Rangers v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock

Premiership · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:00 BST · Ibrox Stadium

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 20:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rangers · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock — Rangers won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.15 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 182 of 270 times (67.4%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at Ibrox Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 10 October. Rangers have won their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rangers led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Rangers: Ryan Naderi (15’, assisted by James Penrice; 44’, assisted by Djeidi Gassama) and K. Kelsy (24’); Kilmarnock: Nicky Cleșcenco (90’, assisted by Joseph Hugill).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Naderi’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rangers 1.93, Kilmarnock 1.25, from 18 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. MacDermid showed two yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rangers: Kosta Nedeljković (64’); Kilmarnock: Michael Schjønning-Larsen (49’).

What it changes

Rangers move up from second to first (eight league matches played). Rangers have scored 11 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Rangers have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock stay 12th after this result (eight league matches played). Kilmarnock have scored seven goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Rangers have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Naderi (Rangers) 9.8, James Penrice (Rangers) 6.6 and Djeidi Gassama (Rangers) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Rangers are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Kilmarnock.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rangers to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rangers next host Aberdeen on 31 October 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rangers: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock · Premiership
Venue: Ibrox Stadium · Glasgow
Referee: M. MacDermid
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rangers 5 · draws 0 · Kilmarnock 1 · 4.33 goals/game
Recent form: Rangers 5W 0D 0L · Kilmarnock 1W 3D 1L

Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88

Goals

against 0.25 / 1.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

6.14 / 5.17

Corners

against 4.29 / 7 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

6 / 3.83

Shots on target

against 2.57 / 6.17 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.86 / 2.67

Cards

against 2.29 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3.71 yellows

Referee · M. MacDermid

24.21 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Rangers for / against	Line	Kilmarnock for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.17 for · 7 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	15.14 for · 7.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.33 for · 19 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.83 for · 6.17 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.71 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.83 for · 12.17 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.67 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: M. MacDermid — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 24.21 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rangers

Rangers Goalkeeper

Rangers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Pandur	8	90720 min	192.4 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90

Rangers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Pandur n 8	90	2.4 6/3

Rangers Defensive

Rangers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Fernandez	8	90719 min	91.1 /90	121.5 /90	30.4 /90	587.3 /90	111.4 /90	20.3 /90
Olwethu Makhanya	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	314.4 /90	60.9 /90	10.1 /90
D. Sterling	6	90540 min	142.3 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90	366 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90
J. Penrice	6	85508 min	132.3 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	264.6 /90	81.4 /90	00 /90
T. Rommens	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	147 /90	21 /90	00 /90
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Rangers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
E. Fernandez n 8	89.9	1.4 7/3	1 5/3	M. Schjønning-Larsen
D. Gassama n 8	69.1	0.7 4/0	3.1 7/6	G. Kiltie
Olwethu Makhanya n 7	90	0.9 4/1	0.3 2/0	G. Stanger
Findlay Curtis n 8	59.4	0.6 2/1	2.5 7/4	—
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Rangers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Fernandez n 8	89.9	1.1 4/3
D. Gassama n 8	69.1	0.5 3/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 7	90	1.1 6/2
Findlay Curtis n 8	59.4	1.9 5/3
D. Sterling n 8	81.4	1.9 6/5
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Rangers Attacking

Rangers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Naderi	6	75450 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	153 /90	91.8 /90	102 /90	30.6 /90
L. Shankland	4	89355 min	30.8 /90	00 /90	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90
K. Kelsy	3	57170 min	00 /90	00 /90	63.2 /90	21.1 /90	52.6 /90	00 /90
Youssef Chermiti	2	4181 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.3 /90	22.2 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90
B. Bouanani	2	3978 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	33.5 /90	22.3 /90
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Rangers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Fernandez n 8	89.9	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
D. Gassama n 8	69.1	2.9 8/5	0.8 5/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Findlay Curtis n 8	59.4	1.1 5/1	0.4 2/0
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Rangers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Fernandez n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Gassama n 8	69.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Findlay Curtis n 8	59.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Stryjek	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	142.3 /90	00 /90
C. Ferrie	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.9 7/4

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Schjønning-Larsen	7	88614 min	50.7 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	223.2 /90	60.9 /90	10.1 /90
G. Stanger	7	87611 min	91.3 /90	91.3 /90	91.3 /90	263.8 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
J. Brandon	7	61429 min	81.7 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	194 /90	122.5 /90	10.2 /90
C. McCarthy	5	90450 min	91.8 /90	132.6 /90	30.6 /90	244.8 /90	51 /90	20.4 /90
J. Yfeko	2	68135 min	42.7 /90	21.3 /90	42.7 /90	64 /90	32 /90	00 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	90	1 6/2	1 6/2	—
G. Kiltie n 8	88.6	0.8 5/1	2.8 8/7	D. Gassama
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	82.4	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0	E. Fernandez
G. Stanger n 8	84.1	0.8 5/1	0.5 3/1	Olwethu Makhanya
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	0.3 2/0	1.2 7/2	—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	90	0.3 2/0
G. Kiltie n 8	88.6	1.3 7/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	82.4	0.8 4/1
G. Stanger n 8	84.1	1.3 8/2
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	1.8 6/5
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	7	90630 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	121.7 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
T. John-Jules	6	63377 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
D. Daniels	4	43171 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
C. Burke	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	90	1.8 6/5	1.3 6/4
G. Kiltie n 8	88.6	1.3 6/3	0.8 4/2
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	82.4	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
G. Stanger n 8	84.1	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	82.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
G. Stanger n 8	84.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Lowery n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rangers		Kilmarnock
59%	Possession	41%
1.93	Expected goals (xG)	1.25
18	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	5
8	Blocked shots	3
11	Shots inside the box	11
7	Corners	3
1	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	1
506	Passes	351
86%	Pass accuracy	80%

Rangers Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Pandur	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
E. Fernandez	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.9
Olwethu Makhanya	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Penrice	90	0	1	0	0	3	3	0	6.9
N. Raskin	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
R. Naderi	90	2	0	2	2	2	0	0	8.2
Dan Neil	88	0	0	1	0	3	2	0	7.6
Minsu Kim	88	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	7.3
D. Gassama	88	0	1	3	0	3	0	0	7.3
K. Kelsy	73	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
D. Sterling	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
K. Nedeljković sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
Findlay Curtis sub	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
B. Miovski sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
B. Bouanani sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
T. Chukwuani sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Kilmarnock Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Ferrie	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.3
C. McCarthy	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
G. Stanger	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7
M. Schjønning-Larsen	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
A. Tshibola	90	0	0	2	2	1	1	0	6.9
T. Lowery	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
T. John-Jules	90	0	0	2	1	4	1	0	6.9
J. Hugill	90	0	1	3	1	1	1	0	6.5
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara	79	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
G. Kiltie	79	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
E. Ring	75	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
N. Cleșcenco sub	15	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	8
J. Brandon sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
D. Daniels sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rangers v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RangersWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

KilmarnockLDDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rangers 5 · 0 draws · Kilmarnock 1 · 4.33 goals/game

2026-02-04 Rangers 5–1 Kilmarnock
2025-12-06 Kilmarnock 0–3 Rangers
2025-10-26 Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
2025-02-26 Kilmarnock 2–4 Rangers
2024-12-04 Rangers 6–0 Kilmarnock
2024-10-20 Kilmarnock 1–0 Rangers

League standing · 2026/27

Rangers#2 pos24 pts11 pl+10 GD

Kilmarnock#12 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

Rangers scored1.73

Kilmarnock scored1.08

Rangers conceded0.82

Kilmarnock conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rangers v Kilmarnock?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rangers v Kilmarnock was Home win (best price 1.15 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Rangers and Kilmarnock?: In their last 6 meetings, Rangers won 5, Kilmarnock won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rangers and Kilmarnock?: Recent form — Rangers 5W 0D 0L; Kilmarnock 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 20:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.