Gremio v Atletico-MG result

Full-time · Gremio 2–1 Atletico-MG

Serie A – Brazil · · Arena do Grêmio

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gremio · Atletico-MG · Head-to-head

Gremio 2–1 Atletico-MG — Gremio won this Serie A – Brazil match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Gremio beat Atletico-MG 2–1 at Arena do Grêmio in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 29 March. It is Gremio’s first win over Atletico-MG since 23 July 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Gremio led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Gremio: M. Arezo (37’) and Edenilson (45’); Atletico-MG: Rony (75’, assisted by Gustavo Scarpa).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Atletico-MG out-shot Gremio 22 to 12 and created the better chances, 2.28 xG to 0.83 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

Raphael Claus, Brazil showed four yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Gremio: Wagner Leonardo (39’), Jemerson (45+4’), Cristian Pavón (90+5’) and Cristian Olivera (90+6’).

What it changes

Gremio are unbeaten in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rony (Atletico-MG) 6.3, Edenilson (Gremio) 6.2 and A. Franco (Atletico-MG) 5.9 led the match.

Next up

Gremio next host Cruzeiro on 18 October 2026.

Atletico-MG next travel to Atletico Torque on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gremio: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Atletico-MG: Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Gremio 2–1 Atletico-MG · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Arena do Grêmio · Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
  • Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gremio 2 · draws 0 · Atletico-MG 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gremio 1W 3D 1L · Atletico-MG 3W 0D 2L

Gremio 2–1 Atletico-MG (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6.43
Corners
against 6.5 / 4.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.75 / 5.57
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 3.14
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.88 yellows
Referee · Raphael Claus, Brazil
2 home / 1.88 away
over 16 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 March 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 March 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGremio for / againstLineAtletico-MG for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.43 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
9.75 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.57 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.57 for · 3.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.14 for · 12.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.14 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil — 3.88 yellow cards a game, 0.19 red cards, 22.56 fouls over 16 matches (2 to the home side, 1.88 to the away side).

Gremio
Gremio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Arezo n 822
3.65/2
1.52/1
—
Pepê n 838.6
2.36/2
3.88/4
—
Diego Costa n 828.4
23/1
2.44/1
—
M. Monsalve n 837.8
1.85/1
1.84/2
—
Mathias Villasanti n 878.1
1.77/3
15/1
—
Gremio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Arezo n 822
5.15/3
3.65/1
Martin Braithwaite n 869.3
2.36/4
1.15/2
Diego Costa n 828.4
23/2
1.22/1
Franco Cristaldo n 848.5
1.64/3
0.73/0
A. Aravena n 858.1
1.55/2
1.23/2
Gremio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Martin Braithwaite n 869.3
0.53/0
00/0
Franco Cristaldo n 848.5
0.52/0
00/0
M. Arezo n 822
0.51/0
00/0
João Pedro n 878.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
Diego Costa n 828.4
00/0
0.41/0
Gremio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mathias Villasanti n 878.1
37/6
Pedro Geromel n 854.6
2.95/4
Dodi n 868.6
2.57/5
Reinaldo n 893.3
2.37/5
Rodrigo Ely n 874.6
2.36/5
Gremio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Caíque n 886.4
3.17/6
A. Marchesín n 892.3
2.86/5
Gabriel Grando n 892.8
2.77/5
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Igor Gomes n 842.6
2.45/3
1.64/1
—
Matías Zaracho n 843.1
1.85/2
1.35/0
—
Alisson Santana n 838
1.86/0
2.46/1
—
R. Battaglia n 879.3
1.68/2
1.15/2
—
Guilherme Arana n 871
1.66/3
13/1
—
Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rony n 865.4
3.17/5
1.54/3
Hulk n 872.6
2.68/4
1.56/2
Cuello n 883.8
2.46/6
1.66/4
Alisson Santana n 838
2.45/2
1.22/1
E. Vargas n 849.5
25/2
1.14/1
Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Vargas n 849.5
0.73/0
0.52/0
Alisson Santana n 838
0.62/0
0.31/0
Cuello n 883.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
Matías Zaracho n 843.1
00/0
0.52/0
Hulk n 872.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rubens n 864.4
4.48/6
Otavio n 868.8
2.57/5
Natanael n 892.4
2.48/6
A. Franco n 888.8
2.46/6
R. Saravia n 881.9
2.27/3
Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Everson n 891.3
3.37/5

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GremioAtletico-MG
32%Possession68%
0.83Expected goals (xG)2.28
12Shots22
5Shots on target7
4Shots off target5
3Blocked shots10
4Shots inside the box15
1Corners11
1Offsides4
19Fouls5
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
6Saves3
264Passes559
74%Pass accuracy84%

Gremio player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tiago Volpi9000000008.3
Wagner Leonardo90000013Y7.2
Camilo9000100206.5
Mathias Villasanti9000001306.9
Cristian Olivera90000002Y6.3
Edenilson9010114007.5
Jemerson77000000Y6.3
F. Amuzu7700220107.2
M. Arezo7710220107.2
Lucas Esteves6100101107.2
Igor4500000107
João Lucas sub4500000106.5
Viery sub2900000006.3
Rodrigo Ely sub1300000106.9
Cristian Pavón sub13001000Y6.9
André Henrique sub1300100006.9

Atletico-MG player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Everson9000000006.7
Lyanco9000000207.2
Guilherme Arana9000111207.5
Gustavo Scarpa9001104007.7
A. Franco9000000407.3
Cuello9000423207
Rony9010222106.7
Natanael8400001106.7
J. Alonso7300000106.9
Hulk7300210006.9
Gabriel Menino6500000006.9
Junior Santos sub2500111006.6
Rubens sub1700000206.7
João Marcelo sub1700102006.7
Bernard sub1400000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gremio v Atletico-MG — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GremioWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Atletico-MGLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gremio 2 · 0 draws · Atletico-MG 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2024-10-09 Atletico-MG 2–1 Gremio
  • 2024-09-01 Gremio 2–3 Atletico-MG
  • 2023-11-26 Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio
  • 2023-07-23 Gremio 1–0 Atletico-MG
  • 2021-12-10 Gremio 4–3 Atletico-MG
  • 2021-11-04 Atletico-MG 2–1 Gremio
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Gremio#9 pos49 pts38 pl-3 GD
Atletico-MG#11 pos48 pts38 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Gremio scored1.24
Atletico-MG scored1.13
Gremio conceded1.32
Atletico-MG conceded1.16

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Atletico-MG?
In their last 6 meetings, Gremio won 2, Atletico-MG won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gremio and Atletico-MG?
Recent form — Gremio 1W 3D 1L; Atletico-MG 3W 0D 2L.

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