This Matchweek

AtalantaFrosinone

Atalanta v Frosinone result

Full-time · Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone

Serie A · · Gewiss Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atalanta · Frosinone

The model’s pre-match pick

Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.36 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Atalanta: 4.34 to 1.52 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 22 shots to 24, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Atalanta and Frosinone drew 4–4 at Gewiss Stadium in Serie A on Sunday 25 October.

The goals

Atalanta led 3–2 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Frosinone: Romano Schmid (1’; 17’, assisted by Farès Ghedjemis), Giacomo Calò (48’, assisted by Farès Ghedjemis) and Aleksa Terzić (82’, assisted by Farès Ghedjemis); Atalanta: Nikola Krstović (14’, assisted by Charles De Ketelaere; 45’, assisted by Davide Zappacosta), Éderson (33’ pen) and Eljif Elmas (50’, assisted by Nikola Krstović).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aleksa Terzić’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Atalanta: Éderson (69’); Frosinone: Gabriele Bracaglia (7’), Giorgi Kvernadze (28’), Aleksa Terzić (85’) and Antonio Raimondo (90+2’).

What it changes

Atalanta move down from 10th to 11th (eight league matches played). Atalanta have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Atalanta have conceded 20 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Frosinone move down from fourth to sixth (eight league matches played). Frosinone have scored 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Frosinone have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 8, across 10 matches. Atalanta are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nikola Krstović (Atalanta) 14.0, Farès Ghedjemis (Frosinone) 13.1 and Romano Schmid (Frosinone) 11.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Frosinone next travel to Cagliari on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Frosinone: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone · Serie A
  • Venue: Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo
  • Referee: Livio Marinelli
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Atalanta 3 · draws 0 · Frosinone 1 · 4.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atalanta 2W 0D 3L · Frosinone 3W 1D 1L

Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.43
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.13 / 5.57
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 1.71
Cards
against 0.75 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtalanta for / againstLineFrosinone for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.75our book
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.43 for · 6.86 against n 7
Shots
14.38 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
17.43 for · 19.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.57 for · 5.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
16 for · 12.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.71 for · 2.57 against n 7

Referee: Livio Marinelli.

Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi1190990 min474.3 /90141.3 /9010.1 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
4.18/8

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Bellanova887697 min60.8 /90141.8 /9030.4 /90151.9 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
G. Scalvini879633 min91.3 /9030.4 /9060.9 /90273.8 /90101.4 /9000 /90
L. Bernasconi860480 min81.5 /9050.9 /9000 /9091.7 /9010.2 /9000 /90
S. Kolašinac855442 min51 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90112.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
D. Zappacosta769482 min91.7 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90142.6 /9040.7 /9000 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Éderson n 877.5
1.77/4
1.25/2
G. Calò
L. Samardžić n 847.9
1.43/2
00/0
—
C. De Ketelaere n 875.8
0.95/1
0.74/1
G. Kvernadze
Gianluca Scamacca n 849.4
1.66/1
2.55/4
—
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Éderson n 877.5
1.25/2
L. Samardžić n 847.9
1.95/2
C. De Ketelaere n 875.8
1.25/3
Gianluca Scamacca n 849.4
00/0
N. Krstović n 853.8
0.41/1
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. De Ketelaere1067666 min00 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90223 /90121.6 /90
Gianluca Scamacca1052518 min30.5 /9000 /90142.4 /9081.4 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
N. Krstović1049487 min40.7 /9010.2 /90193.5 /9091.7 /9050.9 /9050.9 /90
G. Raspadori656336 min20.5 /9010.3 /9071.9 /9051.3 /9041.1 /9020.5 /90
J. Rowe477309 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9020.6 /9061.7 /9051.5 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 877.5
0.63/1
0.42/1
L. Samardžić n 847.9
2.17/2
0.21/0
C. De Ketelaere n 875.8
0.73/1
0.11/0
Gianluca Scamacca n 849.4
36/3
1.65/2
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 877.5
0.11/0
00/0
L. Samardžić n 847.9
0.21/0
00/0
C. De Ketelaere n 875.8
00/0
0.32/0
Gianluca Scamacca n 849.4
0.73/0
00/0
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Frosinone

Frosinone Goalkeeper

Frosinone — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Palmisani890720 min364.5 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Frosinone — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Palmisani n 890
4.58/7

Frosinone Defensive

Frosinone — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Oyono880643 min172.4 /9091.3 /9010.1 /90405.6 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
G. Bracaglia876609 min152.2 /9081.2 /9081.2 /90345 /9091.3 /9030.4 /90
G. Calvani788614 min142.1 /90101.5 /9060.9 /90466.7 /9071 /9020.3 /90
G. Cittadini764446 min214.2 /90204 /9010.2 /90479.5 /90102 /9010.2 /90
I. Monterisi670420 min91.9 /9061.3 /9030.6 /90204.3 /90132.8 /9000 /90
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Frosinone — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Kvernadze n 886.4
1.45/3
1.37/2
C. De Ketelaere
G. Calò n 884.5
1.36/3
2.18/5
Éderson
A. Raimondo n 882.6
1.87/4
1.26/2
—
A. Oyono n 880.4
1.15/1
1.57/2
—
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Frosinone — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Kvernadze n 886.4
1.67/5
G. Calò n 884.5
0.96/1
A. Raimondo n 882.6
0.73/2
A. Oyono n 880.4
2.47/5
G. Bracaglia n 876.1
2.26/4
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Frosinone Attacking

Frosinone — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Raimondo883661 min81.1 /9010.1 /90233.1 /90111.5 /9050.7 /9000 /90
A. Zerbin434137 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9032 /90
T. Bobcek22346 min00 /9000 /9047.8 /9012 /9012 /9000 /90
G. Kvernadze886691 min50.7 /9020.3 /90172.2 /9081 /90192.5 /90202.6 /90
G. Calò885676 min20.3 /9010.1 /90141.9 /9060.8 /90314.1 /9030.4 /90
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Frosinone — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kvernadze n 886.4
2.28/7
15/3
G. Calò n 884.5
1.96/4
0.85/1
A. Raimondo n 882.6
3.16/6
1.55/4
A. Oyono n 880.4
0.86/0
0.11/0
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Frosinone — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kvernadze n 886.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
G. Calò n 884.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Raimondo n 882.6
1.14/3
0.11/0
A. Oyono n 880.4
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AtalantaFrosinone
46%Possession54%
3.88Expected goals (xG)1.95
22Shots24
9Shots on target10
6Shots off target6
7Blocked shots8
19Shots inside the box15
8Corners9
2Offsides2
7Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
6Saves3
322Passes371
71%Pass accuracy75%

Atalanta Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Éderson90103211Y6.2
E. Elmas9010225208.2
T. Kristensen9000000006.6
R. Obrić9000000005.9
D. Zappacosta9001002807.2
M. Carnesecchi9000000005.5
C. De Ketelaere7701314208.9
N. Krstović7721422209
G. Gaetano6200001106.3
J. Rowe6200210207
R. Bellanova2900001006.5
L. Bernasconi sub6100000206.6
N. Zalewski sub2800111006.7
M. Pašalić sub2800001106.6
Gianluca Scamacca sub1300000006.6
L. Samardžić sub1300000106.5

Frosinone Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Schmid9020433208.2
A. Raimondo90001001Y6.2
F. Ghedjemis9003437108.9
G. Calvani9000003206.9
G. Calò9010111108.3
L. Palmisani9000000006.6
A. Oyono8900000606.6
G. Cittadini7500110105.9
P. Masini6500100106.6
G. Kvernadze65001001Y5.9
G. Bracaglia45000001Y6.2
A. Terzić sub45102101Y7.3
Matteo Cichella sub2500001006.3
A. Zerbin sub2500000206.6
I. Monterisi sub1500000006.7
E. Tchato sub10011100–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atalanta v Frosinone — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AtalantaLWWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
FrosinoneWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Atalanta 3 · 0 draws · Frosinone 1 · 4.25 goals/game
  • 2024-01-15 Atalanta 5–0 Frosinone
  • 2023-08-26 Frosinone 2–1 Atalanta
  • 2019-01-20 Frosinone 0–5 Atalanta
  • 2018-08-20 Atalanta 4–0 Frosinone
League standing · 2026/27
Atalanta#13 pos11 pts10 pl-4 GD
Frosinone#6 pos20 pts10 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Atalanta scored1.6
Frosinone scored2.4
Atalanta conceded2
Frosinone conceded1.4

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Atalanta 4.34 xG from 22 shots, Frosinone 1.52 from 24. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Éderson 41' · 0.63 xGNikola Krstovic 43' · 0.46 xGNikola Krstovic 62' · 0.15 xGAntonio Raimondo 24' · 0.13 xGCharles De Ketelaere 65' · 0.13 xGCharles De Ketelaere 20' · 0.11 xGÉderson 36' · 0.09 xGNicola Zalewski 69' · 0.09 xGRomano Schmid 47' · 0.09 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 51' · 0.07 xGJonathan Rowe 7' · 0.07 xGEljif Elmas 11' · 0.07 xGEljif Elmas 86' · 0.06 xGPatrizio Masini 47' · 0.06 xGEnzo Tchato Mbiayi 92' · 0.06 xGGiacomo Calo 87' · 0.06 xGRomano Schmid 79' · 0.05 xGJonathan Rowe 34' · 0.05 xGFarès Ghedjemis 93' · 0.05 xGMarco Carnesecchi 16' · 0.04 xGAleksa Terzic 87' · 0.04 xGAntonio Raimondo 26' · 0.04 xGFarès Ghedjemis 77' · 0.04 xGRomano Schmid 10' · 0.04 xGCharles De Ketelaere 63' · 0.04 xGCharles De Ketelaere 21' · 0.03 xGNikola Krstovic 41' · 0.03 xGAleksa Terzic 77' · 0.03 xGCharles De Ketelaere 21' · 0.03 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 8' · 0.03 xGFarès Ghedjemis 58' · 0.03 xGFarès Ghedjemis 83' · 0.02 xGAleksa Terzic 87' · 0.02 xGFarès Ghedjemis 67' · 0.02 xGFarès Ghedjemis 9' · 0.02 xGCharles De Ketelaere 28' · 0.02 xGÉderson 15' · 0.02 xGGiorgio Cittadini 61' · 0.02 xGÉderson 32' · 0.76 xG · goalNikola Krstovic 13' · 0.76 xG · goalEljif Elmas 49' · 0.58 xG · goalRomano Schmid 0' · 0.40 xG · goalNikola Krstovic 44' · 0.12 xG · goalRomano Schmid 16' · 0.10 xG · goalAleksa Terzic 81' · 0.07 xG · goalGiacomo Calo 47' · 0.05 xG · goal
Atalanta (attacking right)Frosinone (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Atalanta2244.34
Frosinone2441.52

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Atalanta led on xG, 3.29 to 0.76, 0.76 of it from a penalty. At full time, Atalanta led on xG, 4.34 to 1.52, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 3.20 xG to Atalanta, in the 69th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.32.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Frosinone 0 minGoal - Atalanta 13 minGoal - Frosinone 16 minGoal - Atalanta 32 minGoal - Atalanta 44 minGoal - Frosinone 47 minGoal - Atalanta 49 minGoal - Frosinone 81 min
Atalanta 4.34 xGFrosinone 1.52 xGdots = goals · 46 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atalanta v Frosinone?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Frosinone was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.36 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Frosinone?
In their last 4 meetings, Atalanta won 3, Frosinone won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atalanta and Frosinone?
Recent form — Atalanta 2W 0D 3L; Frosinone 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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