Eldense v Eibar result

Full-time · Eldense 1–2 Eibar

Segunda División · Sat, 19 Sep 2026 17:30 BST · Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat

Updated 4 Nov 2026, 17:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Eldense · Eibar

The model’s pre-match pick

Eldense 1–2 Eibar — Eibar won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.40 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Eibar won 2–1 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat in Segunda División on Saturday 19 September. Eibar have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Eibar led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Eibar: Jon Magunazelaia (29’, assisted by Aleix Garrido) and Iván Gil (63’, assisted by Ander Madariaga); Eldense: J. Smith (76’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jon Magunazelaia’s goal on 29 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Eldense out-shot Eibar 24 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.69 xG to 0.87 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

E. Mallo showed six yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Eldense: Manu Nieto (30’) and J. Smith (77’); Eibar: Jon Bautista (52’), Malcom Adu (54’), Jon Guruzeta (90’) and Lucas Nuñez (90+3’).

What it changes

Eldense move down from 16th to 17th (six league matches played). Eldense have scored 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games). Eldense have conceded 17 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Eibar stay second after this result (six league matches played). Eibar have scored 21 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games). Eibar have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Eibar have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Smith (Eldense) 9.2, Ander Madariaga (Eibar) 7.4 and Aleix Garrido (Eibar) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Eibar are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Eldense.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Eibar, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Eldense next travel to Las Palmas on 8 November 2026.

Eibar next host Cadiz on 15 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Eldense: Las Palmas v Eldense, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Eibar: Eibar v Cadiz, Sunday 15 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Eldense 1–2 Eibar · Segunda División
Venue: Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat · Elda
Referee: E. Mallo
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Eldense 1 · draws 0 · Eibar 3 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Eldense 1W 2D 2L · Eibar 3W 0D 2L

Eldense 1–2 Eibar (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.86 / 3.88

Corners

against 3.43 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.86 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 4.57 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.61 yellows

Referee · E. Mallo

27.17 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 18 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Eldense for / against	Line	Eibar for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.86 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9 for · 9.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.86 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.14 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.75 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: E. Mallo — 5.61 yellow cards a game, 0.28 red cards, 27.17 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Eldense

Eldense Goalkeeper

Eldense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ramón Vila	5	90450 min	204 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90

Eldense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ramón Vila n 5	90	4 5/4

Eldense Defensive

Eldense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Smand	5	90450 min	61.2 /90	102 /90	51 /90	153 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
D. Ruiz	5	87433 min	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	71.5 /90	20.4 /90
A. G. Serradell	4	89355 min	61.5 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90	174.3 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
Jesús Clemente	4	88353 min	92.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	184.6 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
J. Olaizola	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Eldense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Smith n 5	90	2 4/4	1.2 4/2	Ander Madariaga
F. Smand n 6	90	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0	Juan Bernat
Ramón Vila n 5	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0	—
D. Ruiz n 6	81.3	1.5 5/3	0 0/0	Anaitz Arbilla
Fidel n 5	84.6	0.4 2/0	1.1 3/2	—
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Eldense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Smith n 5	90	2.2 5/3
F. Smand n 6	90	1.2 3/1
D. Ruiz n 6	81.3	0.7 3/1
Fidel n 5	84.6	0.4 2/0
Guillermo Macho n 6	75.7	2 5/4
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Eldense Attacking

Eldense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Carmona	4	76302 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90
Jorge Rastrojo	4	31125 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	32.2 /90	21.4 /90	32.2 /90	53.6 /90
Manu Nieto	2	5099 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.8 /90	10.9 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90
J. Smith	5	90450 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90
Fidel	5	85423 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90
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Eldense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Smith n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Ramón Vila n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Smand n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Ruiz n 6	81.3	1.3 4/1	0.6 2/1
Fidel n 5	84.6	1.1 3/1	0.4 2/0
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Eldense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ramón Vila n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Smith n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Smand n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Ruiz n 6	81.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Fidel n 5	84.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Eibar

Eibar Goalkeeper

Eibar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jon Mikel	4	90360 min	133.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90

Eibar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eibar before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jon Mikel n 8	90	3.5 6/5

Eibar Defensive

Eibar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Anaitz Arbilla	4	90360 min	41 /90	41 /90	30.8 /90	123 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
Juan Bernat	4	88351 min	41 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Unai Elgezabal	3	75225 min	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	62.4 /90	135.2 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90
Álvaro Rodríguez	3	73219 min	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	62.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Sergio Cubero	3	50149 min	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	95.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Eibar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eibar before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Anaitz Arbilla n 8	88.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	D. Ruiz
Jon Mikel n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Juan Bernat n 7	76	0.8 4/1	1 4/2	F. Smand
Ander Madariaga n 8	66.3	0.5 2/1	1.5 7/2	J. Smith
Aleix Garrido n 8	66	1.2 5/2	0.7 4/0	—
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Eibar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eibar before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Anaitz Arbilla n 8	88.4	1.1 5/3
Juan Bernat n 7	76	1.5 4/3
Ander Madariaga n 8	66.3	1.5 6/2
Aleix Garrido n 8	66	1.5 6/3
Jon Bautista n 8	65	0.7 4/0
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Eibar Attacking

Eibar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jon Bautista	4	62248 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	124.4 /90	51.8 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90
Javi Martón	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
I. Alday	1	2929 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	39.3 /90
Ander Madariaga	4	81325 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
Aleix Garrido	4	72287 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90
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Eibar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eibar before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Anaitz Arbilla n 8	88.4	0.9 5/2	0 0/0
Jon Mikel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Juan Bernat n 7	76	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ander Madariaga n 8	66.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Aleix Garrido n 8	66	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Eibar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eibar before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jon Mikel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Anaitz Arbilla n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Juan Bernat n 7	76	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Ander Madariaga n 8	66.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Aleix Garrido n 8	66	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Eldense		Eibar
64%	Possession	36%
1.69	Expected goals (xG)	0.87
24	Shots	8
6	Shots on target	4
15	Shots off target	3
3	Blocked shots	1
9	Shots inside the box	3
9	Corners	2
1	Offsides	0
8	Fouls	14
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
609	Passes	351
87%	Pass accuracy	76%

Eldense Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Ibarrondo	90	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
A. G. Serradell	90	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.7
F. Smand	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Smith	90	1	1	1	3	3	Y	8.2
Aingeru Olabarrieta	90	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.7
Ramón Vila	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Fidel	75	0	2	1	5	0	0	7.2
Carlos Guirao	73	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.2
Manu Nieto	73	0	3	1	1	1	Y	6.3
D. Ruiz	66	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.5
Roberto López	66	0	4	0	2	2	0	6.7
Juan Larios sub	24	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Guillermo Macho sub	24	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.5
Javi Martínez sub	17	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
Jorge Rastrojo sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Waldo Rubio sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Eibar Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jon Mikel	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Álvaro Rodríguez	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Unai Elgezabal	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
Anaitz Arbilla	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Ander Madariaga	90	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
Aleix Garrido	90	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	7
Jon Magunazelaia	86	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.5
Iván Gil	72	1	0	3	2	1	0	0	7.3
Jon Bautista	59	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Malcom Adu	59	0	0	2	1	0	1	Y	7
Juan Bernat	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
M. Arana sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Jon Guruzeta sub	31	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Javi Martón sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Lucas Nuñez sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Jair Amador sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Eldense v Eibar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EldenseLDLDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

EibarLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Eldense 1 · 0 draws · Eibar 3 · 3.5 goals/game

2025-01-13 Eldense 1–3 Eibar
2024-10-12 Eibar 1–0 Eldense
2024-03-30 Eibar 5–1 Eldense
2023-08-28 Eldense 2–1 Eibar

League standing · 2026/27

Eldense#15 pos14 pts12 pl-4 GD

Eibar#3 pos23 pts12 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Eldense scored1.08

Eibar scored1.75

Eldense conceded1.42

Eibar conceded1.17

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Eldense v Eibar?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Eldense v Eibar was Draw or Away (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Eldense and Eibar?: In their last 4 meetings, Eldense won 1, Eibar won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Eldense and Eibar?: Recent form — Eldense 1W 2D 2L; Eibar 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 4 Nov 2026, 17:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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