AC Milan v Cagliari result

Full-time · AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari

Serie A · · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AC Milan · Cagliari · Head-to-head

AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari — this Serie A match was drawn.

Match report, in numbers

The result

AC Milan and Cagliari drew 1–1 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Saturday 11 January. AC Milan are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — AC Milan: Álvaro Morata (51’); Cagliari: Nadir Zortea (55’, assisted by Mattia Felici).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: AC Milan out-shot Cagliari 24 to 6 and created the better chances, 2.75 xG to 0.37 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

F. Fourneau showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AC Milan: Álex Jiménez (82’); Cagliari: Mattia Felici (41’) and Roberto Piccoli (90+1’).

What it changes

AC Milan have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nadir Zortea (Cagliari) 6.9, Álvaro Morata (AC Milan) 6.8 and Mattia Felici (Cagliari) 5.9 led the match.

Next up

AC Milan next travel to Bournemouth on 22 October 2026.

Cagliari next travel to Monza on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AC Milan: Bournemouth v AC Milan, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Cagliari: Monza v Cagliari, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: F. Fourneau
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AC Milan 5 · draws 1 · Cagliari 0 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: AC Milan 3W 2D 0L · Cagliari 1W 0D 4L

AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 0.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.8 / 5.29
Corners
against 4.2 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.8 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 3.8 / 3.71 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.6 / 1.71
Cards
against 2.2 / 2 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
3.75 yellows
Referee · F. Fourneau
1.75 home / 2 away
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 January 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 January 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAC Milan for / againstLineCagliari for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.8 for · 4.2 against n 5
9.5standard
5.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
16.6 for · 10.6 against n 5
19.5standard
12.57 for · 12.71 against n 7
Shots on target
5.8 for · 3.8 against n 5
8.5standard
4.57 for · 3.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.4 for · 13.2 against n 5
21.5standard
13.86 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.6 for · 2.2 against n 5
3.5standard
1.71 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: F. Fourneau — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.38 fouls over 8 matches (1.75 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

AC Milan
AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Camarda n 819.9
2.34/0
00/0
—
Álvaro Morata n 865.5
2.18/2
1.55/2
—
Emerson Royal n 870
1.95/3
2.46/5
—
R. Loftus-Cheek n 829.4
1.93/2
2.75/1
—
Y. Musah n 856.4
1.83/3
1.24/1
—
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Abraham n 844.1
2.56/2
1.34/1
F. Camarda n 819.9
2.33/1
1.72/1
N. Okafor n 831.5
1.84/1
1.13/0
C. Pulišić n 861.3
1.76/3
1.15/1
T. Reijnders n 890
1.57/4
15/2
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Abraham n 844.1
0.83/0
0.31/0
Y. Fofana n 886.4
00/0
0.75/0
C. Pulišić n 861.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
I. Bennacer n 860.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Reijnders n 890
0.53/1
00/0
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Calabria n 841.8
34/3
Emerson Royal n 870
2.76/3
Y. Fofana n 886.4
27/5
S. Chukwueze n 848.4
1.93/2
R. Loftus-Cheek n 829.4
1.92/2
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
2.15/3
Cagliari
Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Pavoletti n 817
5.34/2
1.32/0
—
Zito Luvumbo n 858.5
3.36/5
3.17/3
—
R. Piccoli n 882
2.58/6
0.86/0
—
A. Deiola n 839.5
2.34/2
0.93/0
—
R. Marin n 834.5
2.36/1
13/0
—
Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 852.8
2.65/3
0.62/1
L. Pavoletti n 817
2.64/0
23/0
R. Piccoli n 882
2.36/5
1.46/2
G. Lapadula n 826.9
1.72/1
0.81/1
N. Zortea n 874.8
1.15/2
0.84/1
Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Felici n 829.4
00/0
0.82/0
L. Pavoletti n 817
0.71/0
00/0
R. Piccoli n 882
0.43/0
00/0
G. Zappa n 890
0.31/1
00/0
T. Augello n 875
00/0
0.32/0
Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Obert n 841.4
3.36/3
A. Makoumbou n 874.6
2.67/4
A. Deiola n 839.5
2.64/2
M. Adopo n 872.1
2.27/3
Y. Mina n 877.8
27/5
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 January 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Scuffet n 890
2.87/2
A. Sherri n 690
2.75/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AC MilanCagliari
68%Possession32%
2.75Expected goals (xG)0.37
24Shots6
11Shots on target2
10Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box3
9Corners1
3Offsides5
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves11
535Passes254
89%Pass accuracy72%

AC Milan player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.2
F. Tomori9000002206.9
M. Thiaw9000001007.3
T. Hernández9000324007.9
Y. Fofana9000310307.2
T. Reijnders9000211107.9
C. Pulišić9000534007
Álvaro Morata9010321308.3
Rafael Leão8800212007.5
D. Calabria6300000306.9
Y. Musah6200001006.3
T. Abraham sub2800210206.2
Álex Jiménez sub27001012Y6.9
B. Omoregbe sub900000006.3

Cagliari player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000009.3
G. Zappa9000001207
S. Luperto9000000006.9
A. Obert9000000606.9
N. Zortea9010111307.7
M. Adopo9000001006.7
R. Piccoli90000000Y6.3
A. Makoumbou8100001106.6
M. Felici81011112Y7.2
J. L. Palomino7800000206.6
N. Viola6500100006.2
A. Deiola sub2500000006.7
M. Wieteska sub1200000006.3
T. Augello sub900000006.3
R. Marin sub900100006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AC MilanDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CagliariLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AC Milan 5 · 1 draw · Cagliari 0 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2024-11-09 Cagliari 3–3 AC Milan
  • 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-01-02 AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari
  • 2023-09-27 Cagliari 1–3 AC Milan
  • 2022-03-19 Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
  • 2021-08-29 AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
AC Milan#8 pos63 pts38 pl+18 GD
Cagliari#15 pos36 pts38 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
AC Milan scored1.61
Cagliari scored1.05
AC Milan conceded1.13
Cagliari conceded1.47

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Cagliari?
In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan won 5, Cagliari won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AC Milan and Cagliari?
Recent form — AC Milan 3W 2D 0L; Cagliari 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →