RangersKilmarnock

Rangers v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock

Premiership · · Ibrox Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rangers · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock — Rangers won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.15 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 181 of 269 times (67.3%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at Ibrox Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 10 October. Rangers have won their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rangers led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Rangers: Ryan Naderi (15’, assisted by James Penrice; 44’, assisted by Djeidi Gassama) and K. Kelsy (24’); Kilmarnock: Nicky Cleșcenco (90’, assisted by Joseph Hugill).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Naderi’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rangers 1.93, Kilmarnock 1.25, from 18 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. MacDermid showed two yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rangers: Kosta Nedeljković (64’); Kilmarnock: Michael Schjønning-Larsen (49’).

What it changes

Rangers move up from second to first (eight league matches played). Rangers have scored 11 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Rangers have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock stay 12th after this result (eight league matches played). Kilmarnock have scored seven goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Rangers have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Naderi (Rangers) 9.8, James Penrice (Rangers) 6.6 and Djeidi Gassama (Rangers) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Rangers are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Kilmarnock.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rangers to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rangers next host Aberdeen on 31 October 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rangers: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock · Premiership
  • Venue: Ibrox Stadium · Glasgow
  • Referee: M. MacDermid
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rangers 5 · draws 0 · Kilmarnock 1 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rangers 5W 0D 0L · Kilmarnock 1W 3D 1L

Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.25 / 1.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
6.14 / 5.17
Corners
against 4.29 / 7 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
6 / 3.83
Shots on target
against 2.57 / 6.17 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.86 / 2.67
Cards
against 2.29 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · M. MacDermid
24.21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRangers for / againstLineKilmarnock for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.25 against n 8
3.75our book
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.14 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.17 for · 7 against n 6
Shots
15.14 for · 7.14 against n 7
19.5standard
10.33 for · 19 against n 6
Shots on target
6 for · 2.57 against n 7
8.5standard
3.83 for · 6.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
12.71 for · 12 against n 7
21.5standard
11.83 for · 12.17 against n 6
Cards shown
1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.67 for · 2 against n 6

Referee: M. MacDermid — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 24.21 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rangers

Rangers Goalkeeper

Rangers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Pandur890720 min192.4 /9040.5 /9000 /90
Rangers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Pandur n 890
2.46/3

Rangers Defensive

Rangers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Fernandez890719 min91.1 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90587.3 /90111.4 /9020.3 /90
Olwethu Makhanya790630 min81.1 /9091.3 /9040.6 /90314.4 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
D. Sterling690540 min142.3 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90366 /9050.8 /9030.5 /90
J. Penrice685508 min132.3 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90264.6 /9081.4 /9000 /90
T. Rommens290180 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /90147 /9021 /9000 /90
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Rangers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Pandur n 890
00/0
00/0
—
E. Fernandez n 889.9
1.47/3
15/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D. Gassama n 869.1
0.74/0
3.17/6
G. Kiltie
Olwethu Makhanya n 790
0.94/1
0.32/0
G. Stanger
Findlay Curtis n 859.4
0.62/1
2.57/4
—
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Rangers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernandez n 889.9
1.14/3
D. Gassama n 869.1
0.53/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 790
1.16/2
Findlay Curtis n 859.4
1.95/3
D. Sterling n 881.4
1.96/5
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Rangers Attacking

Rangers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Naderi675450 min30.6 /9010.2 /90153 /9091.8 /90102 /9030.6 /90
L. Shankland489355 min30.8 /9000 /9092.3 /9071.8 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
K. Kelsy357170 min00 /9000 /9063.2 /9021.1 /9052.6 /9000 /90
Youssef Chermiti24181 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
B. Bouanani23978 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9033.5 /9022.3 /90
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Rangers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Pandur n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Fernandez n 889.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
D. Gassama n 869.1
2.98/5
0.85/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 790
00/0
00/0
Findlay Curtis n 859.4
1.15/1
0.42/0
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Rangers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Pandur n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Fernandez n 889.9
00/0
00/0
D. Gassama n 869.1
00/0
0.21/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 790
00/0
00/0
Findlay Curtis n 859.4
00/0
0.21/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Stryjek690540 min264.3 /90142.3 /9000 /90
C. Ferrie19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 890
3.97/4

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Schjønning-Larsen788614 min50.7 /9030.4 /9030.4 /90223.2 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
G. Stanger787611 min91.3 /9091.3 /9091.3 /90263.8 /9050.7 /9000 /90
J. Brandon761429 min81.7 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90194 /90122.5 /9010.2 /90
C. McCarthy590450 min91.8 /90132.6 /9030.6 /90244.8 /9051 /9020.4 /90
J. Yfeko268135 min42.7 /9021.3 /9042.7 /9064 /9032 /9000 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Hugill n 890
16/2
16/2
—
G. Kiltie n 888.6
0.85/1
2.88/7
D. Gassama
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 882.4
0.85/1
0.43/0
E. Fernandez
G. Stanger n 884.1
0.85/1
0.53/1
Olwethu Makhanya
T. Lowery n 887.5
0.32/0
1.27/2
—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 890
0.32/0
G. Kiltie n 888.6
1.37/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 882.4
0.84/1
G. Stanger n 884.1
1.38/2
T. Lowery n 887.5
1.86/5
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Hugill790630 min10.1 /9000 /90121.7 /9081.1 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
T. John-Jules663377 min00 /9000 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9030.7 /9000 /90
D. Daniels443171 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.6 /9000 /90
Roshaun Mathurin13131 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.9 /90
C. Burke12626 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.5 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 890
1.86/5
1.36/4
G. Kiltie n 888.6
1.36/3
0.84/2
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 882.4
0.54/0
0.43/0
G. Stanger n 884.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Lowery n 887.5
0.32/0
00/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 890
0.42/1
00/0
G. Kiltie n 888.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 882.4
0.11/0
00/0
G. Stanger n 884.1
0.11/0
00/0
T. Lowery n 887.5
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RangersKilmarnock
59%Possession41%
1.93Expected goals (xG)1.25
18Shots13
4Shots on target5
6Shots off target5
8Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box11
7Corners3
1Offsides1
15Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves1
506Passes351
86%Pass accuracy80%

Rangers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Pandur9000000007
E. Fernandez9000002107.9
Olwethu Makhanya9000000106.7
J. Penrice9001003306.9
N. Raskin9000000107.2
R. Naderi9020222008.2
Dan Neil8800103207.6
Minsu Kim8800211207.3
D. Gassama8801303007.3
K. Kelsy7310211006.9
D. Sterling4500000007
K. Nedeljković sub45000002Y6.2
Findlay Curtis sub1700001006.9
B. Miovski sub20000000–
B. Bouanani sub20000000–
T. Chukwuani sub20000000–

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ferrie9000000105.3
C. McCarthy9000001207
G. Stanger9000000507
M. Schjønning-Larsen90000001Y6.2
A. Tshibola9000221106.9
T. Lowery9000001207.3
T. John-Jules9000214106.9
J. Hugill9001311106.5
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara7900001106.7
G. Kiltie7900101106.2
E. Ring7500101006.6
N. Cleșcenco sub1510110208
J. Brandon sub1100000106.6
D. Daniels sub1100000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rangers v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RangersWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
KilmarnockLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rangers 5 · 0 draws · Kilmarnock 1 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-04 Rangers 5–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-12-06 Kilmarnock 0–3 Rangers
  • 2025-10-26 Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-02-26 Kilmarnock 2–4 Rangers
  • 2024-12-04 Rangers 6–0 Kilmarnock
  • 2024-10-20 Kilmarnock 1–0 Rangers
League standing · 2026/27
Rangers#2 pos24 pts11 pl+10 GD
Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Rangers scored1.73
Kilmarnock scored1.08
Rangers conceded0.82
Kilmarnock conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rangers v Kilmarnock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rangers v Kilmarnock was Home win (best price 1.15 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Rangers and Kilmarnock?
In their last 6 meetings, Rangers won 5, Kilmarnock won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rangers and Kilmarnock?
Recent form — Rangers 5W 0D 0L; Kilmarnock 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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