SC BragaEstoril

SC Braga v Estoril result

Full-time · SC Braga 1–1 Estoril

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Braga

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Braga · Estoril · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Braga 1–1 Estoril — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,099 of 1,460 times (75.3%), against an average rating of 70.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SC Braga and Estoril drew 1–1 at Estádio Municipal de Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 3 May. SC Braga have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

SC Braga led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — SC Braga: M. Dorgeles (23’, assisted by R. Zalazar); Estoril: Yanis Begraoui (79’, assisted by Ricard Sánchez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yanis Begraoui’s goal on 79 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Estoril created the better chances, 0.89 xG to 0.41 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Rodrigues showed six yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SC Braga: Gabriel Moscardo (29’), Demir Ege Tıknaz (38’) and Luisinho (90+2’); Estoril: Xeka (36’), Felix Bacher (45+1’) and Ferro (50’).

What it changes

SC Braga stay fourth after this result (32 league matches played).

Estoril move up from 10th to ninth (32 league matches played).

Estoril are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Dorgeles (SC Braga) 6.4, Jordan Holsgrove (Estoril) 5.1 and Ricard Sánchez (Estoril) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SC Braga or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

SC Braga next travel to Rio Ave on 8 November 2026.

Estoril next travel to GIL Vicente on 29 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Braga: Rio Ave v SC Braga, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Estoril: GIL Vicente v Estoril, Sunday 29 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Braga 1–1 Estoril · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga · Braga
  • Referee: A. Rodrigues
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Braga 4 · draws 1 · Estoril 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Braga 3W 1D 1L · Estoril 0W 0D 5L

SC Braga 1–1 Estoril (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.63
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.25
Corners
against 3.25 / 5.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.25 yellows
Referee · A. Rodrigues
23.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Braga for / againstLineEstoril for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
7.88 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
9.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
14.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: A. Rodrigues — 3.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.5 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Horníček43903870 min1002.3 /90400.9 /9030.1 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
1.93/2

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke38853231 min411.1 /90310.9 /90110.3 /902156 /90601.7 /90100.3 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi34832837 min511.6 /90200.6 /90170.5 /90892.8 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
S. Niakaté18831487 min191.1 /90100.6 /9070.4 /90965.8 /90171 /9040.2 /90
Vitor Carvalho18701268 min181.3 /9080.6 /9080.6 /90705 /90201.4 /9060.4 /90
Paulo Oliveira1752876 min80.8 /90171.7 /9060.6 /90373.8 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90
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SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
0.63/1
1.57/4
—
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
0.32/0
0.64/0
—
Pau Victor n 875.8
15/2
1.25/2
João Carvalho
G. Lagerbielke n 890
1.56/5
0.85/1
F. Bacher
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SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
1.16/1
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
15/1
Pau Victor n 875.8
1.25/3
G. Lagerbielke n 890
1.15/2
João Moutinho n 879
2.47/6
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SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ricardo Horta39793081 min180.5 /9080.2 /90591.7 /90381.1 /90712.1 /90110.3 /90
Pau Victor39682643 min100.3 /9050.2 /90391.3 /90240.8 /90240.8 /90401.4 /90
R. Zalazar35712499 min180.6 /9050.2 /90622.2 /90351.3 /90471.7 /90642.3 /90
Fran Navarro30471417 min80.5 /9010.1 /90201.3 /90140.9 /9050.3 /9060.4 /90
A. El Ouazzani1467944 min20.2 /9000 /90212 /9090.9 /90101 /9030.3 /90
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SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
0.32/0
00/0
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
1.57/3
0.95/1
Pau Victor n 875.8
0.96/0
0.43/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
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SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
00/0
0.32/0
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Pau Victor n 875.8
0.43/0
00/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
00/0
00/0
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Estoril

Estoril Goalkeeper

Estoril — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Joel Robles29902610 min792.7 /90501.7 /9000 /90
M. Turk290180 min73.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 890
2.86/5

Estoril Defensive

Estoril — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Bacher31902790 min431.4 /90451.5 /90150.5 /901655.3 /90351.1 /9030.1 /90
Ricard Sánchez23751731 min341.8 /90140.7 /9040.2 /90904.7 /90311.6 /9090.5 /90
Pedro Amaral23731683 min181 /9080.4 /9020.1 /90502.7 /90191 /9030.2 /90
Ferro23651489 min362.2 /90332 /9080.5 /90935.6 /90150.9 /9030.2 /90
Pedro Carvalho23531220 min221.6 /90131 /9000 /90423.1 /90191.4 /9040.3 /90
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Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Bacher n 890
0.95/2
16/2
G. Lagerbielke
Y. Begraoui n 886.1
1.26/2
0.95/2
—
J. Holsgrove n 881.1
1.16/2
1.97/5
—
João Carvalho n 879.8
17/0
14/2
Pau Victor
Joel Robles n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Bacher n 890
1.66/5
Y. Begraoui n 886.1
0.75/0
J. Holsgrove n 881.1
1.25/3
João Carvalho n 879.8
1.17/1
R. Guitane n 853.9
14/1
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Estoril Attacking

Estoril — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Begraoui31802465 min190.7 /9010 /90582.1 /90331.2 /90190.7 /90220.8 /90
Alejandro Marqués21531107 min40.3 /9000 /90161.3 /90100.8 /9060.5 /90141.1 /90
André Lacximicant18591056 min20.2 /9020.2 /90282.4 /90131.1 /90110.9 /9050.4 /90
Peixinho724165 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9031.6 /9063.3 /90
Fabrício Garcia627164 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /90
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Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Bacher n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
Y. Begraoui n 886.1
1.68/3
0.54/0
J. Holsgrove n 881.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
João Carvalho n 879.8
1.17/1
0.43/0
Joel Robles n 890
00/0
00/0
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Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Bacher n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Begraoui n 886.1
0.32/0
00/0
J. Holsgrove n 881.1
00/0
0.11/0
João Carvalho n 879.8
00/0
0.63/1
Joel Robles n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC BragaEstoril
50%Possession50%
0.41Expected goals (xG)0.89
10Shots10
3Shots on target4
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box5
5Corners4
0Offsides2
15Fouls10
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
478Passes481
84%Pass accuracy84%

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Horníček9000000007.3
G. Lagerbielke9000000106.6
Vitor Carvalho9000100106.5
Gabriel Moscardo90001102Y6.5
M. Dorgeles9010114108
Demir Ege Tıknaz90000004Y6.3
Leonardo Lelo9000001006.9
Pau Victor9000110106.9
João Moutinho7000000206.3
A. El Ouazzani6100000006.3
R. Zalazar4501101006.6
Luisinho sub45000003Y6.2
Fran Navarro sub2900100006.2
Paulo Oliveira sub2000000006.2

Estoril Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Turk9000000006.5
F. Bacher90000002Y6.9
A. Tsoungui9000001107
Xeka90000001Y6.2
J. Holsgrove9000310407.2
João Carvalho9000001107
Ricard Sánchez8101111106.9
R. Guitane8000002107
Y. Begraoui8010110007.3
Pedro Amaral7000000306.9
Ferro54000001Y6.7
André Lacximicant sub3600100106.7
Gonçalo Costa sub2000111006.6
Alejandro Marqués sub1000000006.3
Peixinho sub1000001006.7
Pedro Carvalho sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Braga v Estoril — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC BragaWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
EstorilLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Braga 4 · 1 draw · Estoril 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-12-19 Estoril 1–0 SC Braga
  • 2025-04-19 Estoril 0–2 SC Braga
  • 2024-12-06 SC Braga 2–2 Estoril
  • 2024-04-13 Estoril 0–1 SC Braga
  • 2023-12-03 SC Braga 3–1 Estoril
  • 2023-04-08 SC Braga 4–1 Estoril
League standing · 2025/26
SC Braga#4 pos59 pts34 pl+28 GD
Estoril#10 pos39 pts34 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
SC Braga scored1.88
Estoril scored1.59
SC Braga conceded1.06
Estoril conceded1.68

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Braga v Estoril?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Braga v Estoril was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Braga and Estoril?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Braga won 4, Estoril won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Braga and Estoril?
Recent form — SC Braga 3W 1D 1L; Estoril 0W 0D 5L.

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