InterCagliari

Inter v Cagliari result

Full-time · Inter 3–0 Cagliari

Serie A · · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Inter · Cagliari · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter 3–0 Cagliari — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,934 of 2,587 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 2.39 to 0.48 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 15th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Inter have scored 89 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games).

Inter beat Cagliari 3–0 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Friday 17 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Inter: M. Thuram (52’, assisted by Federico Dimarco), Nicolò Barella (56’) and Piotr Zieliński (90’, assisted by Denzel Dumfries).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Thuram’s goal on 52 minutes.

Discipline

M. Marchetti showed two yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: Sebastiano Esposito (23’) and Gennaro Borrelli (25’).

What it changes

Inter stay first after this result (33 league matches played). Inter have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games).

Cagliari move down from 15th to 16th (33 league matches played). Cagliari have scored 40 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Cagliari have conceded 53 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Inter’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 33, across 10 matches. Inter are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Inter have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicolò Barella (Inter) 6.4, Federico Dimarco (Inter) 6.3 and Stefan de Vrij (Inter) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Inter are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Cagliari, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter or Cagliari (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Cagliari next host Frosinone on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Cagliari: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Inter 3–0 Cagliari · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: M. Marchetti
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 5 · draws 1 · Cagliari 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 2W 2D 1L · Cagliari 1W 0D 4L

Inter 3–0 Cagliari (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 3.88
Corners
against 2.63 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.29 yellows
Referee · M. Marchetti
22.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameInter for / againstLineCagliari for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 2.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 15.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Marchetti — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Sommer44903960 min962.2 /90441 /9000 /90
Josep Martínez590450 min81.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Sommer n 890
2.55/4
Josep Martínez n 890
1.53/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bastoni39813167 min712 /90330.9 /90140.4 /901855.3 /90631.8 /90100.3 /90
M. Akanji38853238 min561.6 /90381.1 /90160.4 /901293.6 /90290.8 /9050.1 /90
Carlos Augusto30682040 min381.7 /90231 /9060.3 /901416.2 /90271.2 /9070.3 /90
Y. Bisseck29802319 min441.7 /90251 /9070.3 /901264.9 /90331.3 /9030.1 /90
F. Acerbi23841932 min180.8 /90422 /90180.8 /90974.5 /90241.1 /9050.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
—
F. Dimarco n 881.5
1.56/4
1.16/2
M. Palestra
N. Barella n 883
0.82/2
0.74/1
A. Obert
A. Bastoni n 871.8
2.48/4
0.63/1
—
M. Akanji n 881.3
0.85/1
0.62/1
—
See more players · Pro
Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 881.5
1.56/2
N. Barella n 883
2.68/6
A. Bastoni n 871.8
25/3
M. Akanji n 881.3
1.55/3
Lautaro Martínez n 867
1.56/2
See more players · Pro

Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Lautaro Martínez38742797 min220.7 /9040.1 /90943 /90501.6 /90441.4 /90260.8 /90
M. Thuram38642447 min130.5 /9070.3 /90722.6 /90331.2 /90411.5 /90281 /90
F. Esposito38542035 min100.4 /9060.3 /90642.8 /90301.3 /90291.3 /9060.3 /90
A. Bonny26441131 min60.5 /9060.5 /90181.4 /90110.9 /90241.9 /90221.8 /90
F. Dimarco43783338 min70.2 /90130.4 /90691.9 /90300.8 /901092.9 /9080.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Dimarco n 881.5
2.15/4
0.73/2
N. Barella n 883
0.75/0
0.32/0
A. Bastoni n 871.8
0.63/1
0.53/0
M. Akanji n 881.3
1.26/3
0.74/1
See more players · Pro
Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Dimarco n 881.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Barella n 883
0.11/0
0.43/0
A. Bastoni n 871.8
0.21/0
00/0
M. Akanji n 881.3
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile32902880 min1043.3 /90441.4 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 890
2.16/4

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Obert28802252 min512 /90371.5 /90160.6 /901014 /90371.5 /90100.4 /90
G. Zappa22631396 min261.7 /90151 /9010.1 /90483.1 /90140.9 /9020.1 /90
Y. Mina21811703 min271.4 /90201.1 /90170.9 /901125.9 /90241.3 /9050.3 /90
S. Luperto20901797 min150.8 /90201 /90100.5 /90502.5 /90231.2 /9030.2 /90
Zé Pedro18781401 min271.7 /90140.9 /90110.7 /90613.9 /90251.6 /9040.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Adopo n 878.3
1.35/3
1.35/4
—
E. Caprile n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Palestra n 890
16/2
3.68/7
F. Dimarco
S. Esposito n 882.8
0.74/1
1.27/2
—
A. Obert n 887.5
0.94/3
0.43/0
N. Barella
See more players · Pro
Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Adopo n 878.3
1.66/4
M. Palestra n 890
0.84/2
S. Esposito n 882.8
1.58/2
A. Obert n 887.5
1.56/4
G. Gaetano n 884.5
1.68/4
See more players · Pro

Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Esposito30742219 min60.2 /9050.2 /90331.3 /90120.5 /90562.3 /90140.6 /90
G. Borrelli23511179 min40.3 /9010.1 /90161.2 /9080.6 /90110.8 /9070.5 /90
S. Kılıçsoy1855985 min40.4 /9000 /90111 /9080.7 /90100.9 /90151.4 /90
M. Felici1140441 min20.4 /9020.4 /9091.8 /9071.4 /90132.7 /9091.8 /90
Zito Luvumbo1032316 min00 /9000 /90102.8 /9051.4 /9030.9 /9030.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Adopo n 878.3
0.74/1
0.42/1
E. Caprile n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Palestra n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
S. Esposito n 882.8
1.46/3
0.54/0
A. Obert n 887.5
0.84/1
0.31/1
See more players · Pro
Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Adopo n 878.3
00/0
00/0
E. Caprile n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Palestra n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Esposito n 882.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Obert n 887.5
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InterCagliari
55%Possession45%
2.23Expected goals (xG)0.41
18Shots10
5Shots on target1
8Shots off target4
5Blocked shots5
12Shots inside the box4
4Corners9
1Offsides2
17Fouls6
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves1
524Passes421
90%Pass accuracy84%

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Josep Martínez9000000006.9
M. Akanji9000001007.3
S. de Vrij9000000208.3
Carlos Augusto9000000006.6
D. Dumfries9001301006.3
F. Esposito9000213006.9
N. Barella8910212008.9
H. Çalhanoğlu8500201207.5
H. Mkhitaryan7600002106.9
F. Dimarco7601213307.6
M. Thuram7610110106.9
P. Zieliński sub1410110007.3
Luis Henrique sub1400000007.2
A. Bonny sub1400001006.9
D. Frattesi sub1000000206.9
Andy Diouf sub10000000–

Cagliari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000006.3
Y. Mina9000000206.3
J. Rodríguez9000000106.5
M. Palestra9000102107
M. Adopo9000100507.5
S. Esposito90001133Y6.6
Zé Pedro8700000106
I. Sulemana7600000106.3
A. Obert7600001307.3
G. Gaetano5700100106.9
G. Borrelli57000010Y6.5
A. Deiola sub3300000106.5
P. Mendy sub3300000006.3
G. Zappa sub1400000006.3
M. Folorunsho sub1400101006.7
A. Belotti sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CagliariLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 5 · 1 draw · Cagliari 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-09-27 Cagliari 0–2 Inter
  • 2025-04-12 Inter 3–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-12-28 Cagliari 0–3 Inter
  • 2024-04-14 Inter 2–2 Cagliari
  • 2023-08-28 Cagliari 0–2 Inter
  • 2022-05-15 Cagliari 1–3 Inter
League standing · 2025/26
Inter#1 pos87 pts38 pl+54 GD
Cagliari#14 pos43 pts38 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored2.34
Cagliari scored1.05
Inter conceded0.92
Cagliari conceded1.39

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Inter 2.39 xG from 18 shots, Cagliari 0.48 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Federico Dimarco 15' · 0.68 xGNdary Adopo 70' · 0.11 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 42' · 0.11 xGDenzel Dumfries 85' · 0.10 xGGianluca Gaetano 1' · 0.10 xGPaul Mendy 77' · 0.09 xGMarcus Thuram 55' · 0.09 xGDenzel Dumfries 49' · 0.07 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 18' · 0.06 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 73' · 0.06 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 31' · 0.05 xGHakan Calhanoglu 59' · 0.04 xGNicolò Barella 47' · 0.04 xGMarco Palestra 11' · 0.04 xGDenzel Dumfries 32' · 0.04 xGFederico Dimarco 12' · 0.04 xGSebastiano Esposito 72' · 0.03 xGNdary Adopo 93' · 0.03 xGSebastiano Esposito 2' · 0.03 xGHakan Calhanoglu 46' · 0.02 xGCarlos Augusto 32' · 0.02 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 39' · 0.02 xGGianluca Gaetano 8' · 0.02 xGAlessandro Deiola 90' · 0.02 xGMichael Folorunsho 90' · 0.01 xGMarcus Thuram 51' · 0.84 xG · goalNicolò Barella 55' · 0.08 xG · goalPiotr Zielinski 91' · 0.03 xG · goal
Inter (attacking right)Cagliari (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Inter1832.39
Cagliari1000.48

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Inter led on xG, 1.02 to 0.19. At full time, Inter led on xG, 2.39 to 0.48. The widest gap was 2.01 xG to Inter, in the 59th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.41.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Inter 51 minGoal - Inter 55 minGoal - Inter 91 min
Inter 2.39 xGCagliari 0.48 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter v Cagliari?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Cagliari was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Cagliari?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 5, Cagliari won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Cagliari?
Recent form — Inter 2W 2D 1L; Cagliari 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+