Maritimo v Casa Pia result
Team pages: Maritimo · Casa Pia
The model’s pre-match pick
Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia — Maritimo won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
Maritimo beat Casa Pia 1–0 at Estadio do Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 8 August.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Maritimo: Raphael Guzzo (61’, assisted by Martín Tejón).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Raphael Guzzo’s goal on 61 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Maritimo 1.28, Casa Pia 0.64, from 16 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
S. Guelho showed four yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Maritimo: Raphael Guzzo (90+1’) and Tomás Tavares (90+6’); Casa Pia: David Sousa (45+2’) and Alassana Jatta (86’).
What it changes
Maritimo are first after this result (one league match played).
Casa Pia are 18th after this result (one league match played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Martín Tejón (Maritimo) 7.8, Raphael Guzzo (Maritimo) 6.3 and Igor Julião (Maritimo) 4.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or Casa Pia, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1442).
Next up
Maritimo next host Nacional on 27 November 2026.
Casa Pia next host SC Braga on 30 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Maritimo: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview. Next for Casa Pia: Casa Pia v SC Braga, Monday 30 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estadio do Maritimo · Funchal
- Referee: S. Guelho
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Maritimo 0 · draws 0 · Casa Pia 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Maritimo 2W 0D 3L · Casa Pia 2W 2D 1L
Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
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The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Maritimo | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Possession | 61% |
| 1.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.64 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 12 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 307 | Passes | 470 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
Maritimo Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Pastor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Igor Julião | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| Rafael Fernandes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Romain Correia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Paulo Henrique | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Rodrigo Andrade | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Raphael Guzzo | 89 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Y | 8.2 |
| V. Danilović | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Adrián Butzke | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Martín Tejón | 87 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Diouri | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Tomás Tavares sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Maurice Osei Boakye sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Samuel Bamba sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Szalai sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
| Jesús Santiago sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Casa Pia Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Gomes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Geraldes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| David Sousa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| L. Ofori | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Henrique Araújo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Rochinha | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| João Goulart | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Pérez | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Gabi | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Abdu Conté | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| K. Osundina | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Pedro Rosas sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Prieto sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Jatta sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Silvi sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Kaly sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Maritimo v Casa Pia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-03-19 Casa Pia 2–0 Maritimo
- 2022-10-03 Maritimo 1–2 Casa Pia
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Maritimo v Casa Pia?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Maritimo v Casa Pia was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Maritimo and Casa Pia?
- In their last 2 meetings, Maritimo won 0, Casa Pia won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Maritimo and Casa Pia?
- Recent form — Maritimo 2W 0D 3L; Casa Pia 2W 2D 1L.
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