Arouca v Rio Ave result

Full-time · Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arouca · Rio Ave · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Arouca and Rio Ave drew 3–3 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 23 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Rio Ave out-shot Arouca 15 to 14 and created the better chances, 1.57 xG to 0.70 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Arouca led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Arouca: José Fontán (24’), A. Trezza (75’) and Näis Djouahra (90’, assisted by Lee Hyun-Ju); Rio Ave: Clayton (48’, assisted by André Luiz; 76’, assisted by Nicolaos Athanasiou) and Dario Špikić (64’, assisted by Clayton).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Näis Djouahra’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

H. Carvalho showed five yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arouca: Lee Hyun-Ju (20’), Barbero (34’) and José Fontán (40’); Rio Ave: Nelson Abbey (36’) and Andreas-Richardos Ntoi (38’).

What it changes

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 3, across nine matches. Rio Ave are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Rio Ave have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Clayton (Rio Ave) 11.8, Näis Djouahra (Arouca) 7.5 and Dario Špikić (Rio Ave) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Arouca next travel to Alverca on 24 October 2026.

Rio Ave next host Famalicao on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arouca: Alverca v Arouca, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Rio Ave: Rio Ave v Famalicao, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca
  • Referee: H. Carvalho
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 0 · draws 3 · Rio Ave 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · Rio Ave 1W 3D 1L

Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.14 / 4.71
Corners
against 5.86 / 5.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.57
Cards
against 2.43 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.67 yellows
Referee · H. Carvalho
1.89 home / 1.78 away
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArouca for / againstLineRio Ave for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.14 for · 5.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.71 for · 5.14 against n 7
Shots
11.43 for · 15.43 against n 7
19.5standard
12.71 for · 14.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.29 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
5.29 for · 5.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.43 for · 13.29 against n 7
21.5standard
13.71 for · 13.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.43 against n 7
3.5standard
2.57 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: H. Carvalho — 3.67 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 26.78 fouls over 9 matches (1.89 to the home side, 1.78 to the away side).

Arouca
Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Loum n 818.9
3.63/1
1.82/1
—
Arnau Solà n 521
3.43/1
00/0
—
D. Nandín n 848.8
2.57/3
2.16/2
—
Henrique Araújo n 836.4
2.56/2
1.55/0
—
G. Yalçın n 839.9
24/1
24/3
—
Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Miguel Puche n 838.5
2.65/3
1.54/1
B. Mansilla n 835.9
2.54/3
1.33/1
Henrique Araújo n 836.4
2.24/2
1.94/2
D. Nandín n 848.8
2.16/3
1.45/1
M. Sylla n 879.9
27/3
0.74/1
Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Henrique Araújo n 836.4
0.62/0
0.31/0
D. Nandín n 848.8
0.52/0
0.21/0
Miguel Puche n 838.5
0.62/0
00/0
A. Trezza n 885.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
Weverson n 870.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Arnau Solà n 521
4.34/1
A. Danté n 850
3.65/3
M. Loum n 818.9
3.64/2
Mateo Flores n 821.4
3.25/1
T. Fukui n 879.4
2.78/5
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nico Mantl n 891
37/4
João Valido n 890
2.54/4
Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Graça n 843.4
2.65/3
1.84/3
—
K. Zoabi n 819.1
2.42/1
0.61/0
—
João Novais n 845
2.35/4
13/1
—
Clayton n 890.3
2.28/5
2.68/7
—
Tiago Morais n 856.5
2.25/3
1.66/2
—
Rio Ave — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Clayton n 890.3
1.97/6
1.26/4
André Luiz n 888.1
1.86/5
16/2
João Novais n 845
1.83/3
0.82/1
M. Vrousai n 852.4
1.53/3
0.63/0
Tiago Morais n 856.5
1.45/1
0.84/0
Rio Ave — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Zoabi n 819.1
00/0
1.22/0
Vitor Gomes n 816.6
00/0
0.71/0
Martim Neto n 841.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
N. Athanasiou n 878.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 865.5
0.52/1
00/0
Rio Ave — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 865.5
2.46/4
K. Zoabi n 819.1
2.43/1
João Graça n 843.4
2.36/2
João Tomé n 870.3
2.26/4
J. Panzo n 879.5
2.18/5
Rio Ave — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Miszta n 888.6
3.67/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AroucaRio Ave
55%Possession45%
0.70Expected goals (xG)1.57
14Shots15
6Shots on target7
6Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box12
4Corners2
13Fouls17
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
473Passes394
87%Pass accuracy85%

Arouca player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
João Valido9000000207.2
B. Popović9000200206.9
José Fontán90101100Y7.9
A. Trezza9010110107
Lee Hyun-Ju90013211Y6.3
N. Djouahra9010221307.7
A. Danté8000001306.2
T. Fukui8000000306.6
Alex Pinto7200001006.5
Pedro Santos6000101106.9
Barbero60001001Y5.9
Tiago Esgaio sub3100002007.2
Mateo Flores sub3100001006.3
B. Mansilla sub1900100006.2
Arnau Solà sub1100000107
David Simão sub1100000006.6

Rio Ave player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Miszta9000000006.7
A. Ntoi90000000Y5.9
J. Panzo9000000007
N. Abbey90000001Y6
M. Vrousai9000111307.3
B. Aguilera9000221106.9
N. Athanasiou8501203007
Clayton8521324009.7
André Luiz7301201006.9
T. Bakoulas6100001006.3
Ole Pohlmann6100110106.6
G. Liavas sub3000000206.2
D. Špikić sub3010111308.5
A. Papakanellos sub1800000006.2
F. Petrasso sub900000006.3
Marc Gual sub900000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Arouca v Rio Ave — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AroucaDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Rio AveLWDDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arouca 0 · 3 draws · Rio Ave 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-02-10 Arouca 1–1 Rio Ave
  • 2024-09-01 Rio Ave 1–0 Arouca
  • 2024-04-19 Rio Ave 1–1 Arouca
  • 2023-12-10 Arouca 2–2 Rio Ave
  • 2023-04-28 Rio Ave 1–0 Arouca
  • 2022-11-12 Arouca 0–1 Rio Ave
League standing · 2025/26
Arouca#8 pos42 pts34 pl-17 GD
Rio Ave#12 pos36 pts34 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
Arouca scored1.38
Rio Ave scored1.03
Arouca conceded1.88
Rio Ave conceded1.68

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Arouca v Rio Ave?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Rio Ave was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Rio Ave?
In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 0, Rio Ave won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arouca and Rio Ave?
Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; Rio Ave 1W 3D 1L.

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