Nacional v Estrela result
Team pages: Nacional · Estrela
Nacional 0–1 Estrela — Estrela won this Primeira Liga match.
The result
Estrela won 1–0 at Estádio da Madeira in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 6 April.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Estrela: Jovane Cabral (81’, assisted by Kikas).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Nacional 0.59, Estrela 1.05, from 19 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Nacional: Matheus Dias (37’); Estrela: Chico Banza (21’) and Léo Cordeiro (72’).
What it changes
Nacional have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 19 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Nacional have conceded 50 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.
Estrela have scored 24 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Estrela have conceded 50 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jovane Cabral (Estrela) 6.6, Fábio Ronaldo (Estrela) 5.5 and Andorinha (Estrela) 5.4 led the match.
Next up
Nacional next travel to Maritimo on 27 November 2026.
Estrela next travel to Vitória SC on 28 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview. Next for Estrela: Vitória SC v Estrela, Saturday 28 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Nacional 0–1 Estrela · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio da Madeira · Ilha da Madeira
- Referee: Hélder Malheiro
- Head-to-head (last 1): Nacional 0 · draws 0 · Estrela 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Nacional 2W 0D 3L · Estrela 0W 3D 2L
Nacional 0–1 Estrela (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 March 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Nacional for / against | Line | Estrela for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.29 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.29 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.43 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.86 for · 15.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.71 for · 17 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.57 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 4 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Nacional
Nacional Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França | 27 | 882385 min | 853.2 /90 | 361.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Rui Encarnação | 1 | 4545 min | 24 /90 | 12 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas França n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
Nacional Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Garcia | 27 | 882373 min | 592.2 /90 | 371.4 /90 | 100.4 /90 | 1415.3 /90 | 200.8 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Zé Vitor | 25 | 892227 min | 411.7 /90 | 261.1 /90 | 200.8 /90 | 1385.6 /90 | 311.3 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| Ulisses | 24 | 882111 min | 391.7 /90 | 331.4 /90 | 231 /90 | 1034.4 /90 | 331.4 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| José Gomes | 22 | 861899 min | 241.1 /90 | 200.9 /90 | 130.6 /90 | 763.6 /90 | 190.9 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| Léo Santos | 7 | 70493 min | 50.9 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 264.7 /90 | 101.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Gustavo Garcia n 8 | 88.5 | 0.9 | 2 | — |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 87.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Zé Vitor n 8 | 87.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| Ulisses n 8 | 87 | 1.4 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Garcia n 8 | 88.5 | 2.9 |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 87.8 | 1.5 |
| Zé Vitor n 8 | 87.1 | 1.8 |
| Ulisses n 8 | 87 | 2.5 |
| José Gomes n 8 | 82.9 | 1 |
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Nacional Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac | 20 | 571142 min | 30.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 181.4 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 100.8 /90 |
| Rúben Macedo | 19 | 48917 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 202 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 121.2 /90 | 141.4 /90 |
| A. Appiah | 17 | 681151 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 100.8 /90 |
| N. Thomas | 8 | 68545 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 111.8 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| Paulinho Bóia | 8 | 63506 min | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 91.6 /90 | 91.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Gustavo Garcia n 8 | 88.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 87.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Zé Vitor n 8 | 87.1 | 1 | 0.1 |
| Ulisses n 8 | 87 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Gustavo Garcia n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 87.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Zé Vitor n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ulisses n 8 | 87 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Estrela
Estrela Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Brígido | 18 | 881575 min | 563.2 /90 | 301.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Andorinha | 7 | 90630 min | 162.3 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Marko Gudžulić | 2 | 90180 min | 73.5 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| Francisco Meixedo | 2 | 68135 min | 64 /90 | 74.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Brígido n 8 | 84.4 | 3.3 |
| Andorinha n 7 | 90 | 2.3 |
Estrela Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rúben Lima | 21 | 811700 min | 301.6 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 723.8 /90 | 181 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Ferro | 16 | 831321 min | 463.1 /90 | 241.6 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 855.8 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| Danilo Veiga | 15 | 861283 min | 261.8 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 936.5 /90 | 231.6 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| Miguel Lopes | 15 | 791191 min | 191.4 /90 | 201.5 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 675.1 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| I. Drame | 12 | 79953 min | 111 /90 | 181.7 /90 | 121.1 /90 | 434.1 /90 | 161.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 68.4 | 1.8 | 3.3 | — |
| Nilton Varela n 8 | 79.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 | — |
| Kikas n 8 | 57.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Ruiz n 8 | 63.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — |
| Rúben Lima n 8 | 86 | 1 | 0.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 68.4 | 0.5 |
| Nilton Varela n 8 | 79.5 | 0.7 |
| Kikas n 8 | 57.6 | 0 |
| A. Ruiz n 8 | 63.5 | 1.9 |
| Rúben Lima n 8 | 86 | 1.3 |
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Estrela Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinho | 26 | 571480 min | 50.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 342.1 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 100.6 /90 | 90.5 /90 |
| Kikas | 24 | 661576 min | 50.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 241.4 /90 | 110.6 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| Jovane Cabral | 16 | 43682 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 121.6 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 50.7 /90 |
| André Luiz | 12 | 56676 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 162.1 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 141.9 /90 |
| Nani | 9 | 52465 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 91.7 /90 | 40.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 68.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Nilton Varela n 8 | 79.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kikas n 8 | 57.6 | 2 | 0.6 |
| A. Ruiz n 8 | 63.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rúben Lima n 8 | 86 | 0.1 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 68.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Nilton Varela n 8 | 79.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kikas n 8 | 57.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| A. Ruiz n 8 | 63.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Rúben Lima n 8 | 86 | 0 | 0.3 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Nacional | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 61% | Possession | 39% |
| 0.59 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 371 | Passes | 229 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 69% |
Nacional Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Gustavo Garcia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Ulisses | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Luís Esteves | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.6 |
| Paulinho Bóia | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Penha | 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Tagueu | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Appiah | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Dudu | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| José Gomes sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Rúben Macedo sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Bruno Costa sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Isaac sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| F. Yamada sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Estrela Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorinha | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| R. Pantalon | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| I. Drame | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Diogo Travassos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Fábio Ronaldo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Kikas | 90 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Léo Cordeiro | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| Manuel Keliano | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Chico Banza | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Nilton Varela | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Semeu sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Leonel Bucca sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Oudrhiri sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jovane Cabral sub | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Paulo Moreira sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Nacional v Estrela — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-11-10 Estrela 2–0 Nacional
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Estrela?
- In their last 1 meetings, Nacional won 0, Estrela won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Nacional and Estrela?
- Recent form — Nacional 2W 0D 3L; Estrela 0W 3D 2L.
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