Flamengo v Mirassol result

Full-time · Flamengo 2–1 Mirassol

Serie A – Brazil · Sat, 09 Aug 2025 22:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Flamengo 2–1 Mirassol — Flamengo won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.8–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Flamengo beat Mirassol 2–1 in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 9 August. Mirassol have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Flamengo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Flamengo: Leo Pereira (19’, assisted by Samuel Lino) and G. Plata (68’, assisted by G. de Arrascaeta); Mirassol: Gabriel Santana (73’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Leo Pereira’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Mirassol, from fewer shots (13 to 24), created the better chances, 2.15 xG to 1.34 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil showed two yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Flamengo: Leo Ortiz (10’); Mirassol: Joao Victor (53’).

What it changes

Flamengo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Samuel Lino (Flamengo) 10.6, Lucas Ramon (Mirassol) 8.1 and G. de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Mirassol, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).

Next up

Flamengo next host Estudiantes L.P. on 23 October 2026.

Mirassol next host Sao Paulo on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Flamengo: Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P., Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Mirassol: Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Flamengo 2–1 Mirassol · Serie A – Brazil
Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Flamengo 3W 1D 1L · Mirassol 3W 2D 0L

Flamengo 2–1 Mirassol (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.5 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 4.75

Corners

against 3.13 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.5

Cards

against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.27 yellows

Referee · Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil

2.6 home / 2.67 away

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Flamengo for / against	Line	Mirassol for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.38 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.25 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil — 5.27 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 29.47 fouls over 15 matches (2.6 to the home side, 2.67 to the away side).

Home 2.6Away 2.67

Flamengo

Flamengo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Juninho n 8	13.1	3.4 3/1	2.6 3/0	—
Bruno Henrique n 8	63.1	3 7/5	1.4 5/3	—
Allan n 8	65.8	2.6 8/5	1.2 3/2	—
Ayrton Lucas n 8	47.8	2.6 4/4	1.6 5/1	—
Wallace Yan n 8	35.3	2.6 4/2	4.5 7/4	—

Flamengo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro n 8	61.5	2.7 7/5	1.3 6/1
Bruno Henrique n 8	63.1	1.8 7/2	0.9 4/1
Samuel Lino n 8	55.1	1.8 6/2	1.6 6/1
S. Niguez n 8	47.6	1.7 4/3	0.5 1/1
Everton n 8	40.3	1.7 5/1	0.8 3/0

Flamengo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Plata n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0.6 3/1
Wallace Yan n 8	35.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
G. de Arrascaeta n 8	65.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Luiz Araujo n 8	69.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Bruno Henrique n 8	63.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Flamengo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Wesley n 8	82.6	3.7 8/6
Juninho n 8	13.1	3.4 4/0
Emerson Royal n 8	68.1	3 6/3
S. Niguez n 8	47.6	2.6 6/3
Matheus Goncalves n 8	27.4	2.5 3/1

Flamengo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Rossi n 8	91.4	2.6 6/4

Mirassol

Mirassol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ze Vitor n 8	15.4	3.7 3/2	1.5 2/0	—
Matheus Bianqui n 8	26.3	3.4 4/3	2.1 2/2	—
Carlos Eduardo n 8	30.6	2.6 4/2	1.8 4/1	—
Alesson n 8	31.6	2.5 4/2	1.4 3/1	—
Jose Aldo n 8	37	2.4 5/3	1.8 4/2	—

Mirassol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Eduardo n 8	30.6	1.8 3/2	0.7 2/0
Iury Castilho n 8	54.5	1.7 5/3	0.6 3/0
Chico n 8	51.1	1.5 6/1	1.5 6/1
Ze Vitor n 8	15.4	1.5 2/0	0.7 1/0
Edson Carioca n 8	66	1.4 4/1	0.9 2/1

Mirassol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Chico n 8	51.1	1.1 5/0	0 0/0
Alesson n 8	31.6	0.4 1/0	0.7 2/0
Carlos Eduardo n 8	30.6	0 0/0	1.1 3/0
Reinaldo n 8	90.8	0.4 3/0	0.2 2/0
Daniel Borges n 8	46.1	0.5 1/1	0 0/0

Mirassol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ze Vitor n 8	15.4	6.6 6/2
Neto Moura n 8	72.3	3.4 8/5
Jose Aldo n 8	37	2.7 5/3
Lucas Ramon n 8	85.6	2.6 8/6
Chico Kim n 8	42.4	2.4 6/2

Mirassol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Walter n 8	90.8	4.6 7/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Flamengo		Mirassol
49%	Possession	51%
1.34	Expected goals (xG)	2.15
24	Shots	13
8	Shots on target	5
4	Shots off target	5
12	Blocked shots	3
17	Shots inside the box	6
11	Corners	10
0	Offsides	1
23	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	7
389	Passes	413
86%	Pass accuracy	85%

Flamengo player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Rossi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Leo Ortiz	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.3
Leo Pereira	90	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	7.9
Alex Sandro	90	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	7.3
Evertton Araujo	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
Allan	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.2
G. Plata	90	1	0	2	2	3	1	0	8.2
Samuel Lino	90	0	1	0	0	2	4	0	7.7
Emerson Royal	83	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7
G. de Arrascaeta	83	0	1	2	1	4	2	0	7.6
Pedro	58	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Luiz Araujo sub	33	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
G. Varela sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Bruno Henrique sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Mirassol player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Walter	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.2
Lucas Ramon	90	0	0	0	1	7	0	7.5
Joao Victor	90	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.5
Jemmes	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
Reinaldo	90	0	1	1	1	1	0	7.5
Chico	90	0	3	1	0	1	0	6.6
Neto Moura	83	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
Danielzinho	79	0	1	0	1	3	0	7.5
Gabriel Santana	79	1	1	1	1	0	0	7.2
Negueba	69	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Edson Carioca	69	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
Carlos Eduardo sub	22	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Alesson sub	22	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Matheus Bianqui sub	12	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
Jose Aldo sub	12	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
Yago Felipe sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Flamengo v Mirassol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FlamengoWWLDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

MirassolDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Flamengo#1 pos79 pts38 pl+51 GD

Mirassol#4 pos67 pts38 pl+24 GD

Goals per game

Flamengo scored2.05

Mirassol scored1.66

Flamengo conceded0.71

Mirassol conceded1.03

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Flamengo v Mirassol?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Flamengo v Mirassol was Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Flamengo and Mirassol?: Recent form — Flamengo 3W 1D 1L; Mirassol 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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