This Matchweek

GenoaVenezia

Genoa v Venezia result

Full-time · Genoa 1–0 Venezia

Serie A · · Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Genoa · Venezia · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Genoa 1–0 Venezia — Genoa won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Venezia: 1.66 to 0.78 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 47th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Genoa beat Venezia 1–0 at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in Serie A on Sunday 25 October.

The goals

Genoa led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Genoa: Mikael Ellertsson (25’, assisted by Stephan El Shaarawy).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mikael Ellertsson’s goal on 25 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Genoa: Sebastian Otoa (55’).

What it changes

Genoa move up from 19th to 16th (eight league matches played). Genoa have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Genoa have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Venezia stay 20th after this result (eight league matches played). Venezia have scored six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Venezia have conceded 20 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mikael Ellertsson (Genoa) 5.2, Justin Bijlow (Genoa) 5.1 and Hamed Traorè (Genoa) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Genoa or Venezia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Genoa next host AC Milan on 8 November 2026.

Venezia next host Udinese on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Genoa: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Venezia: Venezia v Udinese, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Genoa 1–0 Venezia · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris · Genova
  • Referee: Simone Sozza
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Genoa 3 · draws 2 · Venezia 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Genoa 2W 1D 2L · Venezia 1W 0D 4L

Genoa 1–0 Venezia (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.5
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 7.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGenoa for / againstLineVenezia for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 17.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 7.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Simone Sozza.

Genoa

Genoa Goalkeeper

Genoa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bijlow890720 min202.5 /90141.8 /9000 /90
F. Stolz19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bijlow n 890
2.55/4

Genoa Defensive

Genoa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marcandalli982735 min172.1 /9050.6 /9060.7 /90384.7 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
L. Østigård881651 min111.5 /9081.1 /90141.9 /90435.9 /90101.4 /9050.7 /90
J. Vásquez787611 min111.6 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90294.3 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90
S. Otoa555275 min62 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90185.9 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
K. Ehizibue456225 min41.6 /9010.4 /9000 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
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Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Marcandalli n 880.6
14/1
0.64/0
—
J. Bijlow n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. Frendrup n 889.1
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
M. Ellertsson n 886.1
1.27/2
0.74/1
Kike Pérez
L. Østigård n 881.4
1.48/2
13/2
—
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Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marcandalli n 880.6
1.88/4
M. Frendrup n 889.1
2.58/6
M. Ellertsson n 886.1
2.58/7
L. Østigård n 881.4
1.57/3
Vítinha n 857
2.26/2
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Genoa Attacking

Genoa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vítinha857456 min00 /9000 /90122.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /9030.6 /90
Junior Messias847372 min10.2 /9000 /9081.9 /9041 /9051.2 /90122.9 /90
L. Colombo759416 min10.2 /9020.4 /9081.7 /9040.9 /9081.7 /9030.6 /90
M. Osmajić680477 min30.6 /9010.2 /9091.7 /9040.8 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
S. El Shaarawy542211 min00 /9000 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9020.9 /90
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Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marcandalli n 880.6
0.42/1
00/0
J. Bijlow n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Frendrup n 889.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Ellertsson n 886.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
L. Østigård n 881.4
0.62/2
0.32/0
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Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marcandalli n 880.6
00/0
00/0
J. Bijlow n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Frendrup n 889.1
00/0
0.11/0
M. Ellertsson n 886.1
00/0
0.11/0
L. Østigård n 881.4
00/0
00/0
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Venezia

Venezia Goalkeeper

Venezia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Stanković890720 min354.4 /90162 /9010.1 /90
L. Montipò19090 min66 /9022 /9000 /90
Venezia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Stanković n 890
4.47/5

Venezia Defensive

Venezia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Schingtienne780558 min132.1 /9061 /9020.3 /90213.4 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
R. Haps758404 min51.1 /9061.3 /9030.7 /90204.5 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
R. Halhal683496 min50.9 /9081.5 /9061.1 /90224 /90101.8 /9010.2 /90
A. Bella-Kotchap575376 min71.7 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90317.4 /9030.7 /9000 /90
R. Sagrado566331 min41.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90102.7 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
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Venezia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
—
A. Hainaut n 887.4
1.55/4
0.54/0
—
A. Adams n 884.5
0.94/3
0.54/0
—
Kike Pérez n 884.3
1.97/5
1.97/4
M. Ellertsson
J. Yeboah n 878
0.43/0
1.47/3
—
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Venezia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Hainaut n 887.4
1.46/3
A. Adams n 884.5
0.11/0
Kike Pérez n 884.3
2.16/4
J. Yeboah n 878
1.46/4
S. Sohm n 869.6
1.55/2
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Venezia Attacking

Venezia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Adams885676 min40.5 /9010.1 /90253.3 /90131.7 /9081.1 /9050.7 /90
J. Yeboah878624 min20.3 /9000 /90202.9 /9071 /90142 /90121.7 /90
A. Rrahmani536179 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
L. Lauberbach251102 min00 /9000 /9032.6 /9021.8 /9000 /9010.9 /90
A. Hainaut887699 min20.3 /9010.1 /9091.2 /9030.4 /90111.4 /9040.5 /90
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Venezia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Hainaut n 887.4
1.27/2
0.43/0
A. Adams n 884.5
3.38/7
1.77/3
Kike Pérez n 884.3
0.93/2
0.42/1
J. Yeboah n 878
2.98/8
16/1
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Venezia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Hainaut n 887.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Adams n 884.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
Kike Pérez n 884.3
00/0
00/0
J. Yeboah n 878
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GenoaVenezia
45%Possession55%
0.41Expected goals (xG)1.82
7Shots19
4Shots on target5
2Shots off target7
1Blocked shots7
3Shots inside the box11
2Corners10
1Offsides0
12Fouls11
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
5Saves3
464Passes548

Genoa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Ellertsson9010110108
M. Osmajić9000001006.5
L. Østigård9000110207.4
H. Traorè9000000207.2
J. Vásquez9000000007.4
J. Bijlow9000000007.8
M. Mitaj8100101007.2
S. Wiafe8100001106.7
S. Otoa70000001Y6.9
S. El Shaarawy6201002007.6
Junior Messias6200201106.5
M. Frendrup2800000006.8
L. Colombo2800110006.7
A. Marcandalli2000000007
Alexsandro Amorim900110107
D. Puczka900000207.1

Venezia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Yeboah9000310006.1
Kike Pérez9000214206.6
M. Moreno9000101007.1
Juan Jesus9000100106.8
R. Halhal9000110106.9
A. Adams9000221006.5
F. Stanković9000000006.5
S. Sohm8700100106.7
A. Hainaut7900202106.3
R. Haps7100001207
T. Bašić7100201206.6
M. Dagasso1900304107.2
P. Mazzocchi1900002006.2
A. Rrahmani1100000006.3
L. Lauberbach300100006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Genoa v Venezia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GenoaDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
VeneziaLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Genoa 3 · 2 draws · Venezia 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-17 Genoa 2–0 Venezia
  • 2024-09-21 Venezia 2–0 Genoa
  • 2023-01-16 Genoa 1–0 Venezia
  • 2022-08-14 Venezia 1–2 Genoa
  • 2022-02-20 Venezia 1–1 Genoa
  • 2021-10-31 Genoa 0–0 Venezia
League standing · 2026/27
Genoa#11 pos13 pts10 pl-4 GD
Venezia#20 pos3 pts10 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Genoa scored1
Venezia scored0.6
Genoa conceded1.4
Venezia conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Genoa 0.78 xG from 7 shots, Venezia 1.66 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Antoine Hainaut 47' · 0.56 xGJunior Messias 40' · 0.40 xGJohn Yeboah 23' · 0.37 xGLeo Østigard 5' · 0.25 xGToma Basic 56' · 0.17 xGLion Lauberbach 93' · 0.12 xGJuan Jesus 70' · 0.06 xGLorenzo Colombo 65' · 0.06 xGSimon Sohm 71' · 0.06 xGAkor Adams 53' · 0.05 xGJohn Yeboah 72' · 0.04 xGRedouane Halal 48' · 0.03 xGMatías Moreno 73' · 0.03 xGMario Mitaj 13' · 0.03 xGAkor Adams 91' · 0.02 xGMatteo Dagasso 84' · 0.02 xGToma Basic 69' · 0.02 xGMatteo Dagasso 85' · 0.02 xGJunior Messias 12' · 0.02 xGAlex Amorim 88' · 0.02 xGAntoine Hainaut 45' · 0.02 xGMatteo Dagasso 89' · 0.02 xGKike Pérez 52' · 0.02 xGKike Pérez 86' · 0.02 xGJohn Yeboah 46' · 0.01 xGMikael Ellertsson 24' · 0.01 xG · goal
Genoa (attacking right)Venezia (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Genoa710.78
Venezia1901.66

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Genoa 0.71, Venezia 0.38. At full time, Venezia led on xG, 1.66 to 0.78. The widest gap was 0.88 xG to Venezia, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Genoa 24 min
Genoa 0.78 xGVenezia 1.66 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Genoa v Venezia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Genoa v Venezia was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Venezia?
In their last 6 meetings, Genoa won 3, Venezia won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Genoa and Venezia?
Recent form — Genoa 2W 1D 2L; Venezia 1W 0D 4L.

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