BenficaNacional

Benfica v Nacional result

Full-time · Benfica 2–0 Nacional

Primeira Liga · · Estádio José Alvalade

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Benfica · Nacional · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Benfica 2–0 Nacional — Benfica won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,999 of 2,672 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Benfica beat Nacional 2–0 at Estádio José Alvalade in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 12 April. Benfica have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Benfica led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Benfica: Andreas Schjelderup (3’, assisted by G. Prestianni) and Rafa (14’, assisted by G. Prestianni).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Andreas Schjelderup’s goal on 3 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Benfica 3.43, Nacional 0.25, from 24 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Verissimo showed six yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Benfica: Samuel Dahl (22’); Nacional: Witi (50’), Léo Santos (56’), Matheus Dias (58’), Joel da Silva (90’) and L. Vallier (90+4’).

What it changes

Benfica stay third after this result (29 league matches played). Benfica have scored 74 goals, the second-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Benfica have conceded 25 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Nacional stay 15th after this result (29 league matches played). Nacional have scored 37 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Nacional have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Benfica are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Prestianni (Benfica) 8.9, Rafa (Benfica) 7.9 and Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Benfica are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nacional, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Benfica or Nacional (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Benfica next travel to Estrela on 8 November 2026.

Nacional next host Academico Viseu on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Benfica: Estrela v Benfica, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Benfica 2–0 Nacional · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon
  • Referee: F. Verissimo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Benfica 5 · draws 1 · Nacional 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Benfica 3W 2D 0L · Nacional 1W 1D 3L

Benfica 2–0 Nacional (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 5.5
Corners
against 3.88 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.5 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · F. Verissimo
25.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBenfica for / againstLineNacional for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
15.88 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
21.5standard
14.63 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: F. Verissimo — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.6 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Benfica

Benfica Goalkeeper

Benfica — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Trubin45894012 min1082.4 /90350.8 /9010 /90
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 890
36/4

Benfica Defensive

Benfica — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Dahl46853929 min1252.9 /90300.7 /9080.2 /902044.7 /90270.6 /9040.1 /90
N. Otamendi43893810 min611.4 /90601.4 /90320.8 /902846.7 /90350.8 /90110.3 /90
A. Dedić34842848 min611.9 /90250.8 /9020.1 /901625.1 /90321 /9060.2 /90
António Silva32852719 min461.5 /90351.2 /90190.6 /901474.9 /90361.2 /9070.2 /90
Tomás Araújo28832331 min461.8 /90401.5 /90210.8 /90863.3 /90100.4 /9060.2 /90
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Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Pavlidis n 887.9
0.54/0
1.87/3
—
S. Dahl n 890
0.43/0
1.35/2
Léo Santos
A. Trubin n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Otamendi n 882.5
0.85/1
14/3
Zé Vitor
F. Aursnes n 881
0.32/0
0.73/2
—
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Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Pavlidis n 887.9
0.53/1
S. Dahl n 890
2.37/7
N. Otamendi n 882.5
1.97/4
F. Aursnes n 881
2.16/4
R. Rios n 872.1
26/5
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Benfica Attacking

Benfica — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Pavlidis46863937 min270.6 /9070.2 /90962.2 /90561.3 /90561.3 /90290.7 /90
F. Ivanović2048963 min50.5 /9010.1 /90282.6 /90171.6 /9090.8 /90151.4 /90
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo252103 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9000 /9021.7 /9076.1 /90
A. Cabral11717 min00 /9000 /90210.6 /9015.3 /9015.3 /9000 /90
F. Aursnes41863537 min40.1 /9070.2 /90280.7 /90100.3 /90671.7 /90180.5 /90
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Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Pavlidis n 887.9
27/5
16/1
S. Dahl n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Trubin n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Otamendi n 882.5
0.31/1
00/0
F. Aursnes n 881
1.37/2
0.63/1
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Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Pavlidis n 887.9
0.32/0
00/0
S. Dahl n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Trubin n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Otamendi n 882.5
00/0
00/0
F. Aursnes n 881
00/0
0.11/0
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Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Kaique22901980 min673 /90291.3 /9020.1 /90
Lucas França690540 min183 /90101.7 /9000 /90
Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kaique n 890
36/5
Lucas França n 890
36/4

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Léo Santos26872269 min220.9 /90241 /90220.9 /901044.1 /90331.3 /90110.4 /90
Zé Vitor25892223 min451.8 /90361.5 /90200.8 /901355.5 /90461.9 /9080.3 /90
José Gomes21851783 min291.5 /90160.8 /9090.5 /90814.1 /90160.8 /9020.1 /90
João Aurélio15841253 min332.4 /90201.4 /9050.4 /90765.5 /90171.2 /9020.1 /90
A. Núñez14851184 min211.6 /90100.8 /9020.2 /90352.7 /90221.7 /9020.2 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paulinho Bóia n 885.8
0.85/1
2.98/7
—
C. Ramírez n 886.8
1.97/4
1.47/3
—
Léo Santos n 890
1.56/4
0.32/0
S. Dahl
Matheus Dias n 884.6
1.26/3
1.15/3
—
Zé Vitor n 890
2.16/5
0.84/2
N. Otamendi
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Paulinho Bóia n 885.8
1.68/3
C. Ramírez n 886.8
0.32/0
Léo Santos n 890
1.46/3
Matheus Dias n 884.6
1.56/5
Zé Vitor n 890
1.96/4
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paulinho Bóia28852376 min40.2 /9020.1 /90431.6 /90220.8 /90361.4 /90321.2 /90
C. Ramírez27872353 min140.5 /9000 /90672.6 /90361.4 /90240.9 /90190.7 /90
Pablo Ruan1548715 min00 /9000 /9081 /9050.6 /90111.4 /9050.6 /90
Witi1545678 min00 /9000 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90101.3 /9060.8 /90
Gabriel Veron971640 min10.1 /9000 /9071 /9030.4 /9040.6 /9050.7 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paulinho Bóia n 885.8
28/4
1.38/2
C. Ramírez n 886.8
2.57/5
0.96/1
Léo Santos n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
Matheus Dias n 884.6
0.52/2
0.11/0
Zé Vitor n 890
15/2
0.43/0
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paulinho Bóia n 885.8
0.32/0
00/0
C. Ramírez n 886.8
0.11/0
00/0
Léo Santos n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Matheus Dias n 884.6
00/0
00/0
Zé Vitor n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BenficaNacional
58%Possession42%
3.43Expected goals (xG)0.25
24Shots7
8Shots on target4
8Shots off target2
8Blocked shots1
21Shots inside the box2
15Corners1
3Offsides2
13Fouls18
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
4Saves6
467Passes355
87%Pass accuracy81%

Benfica Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Trubin9000000007.7
A. Dedić9000211007.2
António Silva9000210007.7
N. Otamendi9000101308.5
S. Dahl90000001Y8.2
L. Barreiro9000113407.2
A. Schjelderup8910223108.9
R. Rios7900000106.9
G. Prestianni7802105008.5
Rafa7810311107.6
V. Pavlidis7700310105
F. Ivanović sub1300111006.7
D. Lukebakio sub1200000106.7
F. Aursnes sub1200000006.7
E. Barrenechea sub1100000006.3
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira sub10000000–

Nacional Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kaique9000000008.9
A. Núñez9000000306.2
Léo Santos90000003Y6.9
Zé Vitor9000000407.2
Liziero9000101306.9
C. Ramírez9000110006.9
Daniel Júnior8900112307
José Gomes8300100306.5
C. Labidi8300000106.2
Matheus Dias61000013Y6.6
Witi61001100Y6.2
Pablo Ruan sub2900112006.7
Filipe Soares sub2900000106.6
L. Vallier sub12000000Y6.7
Joel da Silva sub12000000Y6.3
João Aurélio sub10000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Benfica v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BenficaWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
NacionalLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Benfica 5 · 1 draw · Nacional 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Nacional 1–2 Benfica
  • 2025-03-08 Benfica 3–0 Nacional
  • 2024-12-19 Nacional 0–2 Benfica
  • 2021-05-11 Nacional 1–3 Benfica
  • 2021-01-25 Benfica 1–1 Nacional
  • 2019-02-10 Benfica 10–0 Nacional
League standing · 2025/26
Benfica#3 pos80 pts34 pl+49 GD
Nacional#14 pos34 pts34 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Benfica scored2.18
Nacional scored1.09
Benfica conceded0.74
Nacional conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Benfica v Nacional?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Benfica v Nacional was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Benfica and Nacional?
In their last 6 meetings, Benfica won 5, Nacional won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Benfica and Nacional?
Recent form — Benfica 3W 2D 0L; Nacional 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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