AtalantaBologna

Atalanta v Bologna result

Full-time · Atalanta 1–0 Bologna

Serie A · · New Balance Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atalanta · Bologna · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atalanta 1–0 Bologna — Atalanta won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bologna: 1.24 to 0.18 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Atalanta beat Bologna 1–0 at New Balance Arena in Serie A on Monday 31 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Atalanta: Lazar Samardžić (90’, assisted by Nicola Zalewski).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lazar Samardžić’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Daniele Doveri, Italy showed one yellow card — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atalanta: Nikola Krstović (73’).

What it changes

Atalanta move down from fourth to fifth (two league matches played).

Bologna stay 15th after this result (two league matches played).

Atalanta are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Bologna are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eivind Helland (Bologna) 6.6, Lewis Ferguson (Bologna) 5.8 and R. Alhassane (Bologna) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atalanta or Bologna (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Bologna next travel to Parma on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bologna: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atalanta 1–0 Bologna · Serie A
  • Venue: New Balance Arena · Bergamo
  • Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 2 · draws 1 · Bologna 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atalanta 2W 2D 1L · Bologna 2W 2D 1L

Atalanta 1–0 Bologna (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.75 yellows
Referee · Daniele Doveri, Italy
24.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtalanta for / againstLineBologna for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 24.13 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi390270 min144.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
4.67/6

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Kossounou390270 min20.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Scalvini369206 min20.9 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9073.1 /9031.3 /9000 /90
L. Bernasconi360180 min42 /9010.5 /9000 /9042 /9010.5 /9000 /90
R. Bellanova290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
S. Kolašinac24590 min22 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Éderson n 879.6
1.15/3
2.17/5
L. Ferguson
G. Gaetano n 390
13/0
1.73/2
L. Ferguson
O. Kossounou n 857.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Heggem
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Raspadori n 874.9
1.46/3
1.56/3
J. Odgaard
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 390
2.33/2
Éderson n 879.6
27/5
O. Kossounou n 857.1
15/0
G. Raspadori n 874.9
1.13/3
N. Zalewski n 868
1.56/2
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Raspadori377232 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
N. Zalewski374222 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9052 /9020.8 /90
Gianluca Scamacca347142 min10.6 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9000 /90
N. Krstović343128 min10.7 /9000 /9074.9 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9010.7 /90
C. De Ketelaere23060 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9023 /9023 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Éderson n 879.6
15/2
0.74/1
G. Gaetano n 390
0.72/0
0.72/0
O. Kossounou n 857.1
0.42/0
00/0
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Raspadori n 874.9
1.76/5
1.15/2
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 390
00/0
0.31/0
Éderson n 879.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Kossounou n 857.1
00/0
00/0
G. Raspadori n 874.9
0.32/0
00/0
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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ł. Skorupski19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.86/1

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Helland19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
Juan Miranda19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Heggem19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9011 /90
N. Zortea16969 min33.9 /9000 /9000 /9033.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Emil Holm12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9028.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Odgaard n 854.8
1.84/2
2.16/3
G. Raspadori
L. Ferguson n 878.6
1.66/3
15/2
G. Gaetano
T. Heggem n 879.6
1.15/3
0.74/1
O. Kossounou
E. Helland n 782.6
0.94/2
0.21/0
—
Juan Miranda n 884.4
0.42/1
1.65/3
—
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juan Miranda n 884.4
2.47/6
E. Helland n 782.6
1.44/3
J. Odgaard n 854.8
1.44/3
T. Heggem n 879.6
1.35/2
L. Ferguson n 878.6
1.35/3
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Piccoli16060 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
F. Bernardeschi13030 min00 /9000 /9026 /9013 /9013 /9013 /90
J. Rowe13030 min00 /9000 /9013 /9013 /9000 /9013 /90
J. Odgaard19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
L. Ferguson19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Odgaard n 854.8
1.44/2
0.84/0
L. Ferguson n 878.6
0.64/0
0.11/0
E. Helland n 782.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
Juan Miranda n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
T. Heggem n 879.6
0.32/0
00/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Odgaard n 854.8
0.21/0
00/0
Juan Miranda n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Ł. Skorupski n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Helland n 782.6
00/0
00/0
T. Heggem n 879.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AtalantaBologna
42%Possession58%
0.15Expected goals (xG)1.05
6Shots16
2Shots on target3
2Shots off target10
2Blocked shots3
3Shots inside the box10
1Corners2
0Offsides4
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves1
478Passes683
85%Pass accuracy91%

Atalanta Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Carnesecchi9000000008.2
D. Zappacosta9000000006.9
O. Kossounou9000000107.3
G. Scalvini9000000207.2
M. Pašalić9000002006.9
G. Gaetano9000000106.9
S. Kolašinac7800000006.9
Éderson6800000106.9
Gianluca Scamacca6800111006.3
G. Raspadori5600200106.5
C. De Ketelaere5500001206.9
N. Zalewski sub3501001006.9
E. Elmas sub3400000006.3
L. Samardžić sub2210110007.7
N. Krstović sub22000010Y6.3
R. Bellanova sub1200000007.2

Bologna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ł. Skorupski9000000006.3
E. Helland9000000507.3
T. Heggem9000002107.2
R. Alhassane9000003206.7
L. Ferguson9000102307.3
F. Bernardeschi9000112006.9
Nicolo Cambiaghi9000211106.2
Emil Holm7200101407.2
T. Pobega7200101106.7
J. Odgaard6000202007
R. Piccoli6000310006.6
A. Dovbyk sub3000100006.3
R. Orsolini sub2000000006.3
N. Zortea sub1800000006.2
Mikel Amondarain sub1800100106.7
N. Moro sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atalanta v Bologna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AtalantaLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
BolognaDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atalanta 2 · 1 draw · Bologna 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Atalanta 0–1 Bologna
  • 2026-01-07 Bologna 0–2 Atalanta
  • 2025-04-13 Atalanta 2–0 Bologna
  • 2025-02-04 Atalanta 0–1 Bologna
  • 2024-09-28 Bologna 1–1 Atalanta
  • 2024-03-03 Atalanta 1–2 Bologna
League standing · 2026/27
Atalanta#13 pos11 pts10 pl-4 GD
Bologna#9 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Atalanta scored1.6
Bologna scored1.4
Atalanta conceded2
Bologna conceded1.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Atalanta 0.18 xG from 6 shots, Bologna 1.24 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Roberto Piccoli 17' · 0.55 xGRoberto Piccoli 49' · 0.12 xGArtem Dovbyk 85' · 0.08 xGArtem Dovbyk 85' · 0.08 xGFederico Bernardeschi 87' · 0.07 xGMikel Amondarain 87' · 0.06 xGNicola Zalewski 88' · 0.06 xGNicolò Cambiaghi 44' · 0.05 xGNicolò Cambiaghi 7' · 0.04 xGEmil Holm 14' · 0.04 xGGiacomo Raspadori 35' · 0.04 xGGiacomo Raspadori 27' · 0.03 xGFederico Bernardeschi 17' · 0.03 xGJens Odgaard 7' · 0.03 xGRoberto Piccoli 30' · 0.03 xGJens Odgaard 49' · 0.02 xGGianluca Scamacca 41' · 0.02 xGNicolò Cambiaghi 51' · 0.02 xGNicola Zalewski 90' · 0.01 xGTommaso Pobega 25' · 0.01 xGLewis Ferguson 56' · 0.01 xGLazar Samardzic 95' · 0.01 xG · goal
Atalanta (attacking right)Bologna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Atalanta610.18
Bologna1601.24

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bologna led on xG, 0.78 to 0.09. At full time, Bologna led on xG, 1.24 to 0.18. The widest gap was 1.15 xG to Bologna, in the 87th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.20.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Atalanta 95 min
Atalanta 0.18 xGBologna 1.24 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atalanta v Bologna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Bologna was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Bologna?
In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 2, Bologna won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atalanta and Bologna?
Recent form — Atalanta 2W 2D 1L; Bologna 2W 2D 1L.

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