T. Olusanya7200002106
A. Aremu64001003Y7
L. Mayo45000001Y6.6
J. Milne sub4500000006.3
Alexander Briedl sub2600000206.9
S. Armstrong sub1800000106.7
A. Mouloua sub18101101Y7.9
D. Happe sub1200000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Motherwell v Aberdeen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MotherwellLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
AberdeenWLLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Motherwell 3 · 1 draw · Aberdeen 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-18 Aberdeen 2–0 Motherwell
  • 2026-02-15 Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-11-09 Aberdeen 1–1 Motherwell
  • 2025-09-27 Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-09-20 Aberdeen 0–1 Motherwell
  • 2025-03-29 Aberdeen 4–1 Motherwell
League standing · 2026/27
Motherwell#9 pos13 pts13 pl-6 GD
Aberdeen#11 pos11 pts12 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Motherwell scored1.15
Aberdeen scored1
Motherwell conceded1.62
Aberdeen conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Motherwell v Aberdeen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Motherwell v Aberdeen was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.15 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Aberdeen?
In their last 6 meetings, Motherwell won 3, Aberdeen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Motherwell and Aberdeen?
Recent form — Motherwell 1W 1D 3L; Aberdeen 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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