Inter v Udinese result

Full-time · Inter 1–2 Udinese

Serie A · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 19:45 BST · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Inter · Udinese · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter 1–2 Udinese — Udinese won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1559 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 1.75 to 1.20 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 12th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Udinese won 2–1 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Sunday 31 August.

The goals

Udinese led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Inter: Denzel Dumfries (17’, assisted by M. Thuram); Udinese: Keinan Davis (29’ pen) and Arthur Atta (40’, assisted by Keinan Davis).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Arthur Atta’s goal on 40 minutes.

Discipline

Matteo Marchetti, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Inter: Lautaro Martínez (88’); Udinese: Nicolò Bertola (38’), R. Sava (77’) and Oier Zarraga (90+3’).

What it changes

Inter move down from first to sixth (two league matches played).

Udinese move up from sixth to fifth (two league matches played).

Udinese are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Keinan Davis (Udinese) 10.8, Arthur Atta (Udinese) 7.3 and M. Thuram (Inter) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1174 of 1559).

Next up

Inter next host Shakhtar Donetsk on 21 October 2026.

Udinese next host AC Milan on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter: Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Udinese: Udinese v AC Milan, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Inter 1–2 Udinese · Serie A
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 6 · draws 0 · Udinese 0 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Inter 3W 1D 1L · Udinese 1W 1D 3L

Inter 1–2 Udinese (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.5

Corners

against 2.75 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Inter for / against	Line	Udinese for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.25 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy.

Inter

Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Sučić n 8	51.6	2.4 5/3	0.4 2/0	J. Karlström
F. Esposito n 8	82.6	2.2 7/5	3.3 7/7	—
S. Esposito n 8	48.1	1.9 5/3	3.5 7/5	—
V. Carboni n 8	41.6	1.9 6/1	1.9 4/2	—
M. Thuram n 8	79.4	1.8 6/2	1.8 6/4	—

Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Esposito n 8	82.6	2.6 8/5	1.2 7/2
Lautaro Martínez n 8	78.5	2.6 6/5	1 6/1
V. Carboni n 8	41.6	1.9 4/2	1.4 3/2
F. Dimarco n 8	61.8	1.8 5/3	0.5 2/1
M. Thuram n 8	79.4	1.7 6/3	0.7 4/1

Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Esposito n 8	82.6	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
Lautaro Martínez n 8	78.5	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
H. Çalhanoğlu n 8	65.5	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
A. Bastoni n 8	76.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
D. Dumfries n 8	74.5	0.2 1/0	0.3 1/1

Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
V. Carboni n 8	41.6	2.7 5/5
P. Sučić n 8	51.6	2.6 5/4
A. Bastoni n 8	76.6	2.1 6/4
M. Darmian n 8	76.3	2.1 6/5
H. Mkhitaryan n 8	71.9	1.9 6/2

Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Sommer n 8	90	2.4 7/3

Udinese

Udinese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Lucca n 8	78	3.2 7/5	2.6 7/5	—
M. Payero n 8	43.3	2.6 5/2	3.9 7/4	—
S. Lovrić n 8	56.9	2.4 7/2	0.8 4/0	—
J. Karlström n 8	90	2 8/5	0.9 5/2	P. Sučić
T. Kristensen n 8	78.4	2 7/4	0.3 2/0	—

Udinese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Pafundi n 8	15.4	4.4 5/1	0.7 1/0
K. Davis n 8	62.3	2.5 7/5	1.6 5/3
L. Lucca n 8	78	2.3 8/5	1.3 7/2
S. Lovrić n 8	56.9	1.8 7/1	0.8 3/1
M. Payero n 8	43.3	1.6 4/2	0.5 2/0

Udinese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Kristensen n 8	78.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Lucca n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Oier Zarraga n 8	44.6	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Rui Modesto n 8	43	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Iker Bravo n 8	34.9	0.3 1/0	0 0/0

Udinese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Bertola n 7	74.1	2.3 5/4
K. Ehizibue n 8	84.8	2.1 8/5
Rui Modesto n 8	43	2.1 5/2
O. Solet n 8	90	2 7/4
J. Zemura n 8	68.8	1.8 6/3

Udinese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Okoye n 8	90	3.2 5/4
R. Sava n 8	90	3.1 6/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Inter		Udinese
68%	Possession	32%
1.97	Expected goals (xG)	1.21
16	Shots	10
4	Shots on target	5
10	Shots off target	4
2	Blocked shots	1
13	Shots inside the box	4
13	Corners	2
2	Offsides	0
17	Fouls	5
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
497	Passes	245
86%	Pass accuracy	73%

Inter player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Y. Sommer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Y. Bisseck	90	0	0	2	1	0	3	0	6.7
A. Bastoni	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.3
D. Dumfries	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
M. Thuram	90	0	1	3	1	2	0	0	6.9
Lautaro Martínez	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	Y	6.3
F. Acerbi	83	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
N. Barella	83	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
F. Dimarco	83	0	0	3	0	4	0	0	6.9
H. Çalhanoğlu	68	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
P. Sučić	62	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
H. Mkhitaryan sub	28	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7
F. Esposito sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Carlos Augusto sub	13	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
P. Zieliński sub	13	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Bonny sub	13	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7

Udinese player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Sava	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
T. Kristensen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
O. Solet	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.9
J. Karlström	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
A. Atta	90	1	0	2	2	1	1	0	8.3
J. Zemura	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Ehizibue	80	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Piotrowski	70	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.3
K. Davis	70	1	1	3	2	2	0	0	7.9
V. Bayo	63	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	5.9
N. Bertola	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
S. Goglichidze sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
A. Buksa sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
J. Ekkelenkamp sub	20	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Oier Zarraga sub	20	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.7
Rui Modesto sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Inter v Udinese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

InterDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

UdineseLLLWD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Inter 6 · 0 draws · Udinese 0 · 3.5 goals/game

2025-03-30 Inter 2–1 Udinese
2024-12-19 Inter 2–0 Udinese
2024-09-28 Udinese 2–3 Inter
2024-04-08 Udinese 1–2 Inter
2023-12-09 Inter 4–0 Udinese
2023-02-18 Inter 3–1 Udinese

League standing · 2025/26

Inter#1 pos87 pts38 pl+54 GD

Udinese#10 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Inter scored2.34

Udinese scored1.18

Inter conceded0.92

Udinese conceded1.26

Shot map and expected goals

Inter 1.75 xG from 16 shots, Udinese 1.20 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Inter (attacking right)Udinese (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Inter	16	1	1.75
Udinese	10	2	1.20

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter v Udinese?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Udinese was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Udinese?: In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 6, Udinese won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Udinese?: Recent form — Inter 3W 1D 1L; Udinese 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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