Motherwell v Kilmarnock prediction

Premiership · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Fir Park

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Motherwell · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Motherwell v Kilmarnock, Premiership on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Motherwell host Kilmarnock in the Premiership on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Form and the table

Eight of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Motherwell have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.57. Motherwell have scored 15 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded 21 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs.

Nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Kilmarnock have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.86. Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Motherwell are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Kilmarnock are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Motherwell (ninth) and Kilmarnock (12th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Motherwell the stronger side, 76 rating points above Kilmarnock (Motherwell 1529, Kilmarnock 1453, after at least 310 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell.

Team news

Predicted Motherwell XI (4-2-3-1): A. Paulsen, M. Emmanuel, T. Sparrow, M. Moormann, J. Girdwood-Reich, J. Hodge, T. Maswanhise, I. Said, L. Fadinger, J. Kanga, S. Palmer-Houlden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ibrahim Said (4.3 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Lukas Fadinger (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, three goals) have been Motherwell’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Motherwell (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ibrahim Said averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lukas Fadinger averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1143 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Kilmarnock XI (4-2-3-1): C. Ferrie, G. Stanger, C. McCarthy, M. Schjønning-Larsen, J. Brandon, T. Lowery, A. Tshibola, G. Kiltie, E. Ring, T. John-Jules, J. Hugill — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Greg Kiltie (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and George Stanger (3.4 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Kilmarnock’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kilmarnock (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Greg Kiltie averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. George Stanger averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1112 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premiership · Fir Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Motherwell 3 · draws 1 · Kilmarnock 2 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Motherwell 1W 2D 2L · Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L

Motherwell v Kilmarnock (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.25

Goals

against 2 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 5.57

Corners

against 6 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.88 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 5.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.88 / 2.29

Cards

against 2.5 / 0.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Motherwell for / against	Line	Kilmarnock for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.57 for · 7 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.88 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.86 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5

Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Paulsen	15	901350 min	573.8 /90	231.5 /90	00 /90

Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	3.6 5/5

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Emmanuel	15	861286 min	120.8 /90	120.8 /90	80.6 /90	463.2 /90	90.6 /90	20.1 /90
Martin Moormann	14	831159 min	171.3 /90	90.7 /90	120.9 /90	433.3 /90	90.7 /90	40.3 /90
T. Sparrow	14	791105 min	322.6 /90	70.6 /90	40.3 /90	625 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90
J. Girdwood-Reich	13	71921 min	70.7 /90	80.8 /90	80.8 /90	504.9 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90
Jamie Knight-Lebel	7	65458 min	00 /90	30.6 /90	132.6 /90	173.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	0.7 4/1	1.1 4/2	—
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	1.4 5/3	0.8 4/2	—
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	0.8 4/2
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	1.7 7/3
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	1.7 7/3
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	2.3 8/5
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	80.6	1.3 3/3
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Palmer-Houlden	13	61794 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	232.6 /90	70.8 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
R. Charles-Cook	9	46412 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	61.3 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	51.1 /90
E. Björgólfsson	7	21146 min	00 /90	00 /90	95.5 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
W. Vogt	5	42208 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90
W. Vogt	4	33130 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	1.4 6/2	0.5 3/1
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	0.7 5/0	0.7 5/0
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Stryjek	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	142.3 /90
C. Ferrie	4	90360 min	164 /90	61.5 /90
Nico Mantl	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.9 7/4
C. Ferrie n 4	90	4 3/2

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Stanger	12	881061 min	252.1 /90	131.1 /90	100.8 /90	665.6 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen	12	83993 min	80.7 /90	70.6 /90	50.5 /90	312.8 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
J. Brandon	11	67742 min	121.5 /90	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	263.2 /90	192.3 /90	30.4 /90
C. McCarthy	10	89885 min	131.3 /90	212.1 /90	60.6 /90	474.8 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara	4	50199 min	20.9 /90	31.4 /90	52.3 /90	104.5 /90	41.8 /90	10.5 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.3 7/3	0.9 6/1	—
G. Stanger n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.6 4/1	—
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.4 2/1	1.1 6/3	—
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.4 2/1	1.7 6/5	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.8 6/0	0.6 3/1	—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1
G. Stanger n 8	90	2.5 8/5
T. Lowery n 8	89	1.6 6/5
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.7 4/1
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	1.1 6/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	12	891066 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
T. John-Jules	11	69755 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	192.3 /90	60.7 /90	141.7 /90	20.2 /90
D. Daniels	5	46230 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90
N. Cleșcenco	5	35173 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	84.2 /90	21 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.5 5/4	0.9 4/2
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	2.2 6/5	1 4/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Motherwell v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MotherwellLLDWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

KilmarnockLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Motherwell 3 · 1 draw · Kilmarnock 2 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-10-17 Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
2026-01-24 Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock
2025-11-22 Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell
2025-08-30 Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock
2025-05-14 Motherwell 3–0 Kilmarnock
2025-04-05 Kilmarnock 2–0 Motherwell

League standing · 2026/27

Motherwell#9 pos13 pts13 pl-6 GD

Kilmarnock#12 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

Motherwell scored1.15

Kilmarnock scored1.08

Motherwell conceded1.62

Kilmarnock conceded2.33

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Kilmarnock?: In their last 6 meetings, Motherwell won 3, Kilmarnock won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Motherwell and Kilmarnock?: Recent form — Motherwell 1W 2D 2L; Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L.

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