Estrela v Sporting CP result
Team pages: Estrela · Sporting CP · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.
The result
Estrela and Sporting CP drew 2–2 at Estádio José Gomes in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 8 August. Estrela are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Sporting CP: R. Zalazar (46’, assisted by Geny Catamo), Fotis Ioannidis (59’, assisted by R. Zalazar) and an own goal by Rui Silva (84’); Estrela: L. Antonetti (72’, assisted by I. Stoica).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Sporting CP out-shot Estrela 15 to 9 and created the better chances, 2.63 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal showed four yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Estrela: Eddy Doue (52’) and B. Souza (90+2’); Sporting CP: L. Suárez (67’) and Jesse Derry (90+2’).
What it changes
Estrela are third (shared) after this result (one league match played).
Sporting CP are third (shared) after this result (one league match played).
Sporting CP have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Zalazar (Sporting CP) 11.5, Sergi Altimira (Sporting CP) 8.1 and L. Antonetti (Estrela) 6.7 led the match.
Head-to-head
Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Estrela, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Sporting CP to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 85.6% of the time in the last 90 days (107 of 125).
Next up
Estrela next host Benfica on 8 November 2026.
Sporting CP next host Moreirense on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Estrela: Estrela v Benfica, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sporting CP: Sporting CP v Moreirense, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio José Gomes · Amadora
- Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Estrela 0 · draws 0 · Sporting CP 6 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Estrela 0W 2D 3L · Sporting CP 3W 1D 1L
Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Estrela for / against | Line | Sporting CP for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.86 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.71 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.71 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.63 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.29 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.43 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal — 5 yellow cards a game, 0.88 red cards, 25.75 fouls over 8 matches.
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Match Statistics & Details
| Estrela | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Possession | 56% |
| 1.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.63 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 350 | Passes | 444 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
Estrela Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Linck | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Rafa Soares | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Eddy Doue | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.6 |
| L. Zvonarek | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Marcus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Antonetti | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| M. Scholze | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.2 |
| I. Stoica | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Santiago Serra | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Robinho sub | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jefferson Encada sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Souza sub | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.7 |
| Alisson sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| S. van Hooijdonk sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sporting CP Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Eduardo Quaresma | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8.5 |
| Gonçalo Inácio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Rodrigo Dias | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Sergi Altimira | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.3 |
| R. Zalazar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9.2 |
| Issa Doumbia | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Vagiannidis | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Geny Catamo | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Flávio Gonçalves | 61 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Ioannidis | 61 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Andersen sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Suárez sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Iván Fresneda sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Luis Guilherme sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Derry sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Estrela v Sporting CP — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-11 Estrela 0–1 Sporting CP
- 2025-11-30 Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela
- 2025-03-29 Estrela 0–3 Sporting CP
- 2024-11-01 Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela
- 2024-03-29 Estrela 1–2 Sporting CP
- 2023-11-05 Sporting CP 3–2 Estrela
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Estrela v Sporting CP?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Estrela v Sporting CP was Away win (best price 1.30 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Sporting CP?
- In their last 6 meetings, Estrela won 0, Sporting CP won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Estrela and Sporting CP?
- Recent form — Estrela 0W 2D 3L; Sporting CP 3W 1D 1L.
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