Santa Clara v Nacional result
Team pages: Santa Clara · Nacional · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Santa Clara and Nacional drew 2–2 at Estadio de São Miguel in the Primeira Liga on Monday 10 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Santa Clara out-shot Nacional 19 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.74 xG to 1.23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Santa Clara: Gonçalo Paciência (19’; 21’, assisted by Diogo Calila); Nacional: Liziero (36’ pen) and Miguel Baeza (45’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Miguel Baeza’s goal on 45 minutes.
Discipline
H. Carvalho showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Santa Clara: Vinícius Lopes (24’) and Daniel Borges (39’); Nacional: Wesley Gasolina (40’) and Filipe Soares (70’).
What it changes
Santa Clara are fifth (shared) after this result (one league match played).
Nacional are fifth (shared) after this result (one league match played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gonçalo Paciência (Santa Clara) 11.0, Liziero (Nacional) 9.2 and Diogo Calila (Santa Clara) 6.8 led the match.
Head-to-head
Santa Clara are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nacional.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Santa Clara next travel to Moreirense on 28 November 2026.
Nacional next travel to Maritimo on 27 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Santa Clara: Moreirense v Santa Clara, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estadio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada
- Referee: H. Carvalho
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Santa Clara 3 · draws 2 · Nacional 1 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Santa Clara 2W 2D 1L · Nacional 3W 0D 2L
Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Santa Clara for / against | Line | Nacional for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2our book | 1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.13 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.63 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.63 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15.13 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: H. Carvalho — 3.42 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 27.67 fouls over 12 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Santa Clara | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Possession | 48% |
| 1.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 389 | Passes | 373 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Santa Clara Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Sidney Lima | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Pedro Pacheco | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Guilherme Romão | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Pedro Ferreira | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Gonçalo Paciência | 90 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Diogo Calila | 85 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Sorriso | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Daniel Borges | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| Vinícius Lopes | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.2 |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Welinton Torrão sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Tiago Ribeiro sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Lucas Soares sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Rildo sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Nacional Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Zé Vitor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Liziero | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Pablo Ruan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Daniel Júnior | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Jensen | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Wesley Gasolina | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| Miguel Baeza | 72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Joel da Silva | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Filipe Soares sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| Stavros Gavriel sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Daniel De la Cruz sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Deivison sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Mateus Jose Iseppe sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Santa Clara v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-11 Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional
- 2026-01-11 Nacional 3–3 Santa Clara
- 2025-03-30 Santa Clara 1–0 Nacional
- 2024-11-04 Nacional 2–0 Santa Clara
- 2024-01-11 Santa Clara 1–1 Nacional
- 2021-04-11 Santa Clara 5–1 Nacional
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Santa Clara v Nacional?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Santa Clara v Nacional was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.53 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Santa Clara and Nacional?
- In their last 6 meetings, Santa Clara won 3, Nacional won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Santa Clara and Nacional?
- Recent form — Santa Clara 2W 2D 1L; Nacional 3W 0D 2L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.