Cagliari v Juventus result
Team pages: Cagliari · Juventus · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Cagliari 1–1 Juventus — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
What xG said
xG said Juventus: 2.38 to 0.81 in expected goals, from 22 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the 80th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.
The result
Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Sunday 11 October.
The goals
Cagliari led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Cagliari: Daniel Maldini (20’, assisted by P. Mendy); Juventus: Randal Kolo Muani (81’, assisted by Kerim-Sam Alajbegović).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Randal Kolo Muani’s goal on 81 minutes.
Discipline
Matteo Marcenaro, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: J. Rodríguez (45+1’) and Alessandro Deiola (83’); Juventus: Weston McKennie (17’).
What it changes
Cagliari move down from third to fourth (six league matches played). Cagliari have scored six goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Cagliari have conceded three goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Juventus stay sixth after this result (six league matches played). Juventus have scored nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Juventus have conceded five goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Cagliari are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Juventus are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Cagliari have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Juventus have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Elia Caprile (Cagliari) 6.7, Randal Kolo Muani (Juventus) 6.1 and P. Mendy (Cagliari) 6.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Cagliari or Juventus (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Cagliari next host Frosinone on 7 November 2026.
Juventus next travel to Fiorentina on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Cagliari: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Juventus: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Cagliari 1–1 Juventus · Serie A
- Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
- Referee: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 1 · draws 2 · Juventus 3 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Cagliari 3W 0D 2L · Juventus 3W 1D 1L
Cagliari 1–1 Juventus (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cagliari for / against | Line | Juventus for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.5 for · 18 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.75 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy — 4.4 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 25.8 fouls over 5 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Cagliari
Cagliari Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile | 6 | 92550 min | 223.6 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Radunović | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile n 8 | 91.3 | 3.2 |
| B. Radunović n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Cagliari Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obert | 7 | 85592 min | 152.3 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 253.8 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Rodríguez | 7 | 84585 min | 101.5 /90 | 101.5 /90 | 101.5 /90 | 284.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Zé Pedro | 6 | 84504 min | 81.4 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 142.5 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| A. Deiola | 6 | 83497 min | 91.6 /90 | 81.4 /90 | 61.1 /90 | 162.9 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| R. Kofler | 4 | 48193 min | 20.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 31.4 /90 | 73.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obert n 8 | 85.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | Pierre Kalulu |
| A. Romano n 7 | 84.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | Douglas Luiz |
| J. Rodríguez n 8 | 80.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | Z. Çelik |
| H. Winks n 7 | 83.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | Douglas Luiz |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 83.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | Douglas Luiz |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Obert n 8 | 85.3 | 2.4 |
| A. Romano n 7 | 84.3 | 2.3 |
| J. Rodríguez n 8 | 80.9 | 1.5 |
| H. Winks n 7 | 83.1 | 0.8 |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 83.4 | 0.8 |
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Cagliari Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mendy | 7 | 71496 min | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.8 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
| D. Maldini | 7 | 63442 min | 30.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 51 /90 | 71.4 /90 |
| A. Fadera | 4 | 45180 min | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 42 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 63 /90 | 21 /90 |
| M. Felici | 3 | 40120 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.5 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 43 /90 |
| G. Borrelli | 2 | 4079 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.4 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obert n 8 | 85.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| A. Romano n 7 | 84.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| J. Rodríguez n 8 | 80.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| H. Winks n 7 | 83.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 83.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obert n 8 | 85.3 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Romano n 7 | 84.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| J. Rodríguez n 8 | 80.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| H. Winks n 7 | 83.1 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 83.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
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Juventus
Juventus Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guglielmo Vicario | 5 | 90449 min | 91.8 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Grabara | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Guglielmo Vicario n 5 | 89.8 | 1.8 |
Juventus Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Kalulu | 6 | 90540 min | 111.8 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 183 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Z. Çelik | 6 | 86517 min | 122.1 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 203.5 /90 | 61 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| Bremer | 6 | 80480 min | 71.3 /90 | 91.7 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 254.7 /90 | 91.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Lucumí | 5 | 78390 min | 51.2 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 102.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
| L. Kelly | 3 | 50150 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Kalulu n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.6 | A. Obert |
| Z. Çelik n 6 | 86.2 | 1 | 0.3 | J. Rodríguez |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 68.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | M. Adopo |
| Bremer n 8 | 82.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | — |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 78.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pierre Kalulu n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| Z. Çelik n 6 | 86.2 | 2.1 |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 68.9 | 1.8 |
| Bremer n 8 | 82.5 | 1.6 |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 78.9 | 0.6 |
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Juventus Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kolo Muani | 6 | 78468 min | 10.2 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 81.5 /90 |
| J. Boga | 3 | 35104 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 21.7 /90 | 32.6 /90 |
| E. Zhegrova | 3 | 2370 min | 22.6 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 33.9 /90 | 22.6 /90 | 810.3 /90 | 33.9 /90 |
| N. Woltemade | 2 | 57113 min | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 54 /90 | 32.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Jonathan David | 1 | 5757 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Kalulu n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Z. Çelik n 6 | 86.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 68.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Bremer n 8 | 82.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 78.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Kalulu n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Z. Çelik n 6 | 86.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 68.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Bremer n 8 | 82.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 78.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Cagliari | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| 28% | Possession | 72% |
| 0.52 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.95 |
| 4 | Shots | 22 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 1 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 2 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 9 | Saves | 1 |
| 340 | Passes | 843 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 93% |
Cagliari Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.9 |
| H. Winks | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Romano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Zé Pedro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Y. Mina | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Adopo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Obert | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| P. Mendy | 69 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Maldini | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Y. Massolin | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Rodríguez | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Deiola sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Fadera sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M'Bala Nzola sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Y. Sugawara sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Fazzini sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Juventus Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Kalulu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Kolo Muani | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Lucumí | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| P. Sarr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Bremer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Guglielmo Vicario | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Douglas Luiz | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Z. Çelik | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. González | 60 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| W. McKennie | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Francisco Conceição | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Kerim-Sam Alajbegović sub | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| E. Zhegrova sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Woltemade sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Cambiaso sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Koopmeiners sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cagliari v Juventus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-17 Cagliari 1–0 Juventus
- 2025-11-29 Juventus 2–1 Cagliari
- 2025-02-23 Cagliari 0–1 Juventus
- 2024-12-17 Juventus 4–0 Cagliari
- 2024-10-06 Juventus 1–1 Cagliari
- 2024-04-19 Cagliari 2–2 Juventus
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Cagliari 0.81 xG from 4 shots, Juventus 2.38 from 22. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 4 | 1 | 0.81 |
| Juventus | 22 | 1 | 2.38 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Cagliari led on xG, 0.79 to 0.18. At full time, Juventus led on xG, 2.38 to 0.81. The widest gap was 1.59 xG to Juventus, in the 85th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Cagliari v Juventus?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Juventus was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Juventus?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 1, Juventus won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cagliari and Juventus?
- Recent form — Cagliari 3W 0D 2L; Juventus 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s Boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.