Hellas VeronaAC Milan

Hellas Verona v AC Milan result

Full-time · Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hellas Verona · AC Milan · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan — AC Milan won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Hellas Verona 0.71, AC Milan 0.84 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AC Milan won 1–0 at Hellas Verona in Serie A on Sunday 19 April. Hellas Verona have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

AC Milan led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — AC Milan: A. Rabiot (41’, assisted by Rafael Leão).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Rabiot’s goal on 41 minutes.

Discipline

D. Chiffi showed two yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hellas Verona: J. Akpa Akpro (24’) and Al Musrati (84’).

What it changes

Hellas Verona stay 19th after this result (33 league matches played). Hellas Verona have scored 25 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Hellas Verona have conceded 61 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

AC Milan move up from third to second (33 league matches played). AC Milan have scored 53 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). AC Milan have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Rabiot (AC Milan) 7.4, Victor Nelsson (Hellas Verona) 6.3 and Rafael Leão (AC Milan) 4.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

AC Milan are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Hellas Verona, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hellas Verona or AC Milan (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Hellas Verona next travel to Mantova on 7 November 2026.

AC Milan next travel to Genoa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hellas Verona: Mantova v Hellas Verona, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for AC Milan: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan · Serie A
  • Referee: D. Chiffi
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hellas Verona 0 · draws 0 · AC Milan 6 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hellas Verona 1W 0D 4L · AC Milan 2W 0D 3L

Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.5 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · D. Chiffi
21.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHellas Verona for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.13 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: D. Chiffi — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 21.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona Goalkeeper

Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Montipò29902610 min692.4 /90481.7 /9020.1 /90
S. Perilli390270 min82.7 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Montipò n 890
1.52/2

Hellas Verona Defensive

Hellas Verona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Nelsson31892763 min531.7 /90551.8 /90180.6 /901775.8 /90351.1 /9040.1 /90
M. Frese26761988 min602.7 /90221 /9060.3 /901094.9 /90371.7 /9060.3 /90
A. Bella-Kotchap16791258 min171.2 /90322.3 /90151.1 /90674.8 /90211.5 /9030.2 /90
Unai Núñez16781251 min241.7 /90231.7 /90130.9 /90705 /90271.9 /9050.4 /90
N. Valentini14741038 min201.7 /90100.9 /9090.8 /90665.7 /90181.6 /9040.3 /90
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Hellas Verona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Nelsson n 889.9
1.15/3
0.64/1
S. Pavlović
L. Montipò n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Frese n 869.5
1.65/2
1.15/2
—
A. Bernede n 874.9
1.86/4
0.84/1
—
G. Orban n 878
15/2
0.73/2
—
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Hellas Verona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Nelsson n 889.9
2.56/5
M. Frese n 869.5
2.36/5
A. Bernede n 874.9
1.57/2
G. Orban n 878
0.32/0
D. Bradarić n 863.6
1.25/2
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Hellas Verona Attacking

Hellas Verona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Orban26741935 min70.3 /9020.1 /90612.8 /90281.3 /90200.9 /90190.9 /90
A. Sarr2242915 min00 /9010.1 /90101 /9040.4 /90101 /9080.8 /90
Giovane21731541 min30.2 /9040.2 /90352 /90251.5 /90281.6 /90301.8 /90
D. Mosquera1341532 min00 /9020.3 /9091.5 /9030.5 /9050.8 /9071.2 /90
Kieron Bowie984754 min20.2 /9000 /90141.7 /9060.7 /9091.1 /9030.4 /90
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Hellas Verona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Nelsson n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
L. Montipò n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Frese n 869.5
0.83/1
0.52/1
A. Bernede n 874.9
0.95/1
0.32/0
G. Orban n 878
2.57/6
1.25/2
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Hellas Verona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Nelsson n 889.9
00/0
00/0
L. Montipò n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Frese n 869.5
0.21/0
00/0
A. Bernede n 874.9
00/0
0.21/0
G. Orban n 878
0.11/0
0.11/0
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AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Maignan35893121 min952.7 /90300.9 /9020.1 /90
P. Terracciano262124 min42.9 /9000 /9000 /90
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
2.98/4

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Pavlović32842684 min451.5 /90250.8 /90100.3 /901565.2 /90260.9 /9050.2 /90
F. Tomori31832586 min672.3 /90321.1 /90240.8 /90983.4 /90351.2 /9060.2 /90
M. Gabbia24862075 min160.7 /90120.5 /90140.6 /90743.2 /90180.8 /9030.1 /90
K. De Winter24821963 min291.3 /90120.6 /90120.6 /90803.7 /90311.4 /9020.1 /90
Zachary Athekame1341538 min101.7 /9020.3 /9000 /90244 /90101.7 /9030.5 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Saelemaekers n 875.3
1.25/2
1.35/3
—
S. Pavlović n 876.6
1.66/4
1.26/2
V. Nelsson
L. Modrić n 887.8
0.84/2
0.86/0
—
F. Tomori n 877.1
1.54/4
0.42/1
—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Saelemaekers n 875.3
1.87/4
S. Pavlović n 876.6
2.57/5
L. Modrić n 887.8
1.76/3
F. Tomori n 877.1
2.37/7
Y. Fofana n 861.3
1.77/2
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Rafael Leão25671676 min100.5 /9020.1 /90412.2 /90241.3 /90181 /90221.2 /90
C. Pulišić24631520 min90.5 /9030.2 /90372.2 /90221.3 /90422.5 /90261.5 /90
C. Nkunku22561224 min60.4 /9020.1 /90221.6 /90110.8 /90151.1 /9050.4 /90
N. Füllkrug1634536 min10.2 /9000 /90111.8 /9050.8 /9061 /9020.3 /90
S. Giménez1267800 min10.1 /9010.1 /90232.6 /9091 /9050.6 /9030.3 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Saelemaekers n 875.3
0.75/0
0.32/0
S. Pavlović n 876.6
15/2
0.32/0
L. Modrić n 887.8
0.64/1
0.11/0
F. Tomori n 877.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Saelemaekers n 875.3
00/0
00/0
S. Pavlović n 876.6
0.32/0
00/0
L. Modrić n 887.8
00/0
00/0
F. Tomori n 877.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hellas VeronaAC Milan
47%Possession53%
0.71Expected goals (xG)0.85
13Shots6
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target1
7Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box3
6Corners1
0Offsides1
13Fouls6
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Saves2
421Passes491
85%Pass accuracy83%

Hellas Verona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Montipò9000000006.9
V. Nelsson9000000307.5
A. Edmundsson9000100006.9
N. Valentini9000000207.3
R. Belghali9000211006.2
G. Orban9000000006.5
R. Gagliardini8300001107.3
A. Bernede8200004207
J. Akpa Akpro64000001Y6.3
D. Bradarić4500001206.7
D. Oyegoke2100000006.6
Pol Lirola sub6900000106.2
Ioan Vermeșan sub4500210006.5
Al Musrati sub26001010Y6.9
S. Lovrić sub1200001006.9
Isaac sub800000006.7

AC Milan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.6
F. Tomori9000000307.3
M. Gabbia9000000007.5
S. Pavlović9000000107.5
L. Modrić9000000007.9
A. Rabiot9010220208.2
D. Bartesaghi9000101006.6
C. Pulišić8000000006.5
Y. Fofana6400001106.5
Zachary Athekame6300000006.3
Rafael Leão6301001006.6
A. Saelemaekers sub2700110206.6
S. Giménez sub2700000106.3
S. Ricci sub2600000106.9
C. Nkunku sub1000000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hellas Verona v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hellas VeronaWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AC MilanWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hellas Verona 0 · 0 draws · AC Milan 6 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-12-28 AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona
  • 2025-02-15 AC Milan 1–0 Hellas Verona
  • 2024-12-20 Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan
  • 2024-03-17 Hellas Verona 1–3 AC Milan
  • 2023-09-23 AC Milan 1–0 Hellas Verona
  • 2023-06-04 AC Milan 3–1 Hellas Verona
League standing · 2025/26
Hellas Verona#19 pos21 pts38 pl-36 GD
AC Milan#5 pos70 pts38 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Hellas Verona scored0.66
AC Milan scored1.39
Hellas Verona conceded1.61
AC Milan conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Hellas Verona 0.71 xG from 13 shots, AC Milan 0.84 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Rafik Belghali 46' · 0.27 xGAlexis Saelemaekers 89' · 0.11 xGRafik Belghali 67' · 0.10 xGGift Orban 83' · 0.08 xGAdrien Rabiot 31' · 0.06 xGGift Orban 87' · 0.05 xGSamuele Ricci 89' · 0.05 xGGift Orban 33' · 0.05 xGGift Orban 35' · 0.04 xGChristian Pulisic 55' · 0.03 xGGift Orban 74' · 0.03 xGDavide Bartesaghi 24' · 0.03 xGIoan Vermesan 69' · 0.03 xGIoan Vermesan 68' · 0.01 xGAndrias Edmundsson 10' · 0.01 xGAntoine Bernede 8' · 0.01 xGRafik Belghali 52' · 0.01 xGAl Musrati 91' · 0.01 xGAdrien Rabiot 40' · 0.55 xG · goal
Hellas Verona (attacking right)AC Milan (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Hellas Verona1300.71
AC Milan610.84

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AC Milan led on xG, 0.64 to 0.12. At full time, xG was level: Hellas Verona 0.71, AC Milan 0.84. The widest gap was 0.52 xG to AC Milan, in the 40th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.80.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AC Milan 40 min
Hellas Verona 0.71 xGAC Milan 0.84 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hellas Verona v AC Milan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hellas Verona v AC Milan was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Hellas Verona and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Hellas Verona won 0, AC Milan won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hellas Verona and AC Milan?
Recent form — Hellas Verona 1W 0D 4L; AC Milan 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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