Mantova v Hellas Verona prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Stadio Danilo Martelli

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 18:47 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Mantova v Hellas Verona, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.47 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Mantova host Hellas Verona in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Mantova or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Hellas Verona have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Hellas Verona are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Mantova have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.50. Mantova have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Mantova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Hellas Verona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Hellas Verona’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Hellas Verona have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.50. Hellas Verona have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Hellas Verona have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Mantova (fourth) and Hellas Verona (seventh) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hellas Verona the stronger side, 36 rating points above Mantova (Hellas Verona 1598, Mantova 1562, after at least 46 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Mantova XI (3-4-2-1): F. Bardi, A. Castellini, B. Tomašević, S. Cella, F. Benaissa-Yahia, S. Trimboli, R. Kouda, F. Ruocco, L. Ignacchiti, R. Ilie, E. Gliozzi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Ruocco (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals) and R. Ilie (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Mantova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Mantova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Ruocco averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 870 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. R. Ilie averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 755 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hellas Verona XI (3-5-2): S. Perilli, G. Zappa, A. Edmundsson, T. Slotsager, E. Iannoni, A. Le Borgne, A. Bernede, D. Livramento, A. Harroui, D. Mosquera, A. Sarr — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Mosquera (7.5 per match over six appearances, seven goals) and D. Bradarić (4.7 per match over six appearances, three assists) have been Hellas Verona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hellas Verona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Mosquera averages 4.7 shots per 90 over 385 minutes, with a shot in five of the last six appearances. D. Bradarić averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 447 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Danilo Martelli
Referee: Guiseppe Collu
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Mantova 2W 1D 2L · Hellas Verona 2W 2D 1L

Mantova v Hellas Verona (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.5 / 6.5

Corners

against 4.38 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Mantova for / against	Line	Hellas Verona for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.88 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Bardi	12	901080 min	322.7 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90

Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 8	90	2.9 7/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Cella	12	901080 min	181.5 /90	121 /90	50.4 /90	514.3 /90	201.7 /90	30.3 /90
A. Castellini	12	891066 min	201.7 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90	463.9 /90	171.4 /90	30.3 /90
Bodin Tomašević	11	81886 min	191.9 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	545.5 /90	161.6 /90	30.3 /90
T. Del Lungo	3	60179 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
A. Meroni	2	3978 min	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Cella n 8	90	1.9 7/4	0.5 3/1	—
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.1 4/2	0.9 6/1	—
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	1.3 5/1	0.4 3/0	—
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	1.5 6/3	1.8 6/5	—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 8	90	1.5 7/4
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.8 8/5
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	1.9 6/4
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	0.3 2/0
R. Ilie n 8	60.8	2.4 6/3
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Ruocco	12	73870 min	70.7 /90	00 /90	242.5 /90	131.3 /90	111.1 /90	60.6 /90
R. Ilie	12	63755 min	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	161.9 /90	60.7 /90	232.7 /90	141.7 /90
E. Gliozzi	12	55661 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	192.6 /90	81.1 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90
D. Bragantini	9	46414 min	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	102.2 /90	51.1 /90	122.6 /90	51.1 /90
V. Vlahović	6	32189 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	83.8 /90	31.4 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	1.1 3/3	0.5 3/1
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	2.4 7/7	1.1 5/2
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
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Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona Goalkeeper

Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Perilli	6	90540 min	183 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
N. Leali	5	90450 min	91.8 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90

Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Perilli n 8	90	3.1 8/6
N. Leali n 5	90	1.8 2/2

Hellas Verona Defensive

Hellas Verona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Edmundsson	10	88877 min	191.9 /90	151.5 /90	20.2 /90	474.8 /90	101 /90	40.4 /90
G. Zappa	10	82820 min	101.1 /90	60.7 /90	30.3 /90	232.5 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
P. Dawidowicz	5	70350 min	41 /90	41 /90	00 /90	123.1 /90	133.3 /90	00 /90
T. Slotsager	5	69346 min	30.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90	225.7 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
D. De Battisti	5	61304 min	72.1 /90	51.5 /90	30.9 /90	175 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90
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Hellas Verona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Sarr n 8	69.5	1.9 7/3	0.5 2/1	—
D. Livramento n 8	56.4	2 5/4	0.2 1/0	—
A. Edmundsson n 8	87.1	1.3 5/4	0.3 2/0	—
G. Zappa n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.6 4/1	—
A. Le Borgne n 8	75.5	1.2 6/2	0.4 3/0	—
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Hellas Verona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Sarr n 8	69.5	0.2 1/0
D. Livramento n 8	56.4	0.6 3/0
A. Edmundsson n 8	87.1	1.9 6/5
G. Zappa n 8	90	1.3 6/3
A. Le Borgne n 8	75.5	2.4 8/4
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Hellas Verona Attacking

Hellas Verona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Livramento	11	54595 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	152.3 /90	30.5 /90	81.2 /90	71.1 /90
S. Mulattieri	7	75522 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	111.9 /90	61 /90	40.7 /90	50.9 /90
D. Mosquera	6	64385 min	71.6 /90	00 /90	204.7 /90	102.3 /90	30.7 /90	174 /90
K. Sezonienko	4	62246 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
M. Compagnon	3	76228 min	00 /90	00 /90	52 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90
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Hellas Verona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Sarr n 8	69.5	2.8 7/4	1.5 6/2
D. Livramento n 8	56.4	2.2 6/5	0.4 2/0
A. Edmundsson n 8	87.1	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
G. Zappa n 8	90	1 7/1	0.3 2/0
A. Le Borgne n 8	75.5	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Hellas Verona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Sarr n 8	69.5	0.3 2/0	0.6 4/0
D. Livramento n 8	56.4	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
A. Edmundsson n 8	87.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Zappa n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Le Borgne n 8	75.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mantova v Hellas Verona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MantovaWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Hellas VeronaLDDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Mantova#4 pos18 pts10 pl+4 GD

Hellas Verona#7 pos15 pts10 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Mantova scored1.5

Hellas Verona scored1.9

Mantova conceded1.1

Hellas Verona conceded1.3

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Mantova v Hellas Verona?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Mantova v Hellas Verona is Home or Draw (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Mantova and Hellas Verona?: Recent form — Mantova 2W 1D 2L; Hellas Verona 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 18:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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