ST MirrenKilmarnock

ST Mirren v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock

Premiership · · The SMISA Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Mirren · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock — Kilmarnock won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,967 of 2,632 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kilmarnock won 3–0 at The SMISA Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 9 May. ST Mirren have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Kilmarnock led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — ST Mirren: an own goal by Miguel Freckleton (9’); Kilmarnock: Findlay Curtis (46’, assisted by Greg Kiltie; 68’, assisted by Thomas Lowery).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: ST Mirren 0.78, Kilmarnock 1.15, from 12 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Robertson showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — ST Mirren: Liam Donnelly (15’), Roland Idowu (26’) and Killian Phillips (54’); Kilmarnock: Joseph Hugill (52’).

What it changes

ST Mirren have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Findlay Curtis (Kilmarnock) 9.7, Thomas Lowery (Kilmarnock) 5.5 and D. Thompson (Kilmarnock) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock are unbeaten in the last four meetings with ST Mirren.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, ST Mirren or Kilmarnock (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

ST Mirren next travel to Celtic on 21 November 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Mirren: Celtic v ST Mirren, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock · Premiership
  • Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
  • Referee: D. Robertson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 1 · draws 2 · Kilmarnock 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L · Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L

ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.67 / 4
Corners
against 6.33 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.33 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.43 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.14 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.17 yellows
Referee · D. Robertson
24.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameST Mirren for / againstLineKilmarnock for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.67 for · 6.33 against n 6
9.5standard
4 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
10.17 for · 9.33 against n 6
19.5standard
11 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.33 for · 3.33 against n 6
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.33 for · 12 against n 6
21.5standard
14.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: D. Robertson — 4.17 yellow cards a game, 0.28 red cards, 24.22 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. George33882888 min963 /90481.5 /9000 /90
R. Mullen24182 min22.2 /9000 /9000 /90
ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. George n 882.8
2.34/3

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Freckleton34903060 min762.2 /90320.9 /90290.9 /902005.9 /90230.7 /9070.2 /90
M. Fraser27842273 min552.2 /90271.1 /90210.8 /901194.7 /90160.6 /9050.2 /90
R. King24751810 min281.4 /90140.7 /90160.8 /90633.1 /90221.1 /9070.3 /90
S. Tanser1163689 min202.6 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90466 /9070.9 /9000 /90
L. Donnelly1064638 min233.2 /90131.8 /9020.3 /90476.6 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Phillips n 886
14/2
2.47/5
—
M. Freckleton n 890
0.53/1
1.16/2
D. Thompson
S. George n 882.8
0.11/0
0.74/1
—
M. Mandron n 868
1.56/3
1.55/2
—
A. Gogić n 890
1.97/5
0.32/0
—
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Phillips n 886
1.46/4
M. Freckleton n 890
1.97/6
M. Mandron n 868
0.53/0
A. Gogić n 890
2.47/5
D. John n 868
14/1
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Mandron33712337 min40.2 /9040.2 /90371.4 /90200.8 /90271 /90120.5 /90
D. Nlundulu25611521 min30.2 /9000 /90291.7 /90130.8 /90221.3 /90221.3 /90
J. Ayunga22541186 min30.2 /9000 /90251.9 /90131 /90100.8 /9060.5 /90
J. Young942376 min10.2 /9000 /9061.4 /9041 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
E. Mooney533165 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Phillips n 886
15/2
0.11/0
M. Freckleton n 890
0.65/0
0.32/0
S. George n 882.8
00/0
00/0
M. Mandron n 868
1.26/1
0.74/0
A. Gogić n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Phillips n 886
00/0
00/0
M. Freckleton n 890
0.11/0
00/0
S. George n 882.8
00/0
00/0
M. Mandron n 868
00/0
0.21/0
A. Gogić n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Oluwayemi12901080 min443.7 /90181.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Roos1190990 min444 /90262.4 /9020.2 /90
M. Stryjek990810 min313.4 /9091 /9010.1 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Oluwayemi n 890
4.38/7
K. Roos n 890
3.56/6
M. Stryjek n 890
3.46/6

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Deas33862851 min411.3 /90361.1 /90311 /901735.5 /90371.2 /90110.3 /90
D. Thompson31762351 min391.5 /90321.2 /90110.4 /90923.5 /90150.6 /9050.2 /90
L. Mayo21841771 min271.4 /90251.3 /90150.8 /90804.1 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
G. Stanger17851450 min130.8 /90140.9 /90100.6 /90633.9 /90161 /9060.4 /90
E. Brown15891331 min191.3 /90151 /90140.9 /90694.7 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Deas n 890
1.47/3
0.85/1
—
D. Thompson n 847.3
0.73/0
0.52/0
M. Freckleton
D. Watson n 860.4
0.93/1
0.94/1
—
G. Kiltie n 882.5
1.56/4
2.57/5
—
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.73/1
1.34/2
—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
1.14/3
D. Thompson n 847.3
14/0
D. Watson n 860.4
2.26/5
G. Kiltie n 882.5
1.96/4
B. Lyons n 861.6
1.35/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Anderson28631773 min40.2 /9020.1 /90301.5 /90130.7 /9090.5 /9010.1 /90
T. John-Jules17671143 min80.6 /9020.2 /90322.5 /90201.6 /90141.1 /90141.1 /90
M. Dackers17641085 min20.2 /9000 /90201.7 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90131.1 /90
J. Hugill1175821 min40.4 /9020.2 /90131.4 /9070.8 /9091 /9030.3 /90
S. Tiffoney1055552 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9071.1 /9061 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Thompson n 847.3
0.21/0
00/0
D. Watson n 860.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
G. Kiltie n 882.5
15/2
0.74/1
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Thompson n 847.3
00/0
00/0
D. Watson n 860.4
00/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 882.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
B. Lyons n 861.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST MirrenKilmarnock
59%Possession41%
0.78Expected goals (xG)1.15
12Shots10
2Shots on target4
3Shots off target2
7Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box7
1Corners4
0Offsides1
11Fouls11
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
616Passes427
86%Pass accuracy81%

ST Mirren Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sinclair9000000006.6
M. Fraser9000000206.9
L. Donnelly90000003Y6.7
M. Freckleton9000000106.9
J. Devaney9000001006.3
M. Mandron9000101006.2
K. Phillips90002120Y6.6
R. Idowu74000000Y6.5
Mark O'Hara4500110306.3
A. Campbell4500000406.6
C. McMenamin1400000006.5
S. Tanser sub5500002006.3
J. Richardson sub4500000005.9
J. Young sub4500002006.7
R. King sub2100000006.9
L. Douglas sub1600100006.6

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Stryjek9000000007.2
G. Stanger9000000107.5
R. Deas9000000107.6
D. Thompson9000001107
A. Tshibola9000211207.2
T. Lowery9001001207.2
Findlay Curtis8720322108.9
G. Kiltie7901001106.3
J. Hugill79000000Y6.3
M. Schjønning-Larsen5400000007.2
N. Cleșcenco4500000206.7
D. Watson sub4500111106.9
L. Mayo sub3600000206.9
R. McKenzie sub1100000006.3
B. Anderson sub1100001006.6
K. Magennis sub30000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST MirrenWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
KilmarnockWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
ST Mirren 1 · 2 draws · Kilmarnock 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-11 Kilmarnock 4–3 ST Mirren
  • 2025-12-27 ST Mirren 0–0 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-10-04 Kilmarnock 2–0 ST Mirren
  • 2025-09-19 Kilmarnock 2–2 ST Mirren
  • 2025-03-29 ST Mirren 5–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-01-02 Kilmarnock 2–0 ST Mirren
League standing · 2025/26
ST Mirren#5 pos34 pts38 pl-25 GD
Kilmarnock#4 pos40 pts38 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
ST Mirren scored0.79
Kilmarnock scored1.32
ST Mirren conceded1.45
Kilmarnock conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v Kilmarnock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Kilmarnock was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Kilmarnock?
In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, Kilmarnock won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Kilmarnock?
Recent form — ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L; Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L.

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