This Matchweek

GenoaComo

Genoa v Como result

Full-time · Genoa 1–4 Como

Serie A · · Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Genoa · Como · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Genoa 1–4 Como — Como won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.18 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Como: 2.01 to 0.92 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 39th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Como won 4–1 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Serie A on Friday 4 September. Como have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Como led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Genoa: Milutin Osmajić (19’, assisted by Lorenzo Colombo); Como: Martin Baturina (25’, assisted by Álex Valle), Assane Diao (30’; 78’, assisted by Moise Kean) and N. Paz (40’, assisted by Yan Couto).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Assane Diao’s goal on 30 minutes.

Discipline

M. Guida showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Genoa: D. Sow (36’) and Leo Østigård (62’); Como: Martin Baturina (60’).

What it changes

Genoa move down from 16th to 19th (three league matches played). Genoa have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Genoa have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Como move up from fourth to first (three league matches played). Como have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Como have conceded eight goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Como’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 3, across 10 matches. Genoa have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Como are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Assane Diao (Como) 12.8, N. Paz (Como) 6.8 and Álex Valle (Como) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Como are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Genoa, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Como, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Genoa next host AC Milan on 8 November 2026.

Como next travel to Inter on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Genoa: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Como: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Genoa 1–4 Como · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Genoa
  • Referee: M. Guida
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Genoa 0 · draws 4 · Como 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Genoa 1W 0D 4L · Como 4W 1D 0L

Genoa 1–4 Como (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 7
Corners
against 3.63 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 2.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · M. Guida
20.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGenoa for / againstLineComo for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
10.88 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: M. Guida — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 20.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Genoa

Genoa Goalkeeper

Genoa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bijlow390270 min41.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bijlow n 884.4
2.44/3

Genoa Defensive

Genoa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marcandalli390270 min72.3 /9000 /9020.7 /90124 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Vásquez385255 min31.1 /9010.4 /9000 /9093.2 /9031.1 /9000 /90
L. Østigård367201 min31.3 /9052.2 /9041.8 /90114.9 /9041.8 /9031.3 /90
S. Otoa23569 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.6 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Norton-Cuffy390270 min20.7 /9000 /9031 /9082.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Frendrup n 890
1.17/2
0.95/2
N. Paz
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
0.52/1
14/2
—
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
0.43/0
0.43/0
Álex Valle
J. Bijlow n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
—
M. Ellertsson n 888.5
0.84/1
15/2
—
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Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
2.68/7
M. Frendrup n 890
2.58/5
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
1.66/2
M. Ellertsson n 888.5
1.16/3
J. Vásquez n 888.1
1.88/3
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Genoa Attacking

Genoa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vítinha381243 min00 /9000 /9062.2 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9020.7 /90
L. Colombo377230 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
T. Baldanzi374222 min10.4 /9000 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
Junior Messias22856 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9023.2 /9046.4 /90
M. Osmajić12727 min00 /9000 /9013.3 /9000 /9013.3 /9000 /90
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Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
15/1
0.64/0
M. Frendrup n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Bijlow n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Ellertsson n 888.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Frendrup n 890
00/0
0.11/0
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bijlow n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Ellertsson n 888.5
00/0
00/0
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Como

Como Goalkeeper

Como — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jean Butez290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jean Butez n 890
1.84/2

Como Defensive

Como — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Álex Valle290180 min21 /9042 /9021 /9031.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Jacobo Ramón Naveros290180 min42 /9010.5 /9000 /90115.5 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Chalobah290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Yan Couto274147 min21.2 /9021.2 /9000 /9021.2 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Smolčić13232 min25.6 /9012.8 /9000 /9038.4 /9000 /9000 /90
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Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Douvikas n 883.3
1.47/3
1.86/4
—
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
0.95/2
0.83/1
—
Álex Valle n 880.8
0.74/1
0.73/1
A. Marcandalli
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
N. Paz n 883.1
27/3
1.24/3
M. Frendrup
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Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Valle n 880.8
1.87/3
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
1.37/3
T. Douvikas n 883.3
0.32/0
N. Paz n 883.1
3.47/6
Lucas Da Cunha n 878.4
27/5
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Como Attacking

Como — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Douvikas290180 min21 /9000 /9063 /9052.5 /9021 /9021 /90
Luis Milla290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9063 /9021 /90
N. Paz285170 min00 /9000 /9042.1 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9052.6 /90
Lucas Da Cunha256111 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.4 /9000 /90
Assane Diao255110 min00 /9010.8 /9043.3 /9010.8 /9043.3 /9021.6 /90
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Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Douvikas n 883.3
28/4
1.57/3
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
1.16/1
0.31/1
Álex Valle n 880.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Paz n 883.1
2.67/6
1.14/2
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Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Douvikas n 883.3
0.75/0
00/0
Álex Valle n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
00/0
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Paz n 883.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GenoaComo
38%Possession62%
0.78Expected goals (xG)1.78
11Shots20
2Shots on target9
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box9
5Corners4
6Offsides2
8Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves1
361Passes618
85%Pass accuracy92%

Genoa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bijlow9000000006
L. Østigård90000001Y6.6
J. Vásquez9000100105.9
M. Frendrup9000001106.7
M. Ellertsson9000000306.6
M. Osmajić9010212007.5
A. Marcandalli8100000205.5
D. Sow75000011Y6.5
T. Baldanzi6600102206.5
L. Colombo6601103207.2
S. Sabelli4500000006.2
Vítinha sub4500110106.6
Junior Messias sub2400100106.9
K. Ehizibue sub2400001106.3
Alexsandro Amorim sub1500001106.7
Franz-Ethan Meichtry sub900001006.7

Como Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jean Butez9000000006.5
Yan Couto9001212107.6
Jacobo Ramón Naveros9000110207.3
T. Chalobah9000000307.2
Álex Valle9001113006.9
M. Perrone9000102207.3
Assane Diao8420322308.3
Lucas Da Cunha8000101207.5
N. Paz8010321207.9
M. Baturina66101111Y7.2
T. Douvikas6600101006.3
M. Caqueret sub2400001006.7
M. Kean sub2401001006.6
M. Liberali sub1000000006.3
Luis Milla sub1000000006.3
S. Ricci sub1000110106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Genoa v Como — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GenoaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ComoWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Genoa 0 · 4 draws · Como 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Genoa 0–2 Como
  • 2025-09-15 Como 1–1 Genoa
  • 2025-04-27 Como 1–0 Genoa
  • 2024-11-07 Genoa 1–1 Como
  • 2023-04-10 como 2–2 Genoa
  • 2022-11-13 Genoa 1–1 como
League standing · 2026/27
Genoa#11 pos13 pts10 pl-4 GD
Como#4 pos23 pts10 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Genoa scored1
Como scored1.8
Genoa conceded1.4
Como conceded0.8

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Genoa 0.92 xG from 11 shots, Como 2.01 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tasos Douvikas 64' · 0.49 xGTommaso Baldanzi 23' · 0.12 xGTasos Douvikas 1' · 0.10 xGJunior Messias 73' · 0.09 xGTasos Douvikas 43' · 0.09 xGSamuele Ricci 82' · 0.09 xGAssane Diao 37' · 0.08 xGNico Paz 67' · 0.08 xGMilutin Osmajic 60' · 0.07 xGMáximo Perrone 42' · 0.07 xGMikael Ellertsson 56' · 0.07 xGLucas Da Cunha 12' · 0.07 xGJunior Messias 90' · 0.06 xGLucas Da Cunha 51' · 0.06 xGJacobo Ramón 68' · 0.04 xGMáximo Perrone 9' · 0.03 xGLucas Da Cunha 17' · 0.03 xGTommaso Baldanzi 49' · 0.03 xGÁlex Valle 21' · 0.02 xGNico Paz 16' · 0.02 xGYan Couto 32' · 0.02 xGYan Couto 6' · 0.02 xGLorenzo Colombo 5' · 0.01 xGTommaso Baldanzi 44' · 0.01 xGJohan Vásquez 50' · 0.01 xGVitinha 83' · 0.01 xGMilutin Osmajic 18' · 0.43 xG · goalNico Paz 39' · 0.31 xG · goalAssane Diao 77' · 0.31 xG · goalAssane Diao 29' · 0.07 xG · goalMartin Baturina 24' · 0.03 xG · goal
Genoa (attacking right)Como (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Genoa1110.92
Como2042.01

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Como led on xG, 0.95 to 0.58. At full time, Como led on xG, 2.01 to 0.92. The widest gap was 1.16 xG to Como, in the 82nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Genoa 18 minGoal - Como 24 minGoal - Como 29 minGoal - Como 39 minGoal - Como 77 min
Genoa 0.92 xGComo 2.01 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Genoa v Como?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Genoa v Como was Draw or Away (best price 1.18 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Como?
In their last 6 meetings, Genoa won 0, Como won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Genoa and Como?
Recent form — Genoa 1W 0D 4L; Como 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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