LecceMonza

Lecce v Monza result

Full-time · Lecce 3–2 Monza

Serie A · · Via del Mare

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lecce 3–2 Monza — Lecce won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monza: 3.25 to 1.95 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 16th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lecce beat Monza 3–2 at Via del Mare in Serie A on Sunday 13 September.

The goals

Lecce led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Lecce: Lassana Coulibaly (3’, assisted by Ivan Ilić; 21’, assisted by Danilo Veiga) and Tiago Gabriel (10’, assisted by Ivan Ilić); Monza: Ricardo Mangas (20’, assisted by Samuele Birindelli) and E. Zeballos (89’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lassana Coulibaly’s goal on 3 minutes.

Discipline

Valerio Crezzini, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lecce: Konan N’Dri (38’) and Danilo Veiga (90’).

What it changes

Lecce move up from 14th to 10th (four league matches played).

Monza move down from 16th to 18th (four league matches played).

Monza have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lassana Coulibaly (Lecce) 11.7, Ivan Ilić (Lecce) 7.9 and Tiago Gabriel (Lecce) 7.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lecce are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Monza, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lecce or Monza (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Lecce next travel to Lazio on 22 November 2026.

Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lecce: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lecce 3–2 Monza · Serie A
  • Venue: Via del Mare · Lecce
  • Referee: Valerio Crezzini, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 2 · draws 4 · Monza 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 2W 0D 3L · Monza 2W 1D 2L

Lecce 3–2 Monza (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.5 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · Valerio Crezzini, Italy
22.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineMonza for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Valerio Crezzini, Italy — 3 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone490360 min215.3 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
4.67/7

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Danilo Veiga490360 min71.8 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90143.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
Kialonda Gaspar484336 min154 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90256.7 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
Tiago Gabriel460241 min41.5 /9051.9 /9010.4 /90176.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
A. Gallo375225 min10.4 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9000 /90
J. Siebert368204 min41.8 /9052.2 /9010.4 /90104.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
0.95/1
1.26/3
A. Carboni
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
—
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
1.36/4
26/5
Ricardo Mangas
Kialonda Gaspar n 878.9
1.15/2
1.76/4
—
S. Pierotti n 881.9
1.66/3
0.43/0
—
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
2.18/6
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
15/3
Kialonda Gaspar n 878.9
2.77/5
S. Pierotti n 881.9
1.87/4
O. Ngom n 871
2.16/4
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. N’Dri458233 min00 /9000 /9051.9 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9041.5 /90
N. Štulić447187 min00 /9000 /9062.9 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /90
W. Geubbels371212 min00 /9000 /9083.4 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9000 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah23263 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /9068.6 /90
Hjalte Laerke11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9015.6 /9015.6 /9000 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
0.85/1
0.32/0
Kialonda Gaspar n 878.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Pierotti n 881.9
0.85/1
0.43/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
00/0
0.11/0
Kialonda Gaspar n 878.9
00/0
00/0
S. Pierotti n 881.9
00/0
0.32/0
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Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Thiam490360 min51.3 /9041 /9000 /90
S. Pizzignacco19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Thiam n 891.1
1.74/1
S. Pizzignacco n 880.8
3.16/4

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Kouadio588441 min122.4 /90142.9 /9020.4 /90142.9 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
A. Carboni488351 min20.5 /9041 /9020.5 /90123.1 /9061.5 /9000 /90
L. Lucchesi482329 min30.8 /90164.4 /9051.4 /90174.7 /9082.2 /9020.5 /90
F. Delli Carri260119 min43 /9021.5 /9000 /90129.1 /9021.5 /9000 /90
Y. Maye17676 min33.6 /9000 /9000 /901011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
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Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Kouadio n 588.2
0.62/1
00/0
—
Ricardo Mangas n 586
1.34/2
1.55/2
L. Coulibaly
A. Colpani n 848.5
0.21/0
2.16/3
—
D. Thiam n 891.1
00/0
0.22/0
—
A. Carboni n 886.4
1.37/3
0.32/0
Danilo Veiga
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Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 588.2
2.44/3
Ricardo Mangas n 586
1.53/3
A. Colpani n 848.5
0.21/0
A. Carboni n 886.4
14/3
S. Birindelli n 889.3
16/2
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Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Cutrone455220 min00 /9020.8 /9083.3 /9031.2 /9083.3 /9020.8 /90
O. Forson454214 min10.4 /9000 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9083.4 /9031.3 /90
Gustavo Varela385254 min41.4 /9000 /9082.8 /9041.4 /9000 /9031.1 /90
Jay Robinson279157 min10.6 /9000 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9021.1 /9052.9 /90
Dany Mota266132 min10.7 /9000 /9064.1 /9021.4 /9032 /9010.7 /90
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Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 588.2
0.42/0
0.21/0
Ricardo Mangas n 586
1.33/1
0.62/1
A. Colpani n 848.5
2.16/3
1.25/0
D. Thiam n 891.1
00/0
00/0
A. Carboni n 886.4
0.95/2
0.43/0
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Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 588.2
00/0
00/0
Ricardo Mangas n 586
00/0
0.42/0
A. Colpani n 848.5
0.21/0
00/0
D. Thiam n 891.1
00/0
00/0
A. Carboni n 886.4
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LecceMonza
39%Possession61%
1.08Expected goals (xG)2.79
7Shots19
3Shots on target11
3Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box14
4Corners6
0Offsides4
14Fouls13
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
8Saves0
321Passes493
73%Pass accuracy83%

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000007.9
Danilo Veiga90010015Y7.7
J. Siebert9000000206.3
Tiago Gabriel9010110307.9
A. Gallo9000000307.3
L. Coulibaly9020320408.9
Y. Maleh8500100106.3
N. Štulić7400000006.2
Joël Monteiro7400000306.9
I. Ilić6602002107.7
K. N’Dri45000003Y6
S. Pierotti sub4500000306.3
O. Ngom sub2400000107
A. Ahmed Fatah sub1600100006.3
Paco Esteban sub1600000206.9
M. Kaba sub1000000006.5

Monza Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Thiam9000000005.7
E. Kouadio9000000706.3
L. Lucchesi9000110306.7
A. Carboni9000110207
S. Birindelli9001113107.2
M. Folorunsho9000002307.3
E. Akinsanmiro8400002106.2
Gustavo Varela7500213006.9
A. Colpani6400321006.3
Jay Robinson6400320206.6
Ricardo Mangas4510111107.3
A. Bakoune sub4500100006.7
E. Zeballos sub2610110107.2
P. Cutrone sub2600210106.2
O. Forson sub1500001006.7
M. Mout sub1100000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
MonzaWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 2 · 4 draws · Monza 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-16 Monza 0–0 Lecce
  • 2024-12-15 Lecce 2–1 Monza
  • 2024-04-27 Lecce 1–1 Monza
  • 2023-09-17 Monza 1–1 Lecce
  • 2023-05-28 Monza 0–1 Lecce
  • 2022-09-11 Lecce 1–1 Monza
League standing · 2026/27
Lecce#14 pos10 pts11 pl-10 GD
Monza#18 pos7 pts10 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored1.09
Monza scored1.7
Lecce conceded2
Monza conceded2.4

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lecce 1.95 xG from 7 shots, Monza 3.25 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lassana Coulibaly 20' · 0.60 xGLorenzo Lucchesi 8' · 0.46 xGAndrea Colpani 16' · 0.46 xGJay Robinson 16' · 0.41 xGGustavo Varela 16' · 0.40 xGGustavo Varela 30' · 0.30 xGAndrea Colpani 24' · 0.10 xGYoussef Maleh 52' · 0.09 xGJay Robinson 32' · 0.09 xGYoussef Maleh 47' · 0.07 xGAndrea Colpani 34' · 0.05 xGAdam Bakoune 66' · 0.05 xGPatrick Cutrone 86' · 0.05 xGJay Robinson 56' · 0.04 xGAmar Ahmed Fatah 79' · 0.03 xGPatrick Cutrone 78' · 0.03 xGSamuele Birindelli 62' · 0.03 xGAndrea Carboni 92' · 0.02 xGMathis Mout 93' · 0.01 xGMichael Folorunsho 38' · 0.01 xGExequiel Zeballos 91' · 0.01 xGRicardo Mangas 19' · 0.68 xG · goalLassana Coulibaly 20' · 0.57 xG · goalTiago Gabriel 10' · 0.40 xG · goalLassana Coulibaly 2' · 0.18 xG · goalExequiel Zeballos 88' · 0.05 xG · goal
Lecce (attacking right)Monza (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lecce731.95
Monza1923.25

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monza led on xG, 2.98 to 1.75. At full time, Monza led on xG, 3.25 to 1.95. The widest gap was 1.84 xG to Monza, in the 19th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.31.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lecce 2 minGoal - Lecce 10 minGoal - Monza 19 minGoal - Lecce 20 minGoal - Monza 88 min
Lecce 1.95 xGMonza 3.25 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lecce v Monza?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Monza was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Monza?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 2, Monza won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Monza?
Recent form — Lecce 2W 0D 3L; Monza 2W 1D 2L.

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