Santa ClaraNacional

Santa Clara v Nacional result

Full-time · Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional

Primeira Liga · · Estádio de São Miguel

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Santa Clara · Nacional · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional — Santa Clara won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,350 times (65.1%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Santa Clara beat Nacional 2–0 at Estádio de São Miguel in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 May. Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Santa Clara led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Nacional: an own goal by Witi (27’); Santa Clara: Elias Manoel (90’, assisted by Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Santa Clara 1.37, Nacional 0.61, from 12 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Carvalho showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Santa Clara: Darlan (80’); Nacional: Paulinho Bóia (29’) and João Aurélio (60’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Elias Manoel (Santa Clara) 5.7, José Luís Rocha Tavares (Santa Clara) 5.4 and Paulo Victor (Santa Clara) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Nacional, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1009 of 1471).

Next up

Santa Clara next travel to Moreirense on 28 November 2026.

Nacional next travel to Maritimo on 27 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Santa Clara: Moreirense v Santa Clara, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada
  • Referee: H. Carvalho
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Santa Clara 3 · draws 2 · Nacional 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Santa Clara 1W 2D 2L · Nacional 3W 0D 2L

Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.38
Corners
against 4.5 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 3.38
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.42 yellows
Referee · H. Carvalho
27.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSanta Clara for / againstLineNacional for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
9.5 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.75 for · 14.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.63 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.38 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: H. Carvalho — 3.42 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 27.67 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara Goalkeeper

Santa Clara — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gabriel Batista32902880 min752.3 /90401.3 /9010 /90
Santa Clara — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Batista n 890
2.56/4

Santa Clara Defensive

Santa Clara — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Sidney Lima31892753 min331.1 /90341.1 /90230.8 /901153.8 /90301 /9090.3 /90
Lucas Soares26792062 min452 /90180.8 /9010 /901245.4 /90472.1 /9060.3 /90
Frederico Venâncio21821730 min351.8 /90351.8 /9050.3 /90784.1 /90170.9 /9060.3 /90
Diogo Calila1844799 min70.8 /9091 /9030.3 /90343.8 /9091 /9040.5 /90
Luís Rocha13901170 min151.2 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90423.2 /90201.5 /9050.4 /90
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Santa Clara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Batista n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Sidney Lima n 890
1.16/3
0.83/2
Léo Santos
Serginho n 886.4
2.15/4
15/2
—
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
15/2
1.14/2
—
Gabriel Silva n 883.5
2.88/5
2.37/5
Paulinho Bóia
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Santa Clara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sidney Lima n 890
0.64/1
Serginho n 886.4
2.57/6
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
3.48/7
Gabriel Silva n 883.5
0.84/1
Lucas Soares n 871.8
2.46/4
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Santa Clara Attacking

Santa Clara — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gabriel Silva27772073 min60.3 /9000 /90512.2 /90200.9 /90271.2 /90231 /90
Vinícius Lopes25601491 min60.4 /9010.1 /90342.1 /90150.9 /90221.3 /90332 /90
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos24491170 min00 /9010.1 /90201.5 /9070.5 /90201.5 /90161.2 /90
Wendel Silva1371917 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9060.6 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
Welinton Torrão1241487 min10.2 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90101.8 /9040.7 /90
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Santa Clara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Batista n 890
00/0
00/0
Sidney Lima n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
Serginho n 886.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
0.63/1
00/0
Gabriel Silva n 883.5
1.98/4
0.96/1
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Santa Clara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Batista n 890
00/0
00/0
Sidney Lima n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Serginho n 886.4
00/0
0.11/0
Pedro Ferreira n 879.3
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Silva n 883.5
0.43/0
00/0
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Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Kaique26902340 min833.2 /90331.3 /9030.1 /90
Lucas França690540 min183 /90101.7 /9000 /90
Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kaique n 890
2.95/4
Lucas França n 890
36/4

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Zé Vitor29892583 min562 /90441.5 /90260.9 /901645.7 /90562 /90100.3 /90
Léo Santos29882539 min250.9 /90291 /90271 /901164.1 /90361.3 /90120.4 /90
José Gomes25852133 min381.6 /90190.8 /90110.5 /901024.3 /90210.9 /9020.1 /90
A. Núñez18861542 min311.8 /90171 /9050.3 /90533.1 /90241.4 /9020.1 /90
João Aurélio15841253 min332.4 /90201.4 /9050.4 /90765.5 /90171.2 /9020.1 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ramírez n 889.1
1.56/3
1.68/5
—
Paulinho Bóia n 887.9
0.84/2
2.68/6
Gabriel Silva
Zé Vitor n 890
2.48/6
0.84/2
—
Léo Santos n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
Sidney Lima
Matheus Dias n 881
1.58/3
1.47/3
—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 889.1
0.53/1
Paulinho Bóia n 887.9
1.27/2
Zé Vitor n 890
2.67/6
Léo Santos n 890
1.55/4
Matheus Dias n 881
1.76/5
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Ramírez31872712 min160.5 /9000 /90792.6 /90411.4 /90250.8 /90220.7 /90
Paulinho Bóia31852646 min40.1 /9020.1 /90481.6 /90260.9 /90421.4 /90371.3 /90
Pablo Ruan1847839 min00 /9000 /9091 /9060.6 /90171.8 /9050.5 /90
Witi1646739 min00 /9000 /90101.2 /9030.4 /90101.2 /9070.9 /90
Gabriel Veron1170772 min10.1 /9000 /9091 /9040.5 /9050.6 /9050.6 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 889.1
2.88/6
17/1
Paulinho Bóia n 887.9
1.88/4
1.38/2
Zé Vitor n 890
16/1
0.54/0
Léo Santos n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Matheus Dias n 881
0.83/3
0.42/1
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 889.1
0.43/0
00/0
Paulinho Bóia n 887.9
0.32/0
00/0
Zé Vitor n 890
00/0
00/0
Léo Santos n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Matheus Dias n 881
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Santa ClaraNacional
41%Possession59%
1.37Expected goals (xG)0.61
12Shots12
1Shots on target1
8Shots off target8
3Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box7
4Corners6
1Offsides0
10Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves0
304Passes451
75%Pass accuracy81%

Santa Clara Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Afonso9000000007.9
Diogo Calila9000101207.2
Pedro Pacheco9000100108
Sidney Lima9000000006.7
Paulo Victor9000002307.9
José Luís Rocha Tavares9000000507
Welinton Torrão8200102207.2
Gabriel Silva8200101206.9
Klismahn6400000106.9
Andrey6400101307.2
Gonçalo Paciência2400200006.2
Elias Manoel sub6610110007.9
Isaac sub2600000106.7
Darlan sub26000001Y6.6
Vinícius Lopes sub800100006.7
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira sub801001107.3

Nacional Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kaique9000000006.2
Léo Santos9000100005.9
Francisco Gonçalves9000000106.7
José Gomes9000100306
Paulinho Bóia90000030Y6.5
C. Ramírez9000210006.6
Filipe Soares8900002106.3
Daniel Júnior8200102006.7
João Aurélio62000003Y6.9
Matheus Dias4500000006.5
Witi4500302106.2
C. Labidi sub4500000206.7
Gabriel Veron sub4500100106.7
A. Núñez sub2800002106.3
Lucas João sub800000006.3
Martim Watts sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Santa Clara v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Santa ClaraLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
NacionalWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Santa Clara 3 · 2 draws · Nacional 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-11 Nacional 3–3 Santa Clara
  • 2025-03-30 Santa Clara 1–0 Nacional
  • 2024-11-04 Nacional 2–0 Santa Clara
  • 2024-01-11 Santa Clara 1–1 Nacional
  • 2021-04-11 Santa Clara 5–1 Nacional
  • 2020-12-06 Nacional 1–3 Santa Clara
League standing · 2025/26
Santa Clara#13 pos36 pts34 pl-9 GD
Nacional#14 pos34 pts34 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Santa Clara scored0.94
Nacional scored1.09
Santa Clara conceded1.21
Nacional conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Santa Clara v Nacional?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Santa Clara v Nacional was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Clara and Nacional?
In their last 6 meetings, Santa Clara won 3, Nacional won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santa Clara and Nacional?
Recent form — Santa Clara 1W 2D 2L; Nacional 3W 0D 2L.

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