This Matchweek

JuventusAtalanta

Juventus v Atalanta result

Full-time · Juventus 2–0 Atalanta

Serie A · · Allianz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Juventus · Atalanta · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Juventus 2–0 Atalanta — Juventus won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.17 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Juventus: 1.92 to 0.49 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 27th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Juventus beat Atalanta 2–0 at Allianz Stadium in Serie A on Sunday 20 September. Juventus have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Juventus led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Juventus: Francisco Conceição (28’, assisted by Z. Çelik) and Bremer (77’, assisted by Edon Zhegrova).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Francisco Conceição’s goal on 28 minutes.

Discipline

Luca Zufferli, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Juventus: Francisco Conceição (22’); Atalanta: Thomas Kristensen (17’) and Franck Kessie (43’).

What it changes

Juventus move up from eighth to sixth (five league matches played). Juventus have scored 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Juventus have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Atalanta move down from ninth to 11th (shared) (five league matches played). Atalanta have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Atalanta have conceded 20 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Atalanta have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bremer (Juventus) 5.7, J. Lucumí (Juventus) 4.4 and Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Juventus or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Juventus next travel to Fiorentina on 8 November 2026.

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Juventus: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Juventus 2–0 Atalanta · Serie A
  • Venue: Allianz Stadium · Turin
  • Referee: Luca Zufferli, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Juventus 2 · draws 2 · Atalanta 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Juventus 3W 1D 1L · Atalanta 3W 0D 2L

Juventus 2–0 Atalanta (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.25 / 2.88
Corners
against 2.38 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 0.88
Cards
against 2.13 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameJuventus for / againstLineAtalanta for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
17.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: Luca Zufferli, Italy.

Juventus

Juventus Goalkeeper

Juventus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario490359 min82 /9041 /9000 /90
K. Grabara19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Juventus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 489.8
23/2

Juventus Defensive

Juventus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pierre Kalulu590450 min112.2 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90173.4 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik585427 min122.5 /9071.5 /9000 /90204.2 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
Bremer578390 min61.4 /9081.8 /9010.2 /90214.8 /9061.4 /9000 /90
J. Lucumí475300 min41.2 /9020.6 /9000 /9082.4 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
L. Kelly350150 min00 /9000 /9000 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.54/0
0.63/2
G. Scalvini
Z. Çelik n 585.4
0.83/1
0.42/0
L. Samardžić
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
2.56/3
1.86/4
Éderson
Bremer n 882.5
1.26/3
0.32/0
G. Scalvini
R. Kolo Muani n 876.6
1.97/2
1.56/3
—
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Juventus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
2.37/6
Z. Çelik n 585.4
2.54/4
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
26/5
Bremer n 882.5
1.56/4
R. Kolo Muani n 876.6
0.43/0
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Juventus Attacking

Juventus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kolo Muani576379 min10.2 /9020.5 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90
J. Boga335104 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.7 /9032.6 /90
N. Woltemade257113 min10.8 /9000 /9054 /9032.4 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Zhegrova22651 min23.5 /9000 /9035.3 /9023.5 /9058.8 /9035.3 /90
Jonathan David15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Z. Çelik n 585.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
1.85/3
0.52/1
Bremer n 882.5
1.45/3
0.32/0
R. Kolo Muani n 876.6
1.86/4
0.94/1
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Juventus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
00/0
00/0
Z. Çelik n 585.4
0.21/0
00/0
Douglas Luiz n 868.9
00/0
00/0
Bremer n 882.5
0.11/0
00/0
R. Kolo Muani n 876.6
0.42/1
0.43/0
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Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi690540 min294.8 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
5.18/8

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Kossounou690540 min71.2 /9050.8 /9040.7 /90111.8 /9010.2 /9000 /90
G. Scalvini679476 min81.5 /9030.6 /9040.8 /90214 /9071.3 /9000 /90
S. Kolašinac562309 min41.2 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9072 /9030.9 /9000 /90
R. Bellanova490360 min51.3 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90102.5 /9041 /9010.3 /90
L. Bernasconi451202 min41.8 /9010.4 /9000 /9041.8 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Kossounou n 871.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
—
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Éderson n 885.9
0.85/1
28/5
Douglas Luiz
G. Scalvini n 879.1
1.36/3
0.63/1
Bremer
L. Samardžić n 853.4
0.42/0
1.14/1
Z. Çelik
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Kossounou n 871.5
1.36/2
Éderson n 885.9
1.35/3
G. Scalvini n 879.1
2.16/5
L. Samardžić n 853.4
2.15/4
Gianluca Scamacca n 858.8
0.62/1
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gianluca Scamacca654323 min20.6 /9000 /9082.2 /9061.7 /9051.4 /9000 /90
N. Krstović636217 min10.4 /9000 /9093.7 /9041.7 /9041.7 /9010.4 /90
C. De Ketelaere559295 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9082.4 /9061.8 /90
N. Zalewski556281 min00 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90
G. Raspadori472288 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Kossounou n 871.5
0.32/0
00/0
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 885.9
0.74/1
0.53/1
G. Scalvini n 879.1
0.11/0
00/0
L. Samardžić n 853.4
2.37/3
1.34/2
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Kossounou n 871.5
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 885.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Scalvini n 879.1
00/0
00/0
L. Samardžić n 853.4
0.42/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
JuventusAtalanta
52%Possession48%
1.31Expected goals (xG)0.60
14Shots11
5Shots on target2
4Shots off target6
5Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box7
4Corners5
4Offsides0
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
521Passes475
88%Pass accuracy91%

Juventus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guglielmo Vicario9000000007
Bremer9010110108.3
J. Lucumí9000000107.2
Z. Çelik9001002007
Douglas Luiz9000001107.3
Pierre Kalulu9000001006.9
R. Kolo Muani8900210107.6
W. McKennie8600111106.9
N. González7100102307.5
Francisco Conceição71101100Y7.6
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović4500100006.7
P. Sarr sub4500210207.2
T. Koopmeiners sub1900000006.6
E. Zhegrova sub1901003107.5
N. Woltemade sub800001006.9
L. Kelly sub10000000–

Atalanta Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Carnesecchi9000000006.7
R. Bellanova9000001006.3
T. Kristensen90002100Y6.7
G. Scalvini9000000007.2
L. Bernasconi9000001206.5
Éderson9000100106.5
C. De Ketelaere9000003107.7
J. Rowe8400310006.9
F. Kessie72000001Y6.7
N. Krstović7200000006.3
L. Samardžić6300203106.7
G. Raspadori sub2700001106.6
G. Gaetano sub1800000106.5
Gianluca Scamacca sub1800000006.2
E. Elmas sub1000001006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Juventus v Atalanta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
JuventusWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
AtalantaWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Juventus 2 · 2 draws · Atalanta 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Atalanta 0–1 Juventus
  • 2026-02-05 Atalanta 3–0 Juventus
  • 2025-09-27 Juventus 1–1 Atalanta
  • 2025-03-09 Juventus 0–4 Atalanta
  • 2025-01-14 Atalanta 1–1 Juventus
  • 2024-05-15 Atalanta 0–1 Juventus
League standing · 2026/27
Juventus#7 pos17 pts10 pl+3 GD
Atalanta#13 pos11 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Juventus scored1.3
Atalanta scored1.6
Juventus conceded1
Atalanta conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Juventus 1.92 xG from 14 shots, Atalanta 0.49 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Randal Kolo Muani 87' · 0.37 xGNicolás González 46' · 0.20 xGThomas Thiesson Kristensen 61' · 0.13 xGRandal Kolo Muani 47' · 0.13 xGEdon Zhegrova 80' · 0.12 xGJonathan Rowe 20' · 0.11 xGWeston McKennie 57' · 0.11 xGFrancisco Conceição 54' · 0.11 xGJonathan Rowe 44' · 0.05 xGLazar Samardzic 9' · 0.05 xGCharles De Ketelaere 6' · 0.05 xGPape Sarr 57' · 0.04 xGJonathan Rowe 49' · 0.04 xGPape Sarr 74' · 0.03 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 14' · 0.03 xGMehmet Zeki Çelik 65' · 0.02 xGLazar Samardzic 35' · 0.02 xGThomas Thiesson Kristensen 92' · 0.02 xGTeun Koopmeiners 88' · 0.02 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 4' · 0.01 xGLazar Samardzic 52' · 0.01 xGÉderson 78' · 0.01 xGNikola Krstovic 45' · 0.01 xGBremer 76' · 0.44 xG · goalFrancisco Conceição 27' · 0.30 xG · goal
Juventus (attacking right)Atalanta (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Juventus1421.92
Atalanta1100.49

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Juventus 0.34, Atalanta 0.29. At full time, Juventus led on xG, 1.92 to 0.49. The widest gap was 1.45 xG to Juventus, in the 88th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.91.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Juventus 27 minGoal - Juventus 76 min
Juventus 1.92 xGAtalanta 0.49 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Juventus v Atalanta?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Juventus v Atalanta was Home or Draw (best price 1.17 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Juventus and Atalanta?
In their last 6 meetings, Juventus won 2, Atalanta won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Juventus and Atalanta?
Recent form — Juventus 3W 1D 1L; Atalanta 3W 0D 2L.

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