CagliariJuventus

Cagliari v Juventus result

Full-time · Cagliari 1–1 Juventus

Serie A · · Unipol Domus

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cagliari 1–1 Juventus — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Juventus: 2.38 to 0.81 in expected goals, from 22 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the 80th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Sunday 11 October.

The goals

Cagliari led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Cagliari: Daniel Maldini (20’, assisted by P. Mendy); Juventus: Randal Kolo Muani (81’, assisted by Kerim-Sam Alajbegović).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Randal Kolo Muani’s goal on 81 minutes.

Discipline

Matteo Marcenaro, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: J. Rodríguez (45+1’) and Alessandro Deiola (83’); Juventus: Weston McKennie (17’).

What it changes

Cagliari move down from third to fourth (six league matches played). Cagliari have scored six goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Cagliari have conceded three goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Juventus stay sixth after this result (six league matches played). Juventus have scored nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Juventus have conceded five goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cagliari are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Juventus are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Cagliari have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Juventus have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Elia Caprile (Cagliari) 6.7, Randal Kolo Muani (Juventus) 6.1 and P. Mendy (Cagliari) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cagliari or Juventus (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Cagliari next host Frosinone on 7 November 2026.

Juventus next travel to Fiorentina on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cagliari: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Juventus: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cagliari 1–1 Juventus · Serie A
  • Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
  • Referee: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 1 · draws 2 · Juventus 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cagliari 3W 0D 2L · Juventus 3W 1D 1L

Cagliari 1–1 Juventus (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.63 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.88
Corners
against 5.5 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.4 yellows
Referee · Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
25.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCagliari for / againstLineJuventus for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 18 against n 8
19.5standard
17.75 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy — 4.4 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 25.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile692550 min223.6 /9020.3 /9000 /90
B. Radunović19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 891.3
3.28/5
B. Radunović n 890
2.45/4

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Obert785592 min152.3 /9071.1 /9030.5 /90253.8 /9040.6 /9000 /90
J. Rodríguez784585 min101.5 /90101.5 /90101.5 /90284.3 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Zé Pedro684504 min81.4 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90142.5 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
A. Deiola683497 min91.6 /9081.4 /9061.1 /90162.9 /9040.7 /9020.4 /90
R. Kofler448193 min20.9 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9073.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Obert n 885.3
0.74/1
0.43/0
Pierre Kalulu
A. Romano n 784.3
1.25/3
0.84/1
Douglas Luiz
J. Rodríguez n 880.9
0.42/1
0.84/1
Z. Çelik
H. Winks n 783.1
1.14/2
0.95/1
Douglas Luiz
M. Adopo n 883.4
0.95/2
0.32/0
Douglas Luiz
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Obert n 885.3
2.46/6
A. Romano n 784.3
2.36/5
J. Rodríguez n 880.9
1.58/2
H. Winks n 783.1
0.84/1
M. Adopo n 883.4
0.85/1
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mendy771496 min20.4 /9000 /90101.8 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
D. Maldini763442 min30.6 /9000 /9091.8 /9040.8 /9051 /9071.4 /90
A. Fadera445180 min00 /9010.5 /9042 /9010.5 /9063 /9021 /90
M. Felici340120 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9043 /90
G. Borrelli24079 min00 /9000 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9000 /9033.4 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Obert n 885.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Romano n 784.3
1.47/2
0.95/1
J. Rodríguez n 880.9
0.73/1
0.32/0
H. Winks n 783.1
0.31/1
0.21/0
M. Adopo n 883.4
0.53/1
0.31/1
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Obert n 885.3
00/0
00/0
A. Romano n 784.3
0.21/0
00/0
J. Rodríguez n 880.9
0.11/0
00/0
H. Winks n 783.1
00/0
00/0
M. Adopo n 883.4
00/0
0.32/0
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Juventus

Juventus Goalkeeper

Juventus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario590449 min91.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
K. Grabara19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Juventus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 589.8
1.83/2

Juventus Defensive

Juventus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pierre Kalulu690540 min111.8 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90183 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik686517 min122.1 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90203.5 /9061 /9010.2 /90
Bremer680480 min71.3 /9091.7 /9010.2 /90254.7 /9091.7 /9000 /90
J. Lucumí578390 min51.2 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90102.3 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
L. Kelly350150 min00 /9000 /9000 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.54/0
0.63/2
A. Obert
Z. Çelik n 686.2
14/2
0.32/0
J. Rodríguez
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
2.56/3
1.66/3
M. Adopo
Bremer n 882.5
1.67/4
0.11/0
—
R. Kolo Muani n 878.9
1.76/2
1.77/4
—
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Juventus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
1.86/5
Z. Çelik n 686.2
2.14/4
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
1.86/4
Bremer n 882.5
1.67/4
R. Kolo Muani n 878.9
0.64/0
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Juventus Attacking

Juventus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kolo Muani678468 min10.2 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9040.8 /9040.8 /9081.5 /90
J. Boga335104 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.7 /9032.6 /90
E. Zhegrova32370 min22.6 /9011.3 /9033.9 /9022.6 /90810.3 /9033.9 /90
N. Woltemade257113 min10.8 /9000 /9054 /9032.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Jonathan David15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Z. Çelik n 686.2
0.21/0
0.21/0
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
1.85/3
0.52/1
Bremer n 882.5
1.15/2
0.43/0
R. Kolo Muani n 878.9
1.66/4
0.64/0
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Juventus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
00/0
00/0
Z. Çelik n 686.2
0.21/0
0.21/0
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
00/0
00/0
Bremer n 882.5
0.32/0
00/0
R. Kolo Muani n 878.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CagliariJuventus
28%Possession72%
0.52Expected goals (xG)1.95
4Shots22
2Shots on target10
1Shots off target6
1Blocked shots6
2Shots inside the box8
1Corners9
2Offsides2
8Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
9Saves1
340Passes843
82%Pass accuracy93%

Cagliari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000008.9
H. Winks9000110006.9
A. Romano9000100206.9
Zé Pedro9000000306.9
Y. Mina9000000306.9
M. Adopo9000001407.2
A. Obert8400000507
P. Mendy6901002107.3
D. Maldini6910111007.7
Y. Massolin6000000106.6
J. Rodríguez4500000106.9
A. Deiola sub4500000206.7
A. Fadera sub3000000206.9
M'Bala Nzola sub2100000006.2
Y. Sugawara sub2100000006.5
J. Fazzini sub1100000006.3

Juventus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pierre Kalulu9000002406.9
R. Kolo Muani9010212007.3
J. Lucumí9000100107.3
P. Sarr9000103307.6
Bremer9000100307
Guglielmo Vicario9000000006.5
Douglas Luiz8400111307.7
Z. Çelik6400001407.2
N. González6000212206.9
W. McKennie4500003106.2
Francisco Conceição4500100006.6
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović sub4501004108
E. Zhegrova sub4500550006.9
N. Woltemade sub3000110006.9
A. Cambiaso sub2600110006.9
T. Koopmeiners sub1100000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v Juventus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CagliariLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
JuventusWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cagliari 1 · 2 draws · Juventus 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Cagliari 1–0 Juventus
  • 2025-11-29 Juventus 2–1 Cagliari
  • 2025-02-23 Cagliari 0–1 Juventus
  • 2024-12-17 Juventus 4–0 Cagliari
  • 2024-10-06 Juventus 1–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-04-19 Cagliari 2–2 Juventus
League standing · 2026/27
Cagliari#12 pos13 pts10 pl-6 GD
Juventus#7 pos17 pts10 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Cagliari scored0.9
Juventus scored1.3
Cagliari conceded1.5
Juventus conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Cagliari 0.81 xG from 4 shots, Juventus 2.38 from 22. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nick Woltemade 84' · 0.67 xGRandal Kolo Muani 84' · 0.62 xGJhon Lucumí 46' · 0.07 xGDaniel Maldini 19' · 0.05 xGEdon Zhegrova 51' · 0.05 xGDouglas Luiz 22' · 0.04 xGEdon Zhegrova 84' · 0.04 xGAndrea Cambiaso 85' · 0.04 xGNicolás González 46' · 0.04 xGEdon Zhegrova 63' · 0.03 xGDouglas Luiz 7' · 0.03 xGEdon Zhegrova 61' · 0.03 xGFrancisco Conceição 11' · 0.03 xGNicolás González 42' · 0.02 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 71' · 0.02 xGMehmet Zeki Çelik 0' · 0.02 xGHarry Winks 31' · 0.02 xGDouglas Luiz 46' · 0.02 xGPape Sarr 29' · 0.02 xGEdon Zhegrova 60' · 0.02 xGAlessandro Romano 90' · 0.02 xGBremer 76' · 0.02 xGEdon Zhegrova 79' · 0.02 xGPape Sarr 8' · 0.01 xGDaniel Maldini 19' · 0.72 xG · goalRandal Kolo Muani 80' · 0.52 xG · goal
Cagliari (attacking right)Juventus (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Cagliari410.81
Juventus2212.38

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Cagliari led on xG, 0.79 to 0.18. At full time, Juventus led on xG, 2.38 to 0.81. The widest gap was 1.59 xG to Juventus, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.41.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Cagliari 19 minGoal - Juventus 80 min
Cagliari 0.81 xGJuventus 2.38 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cagliari v Juventus?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Juventus was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Juventus?
In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 1, Juventus won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and Juventus?
Recent form — Cagliari 3W 0D 2L; Juventus 3W 1D 1L.

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