BenficaSC Braga

Benfica v SC Braga result

Full-time · Benfica 2–2 SC Braga

Primeira Liga · · Estádio José Alvalade

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Benfica 2–2 SC Braga — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.6% of 285 landed (95% range 74.6–83.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 188 of 277 times (67.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Benfica and SC Braga drew 2–2 at Estádio José Alvalade in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 May. Benfica are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. SC Braga are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Benfica: Rafa (46’) and Vangelis Pavlidis (90’ pen); SC Braga: Pau Victor (48’, assisted by Víctor Gómez) and Jean-Baptiste Gorby (88’, assisted by M. Dorgeles).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vangelis Pavlidis’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Benfica out-shot SC Braga 24 to 5 and created the better chances, 3.19 xG to 0.21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

J. Pinheiro showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Benfica: Amar Dedić (87’); SC Braga: Lukáš Horníček (56’), Leonardo Lelo (57’), Vitor Carvalho (90+3’) and Víctor Gómez (90+6’).

What it changes

Benfica stay second after this result (33 league matches played).

SC Braga stay fourth after this result (33 league matches played).

Benfica have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. SC Braga have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pau Victor (SC Braga) 7.9, Rafa (Benfica) 7.4 and Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica) 7.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Benfica are unbeaten in the last three meetings with SC Braga.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Benfica to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Benfica next travel to Estrela on 8 November 2026.

SC Braga next travel to Rio Ave on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Benfica: Estrela v Benfica, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for SC Braga: Rio Ave v SC Braga, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Benfica 2–2 SC Braga · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon
  • Referee: J. Pinheiro
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Benfica 3 · draws 2 · SC Braga 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Benfica 3W 2D 0L · SC Braga 2W 1D 2L

Benfica 2–2 SC Braga (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
9.38 / 4.25
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 3.13
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.18 yellows
Referee · J. Pinheiro
23.55 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBenfica for / againstLineSC Braga for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
9.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
8.75 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: J. Pinheiro — 4.18 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.55 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Benfica

Benfica Goalkeeper

Benfica — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Trubin49894372 min1232.5 /90390.8 /9020 /90
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 890
3.47/6

Benfica Defensive

Benfica — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Dahl50864289 min1342.8 /90380.8 /9090.2 /902194.6 /90320.7 /9050.1 /90
N. Otamendi47884135 min671.5 /90671.5 /90330.7 /903066.7 /90390.8 /90110.2 /90
A. Dedić38833150 min631.8 /90270.8 /9020.1 /901745 /90330.9 /9060.2 /90
António Silva35852989 min481.4 /90401.2 /90210.6 /901584.8 /90391.2 /9080.2 /90
Tomás Araújo29832409 min471.8 /90401.5 /90220.8 /90883.3 /90100.4 /9060.2 /90
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Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Dahl n 890
0.84/1
0.53/1
G. Lagerbielke
A. Trubin n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
V. Pavlidis n 885.5
0.75/0
28/3
—
N. Otamendi n 883.8
1.16/2
0.95/2
—
F. Aursnes n 883.1
0.74/1
0.31/1
João Moutinho
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Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Dahl n 890
2.68/6
V. Pavlidis n 885.5
0.53/1
N. Otamendi n 883.8
1.66/4
F. Aursnes n 883.1
1.85/3
R. Rios n 888.5
28/5
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Benfica Attacking

Benfica — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Pavlidis48854089 min270.6 /9070.2 /901012.2 /90571.3 /90561.2 /90290.6 /90
F. Ivanović23501141 min70.6 /9010.1 /90332.6 /90201.6 /90100.8 /90181.4 /90
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo252103 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9000 /9021.7 /9076.1 /90
A. Cabral11717 min00 /9000 /90210.6 /9015.3 /9015.3 /9000 /90
F. Aursnes44873807 min40.1 /9070.2 /90280.7 /90100.2 /90781.8 /90200.5 /90
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Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Dahl n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
A. Trubin n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Pavlidis n 885.5
2.28/6
0.86/0
N. Otamendi n 883.8
0.53/1
0.32/0
F. Aursnes n 883.1
0.74/1
0.42/1
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Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Dahl n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Trubin n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Pavlidis n 885.5
0.32/0
00/0
N. Otamendi n 883.8
00/0
00/0
F. Aursnes n 883.1
00/0
00/0
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SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Horníček45904050 min1082.4 /90441 /9030.1 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.54/4

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke40853411 min431.1 /90340.9 /90120.3 /902245.9 /90601.6 /90100.3 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi34832837 min511.6 /90200.6 /90170.5 /90892.8 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
Vitor Carvalho20711423 min211.3 /9090.6 /90110.7 /90764.8 /90201.3 /9060.4 /90
Paulo Oliveira1952986 min80.7 /90181.6 /9060.5 /90403.7 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90
S. Niakaté18831487 min191.1 /90100.6 /9070.4 /90965.8 /90171 /9040.2 /90
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SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Víctor Gómez n 890
0.63/1
1.57/4
—
Pau Victor n 876.8
1.26/2
1.96/4
—
G. Lagerbielke n 890
0.94/3
1.15/2
S. Dahl
João Moutinho n 879
1.77/4
15/2
F. Aursnes
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SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Gómez n 890
15/1
Pau Victor n 876.8
15/2
G. Lagerbielke n 890
1.36/2
João Moutinho n 879
2.47/6
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
15/1
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SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pau Victor41692823 min110.4 /9050.2 /90411.3 /90260.8 /90270.9 /90461.5 /90
Ricardo Horta39793081 min180.5 /9080.2 /90591.7 /90381.1 /90712.1 /90110.3 /90
R. Zalazar37712609 min180.6 /9060.2 /90642.2 /90361.2 /90481.7 /90652.2 /90
Fran Navarro32461471 min80.5 /9010.1 /90221.3 /90140.9 /9060.4 /9060.4 /90
A. El Ouazzani15671005 min20.2 /9000 /90211.9 /9090.8 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90
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SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 890
0.43/0
00/0
Pau Victor n 876.8
17/0
0.75/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
João Moutinho n 879
0.63/1
0.32/0
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SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 7 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 890
00/0
0.43/0
Pau Victor n 876.8
0.64/0
00/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
00/0
00/0
João Moutinho n 879
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BenficaSC Braga
52%Possession48%
3.19Expected goals (xG)0.21
24Shots5
8Shots on target2
8Shots off target1
8Blocked shots2
16Shots inside the box2
8Corners2
2Offsides1
6Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Saves6
469Passes443
82%Pass accuracy80%

Benfica Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Trubin9000000006
A. Dedić90000003Y6.6
Tomás Araújo9000100207
António Silva9000200307.2
S. Dahl9000001206.9
F. Aursnes9000215207.5
G. Prestianni9000313007.2
Rafa9010221307.6
A. Schjelderup9000102008.5
L. Barreiro7600111206.6
F. Ivanović6100102006.6
V. Pavlidis sub2910330007.2
D. Lukebakio sub1400003007

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Horníček90000000Y7.6
Vitor Carvalho90000000Y6
G. Lagerbielke9000000207
Víctor Gómez90010012Y6.9
João Moutinho9000001205.2
Jean-Baptiste Gorby9010110207.3
Demir Ege Tıknaz9000000507.2
Pau Victor9010112107.9
Leonardo Lelo82000001Y6.3
Fran Navarro7400000006.3
Gabri Martínez6700100006.6
M. Dorgeles sub2301001106.9
R. Zalazar sub1600000006.2
Gabriel Moscardo sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Benfica v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BenficaDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
SC BragaWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Benfica 3 · 2 draws · SC Braga 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-12-28 SC Braga 2–2 Benfica
  • 2025-05-17 SC Braga 1–1 Benfica
  • 2025-02-26 Benfica 1–0 SC Braga
  • 2025-01-04 Benfica 1–2 SC Braga
  • 2024-04-27 Benfica 3–1 SC Braga
  • 2024-01-10 Benfica 3–2 SC Braga
League standing · 2025/26
Benfica#3 pos80 pts34 pl+49 GD
SC Braga#4 pos59 pts34 pl+28 GD
Goals per game
Benfica scored2.18
SC Braga scored1.88
Benfica conceded0.74
SC Braga conceded1.06

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Benfica v SC Braga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Benfica v SC Braga was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Benfica and SC Braga?
In their last 6 meetings, Benfica won 3, SC Braga won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Benfica and SC Braga?
Recent form — Benfica 3W 2D 0L; SC Braga 2W 1D 2L.

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