This Matchweek

LazioGenoa

Lazio v Genoa result

Full-time · Lazio 1–0 Genoa

Serie A · · Stadio Olimpico

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lazio · Genoa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lazio 1–0 Genoa — Lazio won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.55 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lazio: 2.12 to 0.74 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lazio beat Genoa 1–0 at Stadio Olimpico in Serie A on Sunday 30 August. Lazio are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Genoa, every meeting checked.

The goals

Lazio led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lazio: Davide Frattesi (25’, assisted by Nuno Tavares).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Davide Frattesi’s goal on 25 minutes.

Discipline

Ermanno Feliciani, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lazio: Mattia Zaccagni (90+5’); Genoa: Leo Østigård (14’) and Alexsandro Amorim (90+5’).

What it changes

Lazio move up from sixth to fourth (two league matches played).

Genoa move up from 19th to 16th (shared) (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Morten Frendrup (Genoa) 7.5, Davide Frattesi (Lazio) 7.0 and Nuno Tavares (Lazio) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Lazio next travel to Napoli on 8 November 2026.

Genoa next host AC Milan on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lazio: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Genoa: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lazio 1–0 Genoa · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico · Rome
  • Referee: Ermanno Feliciani, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lazio 6 · draws 0 · Genoa 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lazio 2W 0D 3L · Genoa 1W 1D 3L

Lazio 1–0 Genoa (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.38
Corners
against 4 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 1
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.83 yellows
Referee · Ermanno Feliciani, Italy
22.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLazio for / againstLineGenoa for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2our book
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Ermanno Feliciani, Italy — 2.83 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Mandas290180 min84 /9021 /9000 /90
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Mandas n 890
2.46/3

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Doekhi290180 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90105 /9042 /9000 /90
O. Provstgaard290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /90
Pedraza271142 min00 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9000 /90
A. Marušić255109 min10.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9054.1 /9021.7 /9000 /90
R. Floriani Mussolini17171 min11.3 /9000 /9011.3 /9022.5 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Provstgaard n 869.8
1.66/2
0.52/1
A. Marcandalli
M. Zaccagni n 872.5
1.16/1
2.38/5
Vítinha
Kenneth Taylor n 877.1
0.74/1
0.95/1
M. Frendrup
C. Mandas n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
N. Rovella n 858.5
1.55/3
1.76/2
B. Norton-Cuffy
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Zaccagni n 872.5
1.66/4
Kenneth Taylor n 877.1
0.64/0
O. Provstgaard n 869.8
0.62/1
N. Rovella n 858.5
2.16/4
B. Dia n 845.1
0.21/0
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Zaccagni290180 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9042 /90
B. Dia275150 min00 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9042.4 /9010.6 /90
M. Cancellieri262124 min00 /9000 /9064.4 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
G. Isaksen14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Ratkov11919 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.7 /9000 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Zaccagni n 872.5
1.25/3
0.84/1
Kenneth Taylor n 877.1
0.73/1
0.11/0
O. Provstgaard n 869.8
0.63/1
0.21/0
C. Mandas n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Rovella n 858.5
0.42/0
00/0
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kenneth Taylor n 877.1
00/0
0.11/0
C. Mandas n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Zaccagni n 872.5
00/0
00/0
O. Provstgaard n 869.8
00/0
00/0
N. Rovella n 858.5
00/0
00/0
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Genoa

Genoa Goalkeeper

Genoa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bijlow290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bijlow n 884.4
2.95/4

Genoa Defensive

Genoa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marcandalli290180 min52.5 /9000 /9021 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Vásquez289177 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
L. Østigård256111 min21.6 /9043.2 /9010.8 /9064.9 /9032.4 /9021.6 /90
S. Otoa23569 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.6 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Norton-Cuffy290180 min21 /9000 /9031.5 /9052.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Frendrup n 890
1.17/2
0.84/2
Kenneth Taylor
Vítinha n 887.6
0.95/2
1.98/3
M. Zaccagni
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
0.54/0
0.32/0
O. Provstgaard
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
0.52/1
0.83/2
N. Rovella
J. Bijlow n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
—
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Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Frendrup n 890
2.48/5
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
2.48/6
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
1.87/2
Vítinha n 887.6
1.77/5
J. Vásquez n 889.6
2.38/4
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Genoa Attacking

Genoa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vítinha290180 min00 /9000 /9063 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
T. Baldanzi272144 min10.6 /9000 /9042.5 /9021.3 /9031.9 /9010.6 /90
L. Colombo270140 min10.6 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
E. Havel12424 min13.8 /9000 /9027.5 /9013.8 /9000 /9027.5 /90
Junior Messias12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9027.5 /90
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Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vítinha n 887.6
1.87/5
0.85/1
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
15/1
0.64/0
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Frendrup n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bijlow n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Norton-Cuffy n 870.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Frendrup n 890
00/0
0.11/0
A. Marcandalli n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
Vítinha n 887.6
00/0
00/0
J. Bijlow n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LazioGenoa
46%Possession54%
1.62Expected goals (xG)0.42
15Shots8
2Shots on target1
8Shots off target4
5Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box5
4Corners2
0Offsides2
18Fouls6
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves1
488Passes565
86%Pass accuracy86%

Lazio Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Mandas9000000007.3
D. Doekhi9000200207
O. Provstgaard9000000207.3
D. Frattesi9010112207.5
Kenneth Taylor9000002106.9
M. Zaccagni90001041Y7.3
R. Floriani Mussolini8000000206.9
B. Dia8000000006.7
Nuno Tavares6301412007.3
M. Cancellieri6300100107.2
N. Rovella3700001106.9
R. Belahyane sub5300001206.9
Pedraza sub2700001006.7
G. Isaksen sub2700001006.2
M. Lazzari sub1000000006.3
A. Pinamonti sub1000100006.2

Genoa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bijlow9000000106.7
A. Marcandalli9000000206.3
L. Østigård90000001Y7
B. Norton-Cuffy9000103006.7
M. Frendrup9000112306.7
M. Ellertsson9000001206.3
L. Colombo9000100005.9
J. Vásquez7800000107
T. Baldanzi7800000206.6
Vítinha6300000106.9
D. Sow5800000107.2
Junior Messias sub3200001307.7
M. Osmajić sub2700101006.9
Franz-Ethan Meichtry sub1200100006.6
Alexsandro Amorim sub12000000Y6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lazio v Genoa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LazioLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
GenoaDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lazio 6 · 0 draws · Genoa 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-30 Lazio 3–2 Genoa
  • 2025-09-29 Genoa 0–3 Lazio
  • 2025-04-23 Genoa 0–2 Lazio
  • 2024-10-27 Lazio 3–0 Genoa
  • 2024-04-19 Genoa 0–1 Lazio
  • 2023-12-05 Lazio 1–0 Genoa
League standing · 2026/27
Lazio#1 pos28 pts10 pl+16 GD
Genoa#11 pos13 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Lazio scored2.4
Genoa scored1
Lazio conceded0.8
Genoa conceded1.4

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lazio 2.12 xG from 15 shots, Genoa 0.74 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Danilho Doekhi 10' · 0.52 xGDanilho Doekhi 74' · 0.42 xGEthan Meichtry 78' · 0.42 xGNuno Tavares 44' · 0.30 xGAndrea Pinamonti 87' · 0.11 xGDavide Frattesi 75' · 0.08 xGNuno Tavares 49' · 0.07 xGLorenzo Colombo 18' · 0.07 xGJunior Messias 85' · 0.06 xGMatteo Cancellieri 60' · 0.06 xGMattia Zaccagni 75' · 0.06 xGVitinha 53' · 0.06 xGMorten Frendrup 92' · 0.04 xGBrooke Norton-Cuffy 83' · 0.04 xGLorenzo Colombo 79' · 0.03 xGMilutin Osmajic 92' · 0.03 xGMattia Zaccagni 67' · 0.02 xGNuno Tavares 12' · 0.02 xGGustav Isaksen 74' · 0.02 xGMattia Zaccagni 57' · 0.02 xGNuno Tavares 13' · 0.02 xGNuno Tavares 32' · 0.02 xGDavide Frattesi 24' · 0.38 xG · goal
Lazio (attacking right)Genoa (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lazio1512.12
Genoa800.74

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lazio led on xG, 1.26 to 0.07. At full time, Lazio led on xG, 2.12 to 0.74. The widest gap was 1.90 xG to Lazio, in the 75th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lazio 24 min
Lazio 2.12 xGGenoa 0.74 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lazio v Genoa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lazio v Genoa was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Genoa?
In their last 6 meetings, Lazio won 6, Genoa won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lazio and Genoa?
Recent form — Lazio 2W 0D 3L; Genoa 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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