Vitória SC v Maritimo result

Full-time · Vitória SC 5–0 Maritimo

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vitória SC · Maritimo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Vitória SC 5–0 Maritimo — Vitória SC won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.15 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 942 of 1,266 times (74.4%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Vitória SC beat Maritimo 5–0 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in the Primeira Liga on Friday 23 October. Vitória SC are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Maritimo, every meeting checked.

The goals

Vitória SC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Vitória SC: Arnel Jakupovic (38’; 76’, assisted by Samu), Oumar Camara (60’) and Yeimar Mosquera (90’, assisted by Alan); Maritimo: an own goal by Paulo Henrique (48’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Vitória SC 1.78, Maritimo 0.52, from 16 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Diogo Rosa, Portugal showed seven yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Vitória SC: Gustavo (12’), Gonçalo Nogueira (17’), Toni Borevković (22’) and Samu (63’); Maritimo: Tomás Tavares (36’), Raphael Guzzo (36’) and Rodrigo Andrade (62’).

What it changes

Vitória SC move up from 15th to 11th (nine league matches played). Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Maritimo move down from 11th to 13th (nine league matches played). Maritimo have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Maritimo have conceded 19 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 9, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Arnel Jakupovic (Vitória SC) 9.9, Oumar Camara (Vitória SC) 7.8 and Tony Strata (Vitória SC) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vitória SC or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.9% of the time in the last 90 days (1241 of 1635).

Next up

Vitória SC next travel to GIL Vicente on 2 November 2026.

Maritimo next host Santa Clara on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vitória SC: GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Monday 2 November — the preview. Next for Maritimo: Maritimo v Santa Clara, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Vitória SC 5–0 Maritimo · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães
  • Referee: Diogo Rosa, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vitória SC 5 · draws 1 · Maritimo 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vitória SC 1W 2D 2L · Maritimo 1W 1D 3L

Vitória SC 5–0 Maritimo (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.86 / 3
Corners
against 4.14 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 3.14
Shots on target
against 3.14 / 5.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 1.71
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVitória SC for / againstLineMaritimo for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.86 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
3 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
16.86 for · 9.86 against n 7
19.5standard
9.14 for · 14.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.29 for · 3.14 against n 7
8.5standard
3.14 for · 5.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
16.71 for · 10.43 against n 7
21.5standard
15.29 for · 12.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.86 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Diogo Rosa, Portugal.

Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Zych890720 min141.8 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Zych n 890
1.85/3

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
João Mendes890720 min141.8 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90273.4 /9091.1 /9000 /90
Thiago Balieiro890720 min151.9 /90202.5 /9020.3 /90283.5 /90141.8 /9030.4 /90
T. Strata875597 min172.6 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90284.2 /90111.7 /9020.3 /90
Óscar Rivas576379 min40.9 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90204.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
T. Borevković290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thiago Balieiro n 890
1.87/4
0.43/0
—
João Mendes n 890
1.15/3
0.11/0
Igor Julião
O. Zych n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Samu n 881.5
1.87/3
14/3
Martín Tejón
T. Strata n 874.6
1.77/4
0.53/0
Paulo Henrique
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Thiago Balieiro n 890
1.98/3
João Mendes n 890
1.86/2
Samu n 881.5
2.38/5
T. Strata n 874.6
2.67/5
O. Camara n 853.8
13/2
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ndoye669416 min10.2 /9000 /90173.7 /9040.9 /9081.7 /9051.1 /90
A. Jakupovic467267 min00 /9000 /9072.4 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9031 /90
Samu882652 min10.1 /9000 /90131.8 /9060.8 /90131.8 /9020.3 /90
O. Camara854430 min00 /9000 /9071.5 /9030.6 /9091.9 /9071.5 /90
Beni850398 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9040.9 /9071.6 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
15/2
0.42/1
Thiago Balieiro n 890
0.96/1
0.11/0
O. Zych n 890
00/0
00/0
Samu n 881.5
1.87/3
0.84/2
T. Strata n 874.6
0.83/1
0.32/0
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Zych n 890
00/0
00/0
João Mendes n 890
00/0
00/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890
00/0
00/0
Samu n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
T. Strata n 874.6
00/0
0.21/0
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Maritimo

Maritimo Goalkeeper

Maritimo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfonso Pastor690540 min213.5 /90111.8 /9000 /90
Fran Vieites290180 min105 /9000 /9000 /90
Maritimo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfonso Pastor n 690
3.55/5

Maritimo Defensive

Maritimo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Paulo Henrique890720 min70.9 /9040.5 /9000 /90384.8 /9081 /9000 /90
Romain Correia890720 min81 /90111.4 /9040.5 /90273.4 /9050.6 /9000 /90
Igor Julião889708 min162 /9070.9 /9000 /90344.3 /90162 /9040.5 /90
Rafael Fernandes690537 min71.2 /9010.2 /9030.5 /90294.9 /9040.7 /9000 /90
G. Szalai290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9000 /90
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Maritimo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paulo Henrique n 890
14/2
14/2
T. Strata
Romain Correia n 890
0.64/1
0.64/1
—
Igor Julião n 888.5
27/4
0.95/2
João Mendes
Raphael Guzzo n 884.8
1.77/4
1.26/2
—
Martín Tejón n 883.4
1.36/2
2.87/6
Samu
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Maritimo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Romain Correia n 890
16/2
Paulo Henrique n 890
0.95/2
Igor Julião n 888.5
27/4
Raphael Guzzo n 884.8
1.97/5
Martín Tejón n 883.4
1.86/4
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Maritimo Attacking

Maritimo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Adrián Butzke880641 min10.1 /9000 /9081.1 /9010.1 /9071 /9060.8 /90
Samuel Bamba524119 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /90
B. Limbombe447188 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9041.9 /90
Maurice Osei Boakye32370 min11.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9022.6 /9000 /90
Raphael Guzzo885678 min10.1 /9000 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90101.3 /9030.4 /90
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Maritimo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 890
14/2
0.43/0
Romain Correia n 890
0.65/0
0.11/0
Igor Julião n 888.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Raphael Guzzo n 884.8
0.53/1
0.42/1
Martín Tejón n 883.4
1.97/4
0.73/2
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Maritimo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Romain Correia n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Igor Julião n 888.5
00/0
00/0
Raphael Guzzo n 884.8
0.11/0
00/0
Martín Tejón n 883.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Vitória SCMaritimo
58%Possession42%
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.52
16Shots10
8Shots on target2
4Shots off target6
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box4
6Corners5
1Offsides6
15Fouls11
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
443Passes324
80%Pass accuracy75%

Vitória SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Strata9000002207.6
Beni9000000107.7
João Mendes9000100307.2
O. Camara9010430208.7
T. Borevković90001101Y7.3
Lucas Furtado9000001006.9
A. Sidibé7800000107.6
Samu78010053Y7.2
A. Jakupovic7820531107.9
Gonçalo Nogueira66000001Y6.3
Gustavo66000021Y7.3
V. Andersson sub2400000106.6
L. Doucet sub2400000006.5
Alan sub1201001006.6
A. Ndoye sub1200000006.5
Y. Mosquera sub1210110007.6

Maritimo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Fran Vieites9000000106
G. Szalai9000000205.7
Igor Julião9000110006
Paulo Henrique9000001004.9
Romain Correia9000100006.2
Rodrigo Andrade90000012Y6
Adrián Butzke8600103006.7
Martín Tejón8000200106
Raphael Guzzo69001131Y6.7
M. Dominguez6900101406.9
Tomás Tavares45000000Y7.2
M. Diouri sub4500100106.9
I. Alani sub2100001006.3
Nilton Varela sub2100000106.3
M. Bassouamina sub1000000006.5
Maurice Osei Boakye sub40000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vitória SC v Maritimo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vitória SCDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
MaritimoLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vitória SC 5 · 1 draw · Maritimo 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2023-04-29 Maritimo 1–2 Guimaraes
  • 2022-11-13 Guimaraes 1–0 Maritimo
  • 2022-03-13 Maritimo 0–1 Guimaraes
  • 2021-10-22 Guimaraes 2–1 Maritimo
  • 2021-05-16 Maritimo 0–0 Guimaraes
  • 2021-01-31 Guimaraes 1–0 Maritimo
League standing · 2026/27
Vitória SC#13 pos8 pts9 pl0 GD
Maritimo#14 pos8 pts9 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Vitória SC scored1.11
Maritimo scored1
Vitória SC conceded1.11
Maritimo conceded2.11

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Vitória SC v Maritimo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitória SC v Maritimo was Home or Draw (best price 1.15 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and Maritimo?
In their last 6 meetings, Vitória SC won 5, Maritimo won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitória SC and Maritimo?
Recent form — Vitória SC 1W 2D 2L; Maritimo 1W 1D 3L.

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