CagliariInter

Cagliari v Inter result

Full-time · Cagliari 0–1 Inter

Serie A · · Unipol Domus

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cagliari · Inter · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cagliari 0–1 Inter — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.20 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,932 of 2,585 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 3.97 to 0.32 in expected goals, from 31 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Inter won 1–0 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Sunday 30 August. Inter are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Inter led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Inter: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (9’, assisted by Nicolò Barella).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hakan Çalhanoğlu’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

M. Fabbri showed three yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: Alessandro Deiola (56’) and Kevin Carlos (88’); Inter: Manuel Akanji (14’).

What it changes

Cagliari move down from third to 13th (two league matches played). Cagliari have scored nine goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Cagliari have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Inter stay first after this result (two league matches played). Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Inter have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicolò Barella (Inter) 10.2, Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Inter) 7.6 and Alessandro Bastoni (Inter) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Inter are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Cagliari, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cagliari or Inter (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Cagliari next host Frosinone on 7 November 2026.

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cagliari: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cagliari 0–1 Inter · Serie A
  • Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
  • Referee: M. Fabbri
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 0 · draws 1 · Inter 5 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cagliari 4W 0D 1L · Inter 3W 2D 0L

Cagliari 0–1 Inter (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.38
Corners
against 4.25 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 1 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.89 yellows
Referee · M. Fabbri
21.89 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCagliari for / againstLineInter for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
2.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: M. Fabbri — 3.89 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 21.89 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile295190 min52.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 891.3
2.87/4

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Rodríguez295190 min31.4 /9041.9 /9010.5 /90125.7 /9020.9 /9000 /90
A. Obert294187 min62.9 /9041.9 /9000 /9094.3 /9021 /9000 /90
Zé Pedro283166 min21.1 /9000 /9000 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
A. Deiola272144 min10.6 /9053.1 /9021.3 /9053.1 /9010.6 /9000 /90
R. Kofler14646 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Adopo n 888.6
0.95/2
0.43/0
F. Esposito
J. Rodríguez n 885.5
0.83/2
0.74/1
A. Bastoni
E. Caprile n 891.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Obert n 888.9
0.64/1
0.54/0
A. Bastoni
Zé Pedro n 873.4
1.27/1
0.52/1
A. Bastoni
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 885.5
2.28/5
M. Adopo n 888.6
1.55/3
A. Obert n 888.9
2.98/8
Zé Pedro n 873.4
1.25/3
A. Deiola n 863.9
1.44/2
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mendy256111 min00 /9000 /9043.2 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
G. Borrelli24079 min00 /9000 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9000 /9033.4 /90
M. Felici22957 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /9023.2 /90
A. Romano295190 min10.5 /9000 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9031.4 /9031.4 /90
M. Adopo295190 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9020.9 /9041.9 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Adopo n 888.6
0.32/0
00/0
J. Rodríguez n 885.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Caprile n 891.3
00/0
00/0
A. Obert n 888.9
00/0
00/0
Zé Pedro n 873.4
0.84/1
00/0
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Adopo n 888.6
00/0
0.32/0
J. Rodríguez n 885.5
0.11/0
00/0
E. Caprile n 891.3
00/0
00/0
A. Obert n 888.9
00/0
00/0
Zé Pedro n 873.4
00/0
0.21/0
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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Josep Martínez19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
2.55/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bastoni19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
Y. Bisseck19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Akanji17575 min00 /9033.6 /9000 /9044.8 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Dimarco19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
N. Barella19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bastoni n 869.8
2.17/3
0.53/0
Zé Pedro
F. Esposito n 855.3
1.25/1
2.64/3
M. Adopo
Y. Bisseck n 880.4
15/2
0.73/2
—
F. Dimarco n 870.8
14/1
0.84/1
—
N. Barella n 879.6
0.64/0
0.63/1
—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bastoni n 869.8
1.85/2
N. Barella n 879.6
1.16/2
Y. Bisseck n 880.4
0.84/1
F. Esposito n 855.3
0.84/0
F. Dimarco n 870.8
0.62/1
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Esposito19090 min11 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
F. Dimarco19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9011 /90
N. Barella19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Zieliński18383 min11.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /90
Andy Diouf17575 min00 /9022.4 /9000 /9000 /9033.6 /9011.2 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.6
1.46/4
0.11/0
F. Esposito n 855.3
1.43/3
0.63/0
F. Dimarco n 870.8
1.15/2
15/1
Y. Bisseck n 880.4
0.63/1
0.63/1
A. Bastoni n 869.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 870.8
0.21/0
0.52/1
F. Esposito n 855.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
Y. Bisseck n 880.4
0.32/0
00/0
N. Barella n 879.6
0.11/0
00/0
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CagliariInter
35%Possession65%
0.48Expected goals (xG)3.67
10Shots31
0Shots on target7
8Shots off target17
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside the box25
8Corners6
4Offsides1
6Fouls5
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves0
362Passes683
84%Pass accuracy91%

Cagliari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000007.9
Zé Pedro9000000106.5
J. Rodríguez9000102106.6
A. Obert9000100207.9
A. Romano9000101106.9
M. Adopo9000003106.6
A. Deiola83000001Y6.5
D. Maldini7800000206.3
H. Winks5700000006.3
J. Fazzini5700100006.2
P. Mendy5700000106.3
R. Kofler sub3300000107.2
A. Fadera sub3300201206.6
Kevin Carlos sub33000000Y6.5
R. Ciervo sub1200100006.7
G. Borrelli sub1200100006.5

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Josep Martínez9000000006.9
B. Pavard9000101207.3
A. Bastoni9000204408
N. Barella9001224207.9
F. Dimarco9000217107.9
Lautaro Martínez9000712206.3
Luis Henrique8100100006.9
M. Akanji68001001Y7.3
H. Çalhanoğlu6510112208
P. Sučić6500001207.2
F. Esposito6500322006.9
P. Zieliński sub2500101006.9
C. Jones sub2500000106.9
M. Thuram sub2500200006.7
J. Stones sub2200100207.3
Y. Bisseck sub900000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CagliariLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
InterWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cagliari 0 · 1 draw · Inter 5 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-17 Inter 3–0 Cagliari
  • 2025-09-27 Cagliari 0–2 Inter
  • 2025-04-12 Inter 3–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-12-28 Cagliari 0–3 Inter
  • 2024-04-14 Inter 2–2 Cagliari
  • 2023-08-28 Cagliari 0–2 Inter
League standing · 2026/27
Cagliari#12 pos13 pts10 pl-6 GD
Inter#2 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Cagliari scored0.9
Inter scored2.6
Cagliari conceded1.5
Inter conceded1.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Cagliari 0.32 xG from 10 shots, Inter 3.97 from 31. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Francesco Pio Esposito 52' · 0.59 xGFederico Dimarco 43' · 0.30 xGFederico Dimarco 27' · 0.30 xGMarcus Thuram 76' · 0.29 xGNicolò Barella 31' · 0.28 xGLautaro Martínez 85' · 0.25 xGLautaro Martínez 65' · 0.14 xGMarcus Thuram 88' · 0.13 xGLautaro Martínez 28' · 0.13 xGLautaro Martínez 50' · 0.13 xGLautaro Martínez 4' · 0.12 xGAlessandro Bastoni 75' · 0.12 xGLautaro Martínez 34' · 0.11 xGManuel Akanji 24' · 0.11 xGLautaro Martínez 91' · 0.10 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 28' · 0.10 xGPiotr Zielinski 88' · 0.07 xGLautaro Martínez 32' · 0.07 xGAdam Obert 79' · 0.07 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 45' · 0.07 xGMarcus Thuram 78' · 0.07 xGNicolò Barella 25' · 0.07 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 57' · 0.06 xGDaniel Maldini 48' · 0.06 xGLautaro Martínez 66' · 0.06 xGLuis Henrique 40' · 0.06 xGJohn Stones 86' · 0.05 xGRiccardo Ciervo 91' · 0.05 xGBenjamin Pavard 28' · 0.04 xGHakan Calhanoglu 56' · 0.04 xGCurtis Jones 64' · 0.04 xGNdary Adopo 83' · 0.03 xGAlessandro Bastoni 28' · 0.03 xGAlessandro Romano 69' · 0.02 xGAlieu Fadera 60' · 0.02 xGLautaro Martínez 22' · 0.02 xGJuan Rodríguez 89' · 0.02 xGGennaro Borrelli 84' · 0.02 xGAlieu Fadera 76' · 0.02 xGJacopo Fazzini 49' · 0.01 xGHakan Calhanoglu 8' · 0.03 xG · goal
Cagliari (attacking right)Inter (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Cagliari1000.32
Inter3113.97

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Inter led on xG, 1.84 to 0.00. At full time, Inter led on xG, 3.97 to 0.32. The widest gap was 3.65 xG to Inter, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.02.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Inter 8 min
Cagliari 0.32 xGInter 3.97 xGdots = goals · 41 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cagliari v Inter?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Inter was Home or Away (best price 1.20 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Inter?
In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 0, Inter won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and Inter?
Recent form — Cagliari 4W 0D 1L; Inter 3W 2D 0L.

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