ST Johnstone v Hibernian result

Full-time · ST Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian

Premiership · Sun, 06 Sep 2026 15:00 BST · McDiarmid Park

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Johnstone · Hibernian · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian — ST Johnstone won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.36 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Johnstone beat Hibernian 2–1 at McDiarmid Park in the Premiership on Sunday 6 September. It is ST Johnstone’s first win over Hibernian since 6 April 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

ST Johnstone led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — ST Johnstone: J. Fowler (17’, 41’ pen); Hibernian: Nathan Lowe (29’, assisted by M. Chaiwa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Fowler’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: ST Johnstone 2.49, Hibernian 1.72, from 9 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. McLean showed one yellow card — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — ST Johnstone: Taylor Steven (36’).

What it changes

ST Johnstone move up from eighth to seventh (five league matches played). ST Johnstone have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). ST Johnstone have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs.

Hibernian move down from seventh to eighth (five league matches played). Hibernian have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Fowler (ST Johnstone) 8.8, Jason Kerr (Hibernian) 5.9 and Enes Alić (ST Johnstone) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Hibernian are unbeaten in the last four meetings with ST Johnstone.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Hibernian, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

ST Johnstone next host Dundee on 7 November 2026.

Hibernian next travel to Aberdeen on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Johnstone: ST Johnstone v Dundee, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Hibernian: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: ST Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian · Premiership
Venue: McDiarmid Park · Perth
Referee: S. McLean
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): ST Johnstone 2 · draws 1 · Hibernian 3 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: ST Johnstone 1W 2D 2L · Hibernian 2W 1D 2L

ST Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.8 / 4.29

Corners

against 4.8 / 5.43 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 5 matches

3 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 4.6 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1.2 / 2.57

Cards

against 1 / 1.57 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 5 matches

3.6 yellows

Referee · S. McLean

23.5 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 20 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	ST Johnstone for / against	Line	Hibernian for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.8 for · 4.8 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4.29 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	9.6 for · 9.2 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	9 for · 8.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.4 for · 11.8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	11.57 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.2 for · 1 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: S. McLean — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 23.5 fouls over 20 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone Goalkeeper

ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Steward	4	90360 min	143.5 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Steward n 4	90	3.5 4/2

ST Johnstone Defensive

ST Johnstone — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Diabate	4	90360 min	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	205 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90
Z. Mitchell	4	90360 min	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	184.5 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
L. Smith	3	88263 min	62.1 /90	93.1 /90	00 /90	155.1 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90
E. Alić	2	90180 min	21 /90	21 /90	00 /90	126 /90	52.5 /90	00 /90
Enes Alic	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	115.5 /90	52.5 /90	00 /90
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ST Johnstone — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Z. Mitchell n 8	82.4	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0	J. Kerr
T. Steward n 4	90	0.3 1/0	1.5 3/2	—
C. Diabate n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	J. Kerr
S. Stanton n 4	85.5	0.8 2/1	0.5 1/1	—
R. McAlear n 4	84.8	2.9 4/3	0.5 1/1	—
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ST Johnstone — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Z. Mitchell n 8	82.4	1.2 5/2
C. Diabate n 4	90	0.8 3/0
S. Stanton n 4	85.5	1.3 4/1
R. McAlear n 4	84.8	2.1 3/2
J. Gullan n 4	83.3	1.4 3/2
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ST Johnstone Attacking

ST Johnstone — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Paton	4	74297 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
J. Fowler	4	64255 min	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90
K. Fotheringham	3	2163 min	11.4 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	34.3 /90
S. Stanton	4	86342 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	51.3 /90
R. McAlear	4	85339 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90
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ST Johnstone — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Diabate n 4	90	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
T. Steward n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Z. Mitchell n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Stanton n 4	85.5	1.1 2/2	0 0/0
R. McAlear n 4	84.8	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
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ST Johnstone — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Diabate n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
T. Steward n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Z. Mitchell n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Stanton n 4	85.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
R. McAlear n 4	84.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Sallinger	5	90450 min	183.6 /90	102 /90	00 /90

Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 8	90	3.6 7/5

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Kerr	5	90450 min	61.2 /90	30.6 /90	61.2 /90	408 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
J. Obita	5	78389 min	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	81.9 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90
W. O'Hora	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
G. Hanley	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	63 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
K. Megwa	1	7676 min	22.4 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	22.4 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Mulligan n 8	75.5	2.1 7/6	0.4 2/1	—
J. Kerr n 5	90	0.4 2/0	1.2 4/1	C. Diabate
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
J. Obita n 8	80.9	1.1 6/2	0.4 2/1	—
N. Lowe n 5	74.8	1.4 4/2	1.4 4/2	—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Mulligan n 8	75.5	4 8/7
J. Kerr n 5	90	1.2 2/2
J. Obita n 8	80.9	1.1 5/3
N. Lowe n 5	74.8	0.7 2/1
F. Passlack n 8	84.6	2.7 8/6
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Lowe	5	75374 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	81.9 /90	30.7 /90	81.9 /90	41 /90
M. Boyle	4	75300 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	72.1 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
A. Šuto	3	3091 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90
Owen Elding	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	33 /90	22 /90	22 /90	11 /90
T. Klidje	1	5757 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Mulligan n 8	75.5	1.2 5/2	0.4 2/1
J. Kerr n 5	90	0.6 2/1	0.4 2/0
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Obita n 8	80.9	0.4 1/1	0.1 1/0
N. Lowe n 5	74.8	1.9 3/2	0.7 2/1
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Mulligan n 8	75.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
J. Kerr n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Obita n 8	80.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
N. Lowe n 5	74.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST Johnstone		Hibernian
46%	Possession	54%
2.49	Expected goals (xG)	1.72
9	Shots	14
4	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	6
6	Shots inside the box	10
2	Corners	7
1	Offsides	4
10	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
447	Passes	505
81%	Pass accuracy	82%

ST Johnstone Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Enes Alic	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.7
C. Diabate	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
J. Holt	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.3
R. McAlear	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
Z. Mitchell	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.5
L. Smith	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
T. Steward	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
E. Alić	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.9
J. Fowler	72	2	4	2	0	0	0	7.2
S. Stanton	72	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
T. Steven	57	0	0	0	2	2	Y	8.5
J. Gullan	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
K. Fotheringham sub	50	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Cotterill sub	33	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
D. Schmidt sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Tait sub	18	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
M. Todd sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Hibernian Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
F. Passlack	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.3
M. Chaiwa	90	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.6
J. Kerr	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	7.2
A. Mayor	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	7.2
J. McGrath	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	6.5
R. Sallinger	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Mulligan	75	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.5
J. Devaney	61	0	0	0	0	1	2	6.3
G. Hanley	61	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.3
N. Lowe	61	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.6
M. Boyle	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
A. Šuto sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	0	5.9
T. Klidje sub	29	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.3
K. Megwa sub	29	0	0	1	1	0	1	7.5
C. Wright sub	29	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.7
N. Cadden sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Johnstone v Hibernian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ST JohnstoneDWLLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

HibernianWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

ST Johnstone 2 · 1 draw · Hibernian 3 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-03-29 Hibernian 3–0 ST Johnstone
2025-01-02 ST Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian
2024-09-14 Hibernian 2–0 ST Johnstone
2024-04-27 ST Johnstone 1–3 Hibernian
2024-04-06 Hibernian 1–2 ST Johnstone
2023-12-16 ST Johnstone 1–0 Hibernian

League standing · 2026/27

ST Johnstone#7 pos14 pts12 pl-4 GD

Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

ST Johnstone scored1.25

Hibernian scored1

ST Johnstone conceded1.58

Hibernian conceded1.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Johnstone v Hibernian?: TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Johnstone v Hibernian was Draw or Away (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between ST Johnstone and Hibernian?: In their last 6 meetings, ST Johnstone won 2, Hibernian won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Johnstone and Hibernian?: Recent form — ST Johnstone 1W 2D 2L; Hibernian 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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