This Matchweek

Sporting CP v Vitória SC result

Full-time · Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória SC

Primeira Liga · · Estádio José Alvalade

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória SC — Sporting CP won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.45 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 268 landed (95% range 72.6–82.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 171 of 259 times (66%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sporting CP beat Vitória SC 3–2 at Estádio José Alvalade in the Primeira Liga on Friday 14 August. Sporting CP have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sporting CP led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Sporting CP: Flávio Gonçalves (9’, assisted by Fotis Ioannidis), Fotis Ioannidis (22’, assisted by Geny Catamo) and Sergi Altimira (41’, assisted by Fotis Ioannidis); Vitória SC: Samu (66’, assisted by Miguel Nogueira) and Alioune Ndoye (68’, assisted by Tony Strata).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Flávio Gonçalves’s goal on 9 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sporting CP 1.14, Vitória SC 1.24, from 5 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal showed eight yellow cards — against 6.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sporting CP: Sergi Altimira (24’), Geny Catamo (55’), Eduardo Quaresma (69’) and Gonçalo Inácio (90+1’); Vitória SC: Thiago Balieiro (26’), Óscar Rivas (38’), Miguel Nogueira (64’) and Gustavo (78’).

What it changes

Sporting CP move up from third to first (two league matches played). Sporting CP have scored 23 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Sporting CP have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC stay 17th after this result (two league matches played). Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fotis Ioannidis (Sporting CP) 10.3, Sergi Altimira (Sporting CP) 7.6 and Samu (Vitória SC) 7.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitória SC, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sporting CP to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (209 of 268).

Next up

Sporting CP next travel to Shakhtar Donetsk on 3 November 2026.

Vitória SC next travel to GIL Vicente on 2 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sporting CP: Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP, Tuesday 3 November — the preview. Next for Vitória SC: GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Monday 2 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon
  • Referee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sporting CP 4 · draws 1 · Vitória SC 1 · 4.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sporting CP 3W 1D 1L · Vitória SC 1W 0D 4L

Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória SC (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.14 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.14 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2.13
Cards
against 3.14 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
6.75 yellows
Referee · David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
27.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSporting CP for / againstLineVitória SC for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
14.14 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
14.13 for · 8.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 3.14 against n 7
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.43 for · 13.43 against n 7
21.5standard
11.5 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 3.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal — 6.75 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 27.5 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sporting CP

Sporting CP Goalkeeper

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rui Silva19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /90
Sporting CP — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rui Silva n 891.3
2.56/4

Sporting CP Defensive

Sporting CP — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Eduardo Quaresma19090 min44 /9000 /9011 /901111 /9022 /9000 /90
Gonçalo Inácio19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
Rodrigo Dias19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /901212 /9022 /9000 /90
G. Vagiannidis17878 min00 /9022.3 /9000 /9022.3 /9022.3 /9000 /90
R. Zalazar19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sporting CP — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Eduardo Quaresma n 887
1.35/3
0.85/1
Thiago Balieiro
Gonçalo Inácio n 886.8
0.43/0
0.43/0
Thiago Balieiro
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
00/0
—
G. Vagiannidis n 867.6
26/3
1.25/2
João Mendes
Geny Catamo n 869.4
0.63/1
2.66/4
Samu
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Sporting CP — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Eduardo Quaresma n 887
3.58/7
Gonçalo Inácio n 886.8
0.84/1
G. Vagiannidis n 867.6
1.74/4
Geny Catamo n 869.4
0.32/0
F. Ioannidis n 861.3
1.34/1
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Sporting CP Attacking

Sporting CP — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Ioannidis16161 min11.5 /9000 /90710.3 /9034.4 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Zalazar19090 min11 /9011 /9022 /9022 /9044 /9033 /90
Sergi Altimira19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /90
Issa Doumbia18282 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
Geny Catamo17878 min00 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9044.6 /90
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Sporting CP — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Eduardo Quaresma n 887
0.11/0
0.11/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 886.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
00/0
Geny Catamo n 869.4
1.85/3
0.83/1
G. Vagiannidis n 867.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Sporting CP — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eduardo Quaresma n 887
0.11/0
00/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 886.8
0.11/0
00/0
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
00/0
Geny Catamo n 869.4
00/0
0.21/0
G. Vagiannidis n 867.6
00/0
0.21/0
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Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Zych19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
João Mendes19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Óscar Rivas19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
Thiago Balieiro19090 min33 /9055 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
Miguel Maga16969 min11.3 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Strata12121 min00 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thiago Balieiro n 890.6
1.58/3
0.22/0
Gonçalo Inácio
João Mendes n 888.9
1.48/3
0.54/0
G. Vagiannidis
Beni n 890.6
0.95/2
1.54/3
—
Samu n 883.4
0.85/1
0.74/1
Geny Catamo
Óscar Rivas n 890.6
0.63/2
1.15/3
—
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Thiago Balieiro n 890.6
2.47/6
João Mendes n 888.9
2.25/5
Beni n 890.6
27/3
Samu n 883.4
1.88/3
Óscar Rivas n 890.6
1.48/3
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ndoye17878 min00 /9000 /9044.6 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Beni19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9022 /90
Samu19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9000 /90
Gustavo18989 min00 /9000 /9055.1 /9022 /9033 /9022 /90
Gonçalo Nogueira17878 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9033.5 /9000 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Samu n 883.4
1.58/2
0.96/1
João Mendes n 888.9
16/2
0.43/0
Óscar Rivas n 890.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890.6
0.54/0
00/0
Beni n 890.6
00/0
00/0
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Samu n 883.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Beni n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
João Mendes n 888.9
0.11/0
00/0
Óscar Rivas n 890.6
00/0
00/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sporting CPVitória SC
56%Possession44%
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.24
5Shots12
3Shots on target3
0Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
3Shots inside the box11
5Corners1
2Offsides0
12Fouls21
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves0
512Passes398
87%Pass accuracy82%

Sporting CP Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rui Silva9000000006.3
Eduardo Quaresma90000000Y6.7
Gonçalo Inácio90000000Y6.7
M. Araújo9000000206.2
Sergi Altimira90101104Y8.2
Issa Doumbia9000001407
R. Zalazar9000000205.6
G. Vagiannidis8300000206.7
F. Ioannidis7512112008.5
Geny Catamo66010011Y7.3
Flávio Gonçalves6610110007.3
Luis Guilherme sub2400000106.9
L. Suárez sub2400000006.3
J. Derry sub1500000106.6
Iván Fresneda sub1300000006.7

Vitória SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Zych9000000005.5
Thiago Balieiro90000001Y5.9
Óscar Rivas90000002Y6.3
João Mendes9000001506.5
Gustavo90002006Y6.7
A. Ndoye9010311006.9
Samu8810521408
Gonçalo Nogueira7600001306.7
Miguel Maga4500000005.9
Beni4500000005.9
O. Camara4500001206.7
T. Strata sub4501003407.6
L. Doucet sub4500000006.9
Miguel Nogueira sub45010010Y6.7
S. Verdi sub1400000006.5
V. Ouotro sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sporting CP v Vitória SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sporting CPWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Vitória SCWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sporting CP 4 · 1 draw · Vitória SC 1 · 4.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-04 Sporting CP 5–1 Guimaraes
  • 2025-12-23 Guimaraes 1–4 Sporting CP
  • 2025-05-17 Sporting CP 2–0 Guimaraes
  • 2025-01-03 Guimaraes 4–4 Sporting CP
  • 2024-04-21 Sporting CP 3–0 Guimaraes
  • 2023-12-09 Guimaraes 3–2 Sporting CP
League standing · 2026/27
Sporting CP#3 pos21 pts10 pl+12 GD
Vitória SC#13 pos8 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Sporting CP scored2.3
Vitória SC scored1.11
Sporting CP conceded1.1
Vitória SC conceded1.11

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sporting CP v Vitória SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sporting CP v Vitória SC was Home win (best price 1.45 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting CP and Vitória SC?
In their last 6 meetings, Sporting CP won 4, Vitória SC won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sporting CP and Vitória SC?
Recent form — Sporting CP 3W 1D 1L; Vitória SC 1W 0D 4L.

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