AVS v Guimaraes result

Full-time · AVS 1–1 Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · Sat, 11 Apr 2026 15:30 BST · Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AVS · Guimaraes

The model’s pre-match pick

AVS 1–1 Guimaraes — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

AVS and Guimaraes drew 1–1 at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 11 April. AVS are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Guimaraes: Gustavo (24’, assisted by Samu); AVS: Tómané (27’, assisted by Adriel).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tómané’s goal on 27 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Guimaraes, from fewer shots (14 to 17), created the better chances, 2.62 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

I. Vasilica showed six yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AVS: Simão (-5’), A. Green (37’), L. Rivas (65’), Gustavo Mendonça (90+1’) and C. Devenish (90+4’); Guimaraes: Thiago Balieiro (31’).

What it changes

AVS have scored 27 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). AVS have conceded 67 goals, the most of the 19 clubs.

Guimaraes have scored 39 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Guimaraes have conceded 51 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gustavo (Guimaraes) 6.5, Tómané (AVS) 6.2 and Adriel (AVS) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Guimaraes next host Estrela on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Guimaraes: Vitória SC v Estrela, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: AVS 1–1 Guimaraes · Primeira Liga
Venue: Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves
Referee: I. Vasilica
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): AVS 2 · draws 0 · Guimaraes 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: AVS 0W 3D 2L · Guimaraes 1W 1D 3L

AVS 1–1 Guimaraes (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 4.38

Corners

against 7.38 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2

Cards

against 1.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.6 yellows

Referee · I. Vasilica

27.8 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	AVS for / against	Line	Guimaraes for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.75 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: I. Vasilica — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 27.8 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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AVS

AVS Goalkeeper

AVS — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Adriel	11	90990 min	353.2 /90	181.6 /90
Simão	11	90990 min	282.5 /90	232.1 /90
João Gonçalves	6	90540 min	233.8 /90	172.8 /90

AVS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Adriel n 8	90	3.5 8/6
Simão n 8	90	2.6 8/4

AVS Defensive

AVS — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Kiki	21	701462 min	362.2 /90	231.4 /90	80.5 /90	845.2 /90	311.9 /90	20.1 /90
C. Devenish	19	851620 min	150.8 /90	271.5 /90	100.6 /90	573.2 /90	160.9 /90	40.2 /90
L. Rivas	18	561015 min	242.1 /90	111 /90	90.8 /90	484.3 /90	90.8 /90	30.3 /90
Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques	13	771006 min	161.4 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90	565 /90	151.3 /90	20.2 /90
Carlos Ponck	13	68884 min	141.4 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	373.8 /90	151.5 /90	30.3 /90
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AVS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Akinsola n 8	59.1	1 4/1	0.6 3/0	O. Camara
Tómané n 8	78.8	1.1 5/2	2 6/4	O. Camara
Ó. Perea n 8	30.8	1.8 3/1	1.1 2/1	—
Pedro Lima n 8	80.4	1.5 6/3	1.4 4/3	Samu
Kiki n 8	66.8	1.5 7/2	0.8 4/1	—
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AVS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 8	59.1	1.1 4/2
Tómané n 8	78.8	1 5/2
Ó. Perea n 8	30.8	0.7 1/1
Pedro Lima n 8	80.4	2.2 7/5
Kiki n 8	66.8	1.5 5/2
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AVS Attacking

AVS — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Tómané	23	781787 min	20.1 /90	10.1 /90	170.9 /90	80.4 /90	160.8 /90	50.3 /90
Ó. Perea	22	511132 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	211.7 /90	100.8 /90	80.6 /90	241.9 /90
D. Duarte	18	51924 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	111.1 /90	60.6 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Guilherme Neiva	14	39551 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	81.3 /90
Nenê	12	26307 min	41.2 /90	00 /90	144.1 /90	82.3 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90
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AVS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 8	59.1	1.7 5/4	0.6 3/0
Tómané n 8	78.8	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Ó. Perea n 8	30.8	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Pedro Lima n 8	80.4	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
Kiki n 8	66.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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AVS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 8	59.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tómané n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Ó. Perea n 8	30.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Lima n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Kiki n 8	66.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Guimaraes

Guimaraes Goalkeeper

Guimaraes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Castillo	15	901350 min	442.9 /90	191.3 /90	00 /90
Charles	13	901175 min	393 /90	231.8 /90	00 /90

Guimaraes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guimaraes before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Castillo n 8	90	1.9 5/2
Charles n 8	90.6	2.5 6/4

Guimaraes Defensive

Guimaraes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
João Mendes	25	832081 min	441.9 /90	261.1 /90	50.2 /90	883.8 /90	301.3 /90	70.3 /90
R. Abascal	24	872086 min	331.4 /90	291.3 /90	190.8 /90	803.5 /90	281.2 /90	50.2 /90
Miguel Maga	19	711349 min	251.7 /90	140.9 /90	60.4 /90	513.4 /90	171.1 /90	40.3 /90
T. Strata	15	721087 min	242 /90	191.6 /90	20.2 /90	715.9 /90	211.7 /90	20.2 /90
Óscar Rivas	13	901175 min	90.7 /90	171.3 /90	100.8 /90	413.1 /90	141.1 /90	10.1 /90
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Guimaraes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guimaraes before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
João Mendes n 8	82.1	0.8 5/1	1 4/1	—
R. Abascal n 8	80.8	1 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
Beni n 8	81.5	0.7 4/1	2.9 8/6	—
Samu n 8	77.3	2.6 7/6	0.7 4/1	Pedro Lima
O. Camara n 8	47.3	1.4 5/1	0.7 2/1	Tómané
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Guimaraes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guimaraes before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	82.1	2.2 5/5
R. Abascal n 8	80.8	1.8 8/3
Beni n 8	81.5	1.4 7/3
Samu n 8	77.3	2 7/4
O. Camara n 8	47.3	1 3/1
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Guimaraes Attacking

Guimaraes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Camara	23	541252 min	50.4 /90	20.1 /90	161.2 /90	100.7 /90	130.9 /90	80.6 /90
Nélson Oliveira	22	571258 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	221.6 /90	110.8 /90	80.6 /90	60.4 /90
A. Ndoye	20	45896 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	272.7 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90	70.7 /90
Gustavo	17	611029 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	272.4 /90	90.8 /90	151.3 /90	100.9 /90
Fabio Blanco	9	39348 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.8 /90	30.8 /90	41 /90	92.3 /90
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Guimaraes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guimaraes before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	82.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
R. Abascal n 8	80.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Beni n 8	81.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Samu n 8	77.3	1.3 6/3	0.9 6/0
O. Camara n 8	47.3	1.7 6/1	1.2 4/1
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Guimaraes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Guimaraes before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
R. Abascal n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Beni n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samu n 8	77.3	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
O. Camara n 8	47.3	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AVS		Guimaraes
39%	Possession	61%
1.01	Expected goals (xG)	2.62
17	Shots	14
4	Shots on target	6
6	Shots off target	7
7	Blocked shots	1
6	Shots inside the box	8
5	Corners	4
3	Offsides	2
16	Fouls	9
5	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	3
270	Passes	422
73%	Pass accuracy	82%

AVS Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Adriel	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	8.3
Matheus Pivô	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
C. Devenish	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.6
Paulo Vitor	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Gustavo Mendonça	90	0	0	1	1	2	4	Y	7.3
Roni	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
B. Akinsola	85	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Pedro Lima	82	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
Tómané	82	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.9
L. Rivas	69	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
A. Green	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
Ó. Perea sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.7
Kiki sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Guilherme Neiva sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
D. Duarte sub	8	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
Ángel Algobia sub	8	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	6.7

Guimaraes Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Charles	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
T. Strata	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
Óscar Rivas	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.2
Thiago Balieiro	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	7
João Mendes	90	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	7
Beni	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
Samu	90	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	6.7
Miguel Nogueira	70	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	6.9
Gustavo	70	1	0	3	2	1	1	0	8
Gonçalo Nogueira	56	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7
O. Camara	56	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
N. Saviolo sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Diogo Sousa sub	34	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
Nélson Oliveira sub	20	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Telmo Arcanjo sub	20	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AVS v Guimaraes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AVSDDLDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

GuimaraesDLLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

AVS 2 · 0 draws · Guimaraes 2 · 2 goals/game

2025-12-17 Guimaraes 0–1 AVS
2025-11-28 Guimaraes 4–0 AVS
2025-02-01 Guimaraes 2–0 AVS
2024-08-25 AVS 1–0 Guimaraes

League standing · 2025/26

AVS#18 pos21 pts34 pl-40 GD

Guimaraes#9 pos42 pts34 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

AVS scored0.79

Guimaraes scored1.15

AVS conceded1.97

Guimaraes conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AVS v Guimaraes?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AVS v Guimaraes was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between AVS and Guimaraes?: In their last 4 meetings, AVS won 2, Guimaraes won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AVS and Guimaraes?: Recent form — AVS 0W 3D 2L; Guimaraes 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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