Leganes v Burgos prediction

Segunda División · Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 00:49 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leganes · Burgos · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Leganes v Burgos, Segunda División on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Leganes host Burgos in Segunda División on Friday 13 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Leganes or Burgos (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Leganes are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Burgos are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Leganes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Leganes’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Leganes have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.86. Leganes have scored 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Leganes have conceded 20 goals, the eighth-most of the 22 clubs.

Six of Burgos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Burgos’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Burgos have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. Burgos have scored 17 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Burgos have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Leganes (17th) and Burgos (eighth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Burgos the stronger side, 342 rating points above Leganes (Burgos 1676, Leganes 1334, after at least 222 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 31 January 2026, finished Burgos 2–1 Leganes.

Team news

Predicted Leganes XI (4-2-3-1): L. Zidane, J. Montero, R. Pulido, E. Franquesa, R. Peña, Y. Kechta, Z. Buurmeester, D. Rodríguez, Á. Sancris, I. Gharbi, Á. Morata — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ismaël Gharbi (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) and L. Zidane (3.4 per match over nine appearances) have been Leganes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leganes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ismaël Gharbi averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 1097 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. L. Zidane averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 1238 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Burgos XI (4-4-2): A. Cantero, O. Luengo, B. Martínez, Grego, Álex, U. Vencedor, J. Llabrés, P. Galdames, C. Sánchez, Á. Forés, J. Karrikaburu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, David González (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Oier Luengo (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Burgos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burgos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), David González averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 844 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Oier Luengo averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 630 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Segunda División · Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Leganes 2 · draws 1 · Burgos 3 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Leganes 0W 1D 4L · Burgos 3W 1D 1L

Leganes v Burgos (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3.38

Corners

against 5.13 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4

Shots on target

against 6.38 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 2.75

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Leganes for / against	Line	Burgos for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 17.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	17.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	4.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Leganes

Leganes Goalkeeper

Leganes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Zidane	9	87784 min	333.8 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90
Raúl Fernández	4	73293 min	134 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90

Leganes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Zidane n 8	90	3.6 7/5
Raúl Fernández n 4	73.3	4 2/2

Leganes Defensive

Leganes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lalo Aguilar	9	86771 min	141.6 /90	101.2 /90	101.2 /90	354.1 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
Marvel	9	82735 min	212.6 /90	81 /90	70.9 /90	354.3 /90	81 /90	50.6 /90
Ignasi Miquel	8	84671 min	111.5 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90	273.6 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
Javi Montero	7	71497 min	40.7 /90	112 /90	20.4 /90	213.8 /90	91.6 /90	20.4 /90
Rubén Pulido	7	52367 min	41 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	204.9 /90	61.5 /90	41 /90
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Leganes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Z. Buurmeester n 8	58.4	0.8 2/1	0 0/0	—
P. Soko n 8	54	1 3/2	0.6 2/1	—
Dani Rodríguez n 8	46.8	2.9 4/2	3.1 8/3	—
Naim García n 8	76.9	1.9 8/4	1 6/1	—
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	78.5	0.7 4/1	1.7 5/3	—
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Leganes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Z. Buurmeester n 8	58.4	2.3 8/3
P. Soko n 8	54	0.8 3/1
Dani Rodríguez n 8	46.8	0.7 2/1
Naim García n 8	76.9	1.9 5/5
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	78.5	1.7 6/4
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Leganes Attacking

Leganes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Soko	12	53640 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	121.7 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90	91.3 /90
Ismaël Gharbi	11	76839 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	131.4 /90	50.5 /90	192 /90	111.2 /90
Álvaro Morata	8	59470 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	101.9 /90	30.6 /90	81.5 /90	10.2 /90
Álex Millán	7	36251 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	82.9 /90	41.4 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90
U. del Cura	5	22109 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	43.3 /90	32.5 /90	32.5 /90	00 /90
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Leganes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Z. Buurmeester n 8	58.4	0.6 2/1	0.4 1/1
P. Soko n 8	54	1.9 4/4	0.8 3/1
Dani Rodríguez n 8	46.8	0.7 3/0	0.5 2/0
Naim García n 8	76.9	2 7/5	0.4 3/0
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	78.5	1.4 5/3	0.6 2/1
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Leganes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Z. Buurmeester n 8	58.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Soko n 8	54	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Dani Rodríguez n 8	46.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Naim García n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	78.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Burgos

Burgos Goalkeeper

Burgos — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ander Cantero	11	90990 min	393.5 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90

Burgos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ander Cantero n 8	90	3.4 7/3

Burgos Defensive

Burgos — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Alberto Dadie	11	77850 min	262.8 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90	545.7 /90	192 /90	40.4 /90
Grego	10	86863 min	151.6 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90	434.5 /90	181.9 /90	50.5 /90
Oier Luengo	8	79630 min	263.7 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90	436.1 /90	81.1 /90	20.3 /90
Brais Martínez	7	73508 min	213.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	346 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
Ignasi Vilarrasa	7	65453 min	30.6 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90	153 /90	51 /90	00 /90
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Burgos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ander Cantero n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Alberto Dadie n 8	72.5	1.6 5/2	1.2 6/2	—
Javi Llabrés n 8	76.9	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
Curro Sánchez n 8	61.9	1.8 6/2	1.3 5/2	—
Álex Forés n 8	50	0.2 1/0	1.1 4/1	—
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Burgos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alberto Dadie n 8	72.5	2 6/3
Javi Llabrés n 8	76.9	0.9 6/0
Curro Sánchez n 8	61.9	2.7 7/5
Álex Forés n 8	50	0.5 1/1
Grego n 8	85.4	1.8 8/5
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Burgos Attacking

Burgos — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Álex Forés	11	57625 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	192.7 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90
Jon Karrikaburu	8	54429 min	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	112.3 /90	61.3 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90
Víctor Mollejo	7	23159 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
Javi Llabrés	11	76833 min	10.1 /90	40.4 /90	171.8 /90	60.6 /90	212.3 /90	131.4 /90
Curro Sánchez	11	66724 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	101.2 /90	50.6 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
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Burgos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ander Cantero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alberto Dadie n 8	72.5	1.1 5/1	0.6 3/1
Javi Llabrés n 8	76.9	1.6 5/4	0.7 4/1
Curro Sánchez n 8	61.9	1.3 3/2	0.9 3/1
Álex Forés n 8	50	3.2 7/3	0.9 4/0
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Burgos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ander Cantero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alberto Dadie n 8	72.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Javi Llabrés n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0.6 4/0
Curro Sánchez n 8	61.9	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Álex Forés n 8	50	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leganes v Burgos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LeganesLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

BurgosLWWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Leganes 2 · 1 draw · Burgos 3 · 2 goals/game

2026-01-31 Burgos 2–1 Leganes
2025-11-01 Leganes 1–2 Burgos
2024-01-22 Leganes 2–0 Burgos
2023-10-04 Burgos 1–0 Leganes
2023-05-12 Burgos 0–3 Leganes
2022-09-18 Leganes 0–0 Burgos

League standing · 2026/27

Leganes#17 pos12 pts12 pl-10 GD

Burgos#8 pos21 pts12 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Leganes scored0.83

Burgos scored1.42

Leganes conceded1.67

Burgos conceded1.08

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Leganes v Burgos?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Leganes v Burgos is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Leganes and Burgos?: In their last 6 meetings, Leganes won 2, Burgos won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leganes and Burgos?: Recent form — Leganes 0W 1D 4L; Burgos 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 00:49 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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