Monza v Sassuolo result

Full-time · Monza 2–1 Sassuolo

Serie A · Fri, 18 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Brianteo

Updated 2 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monza · Sassuolo

The model’s pre-match pick

Monza 2–1 Sassuolo — Monza won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.78 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sassuolo: 2.31 to 1.61 in expected goals, 0.76 of Monza’s from a penalty, from 20 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 23rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Monza beat Sassuolo 2–1 at Brianteo in Serie A on Friday 18 September. Monza have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Sassuolo have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Monza: Gustavo Varela (51’, assisted by Samuele Birindelli; 63’ pen); Sassuolo: Vasilije Adžić (88’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gustavo Varela’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

Daniele Perenzoni, Italy showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Monza: Eddy Kouadio (30’), Michael Folorunsho (74’), Samuele Birindelli (85’) and Gustavo Varela (90+2’); Sassuolo: Luca Lipani (85’).

What it changes

Monza move up from 18th to 14th (five league matches played). Monza have scored eight goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Monza have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Sassuolo stay ninth after this result (five league matches played). Sassuolo have scored nine goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Sassuolo have conceded nine goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gustavo Varela (Monza) 10.0, Vasilije Adžić (Sassuolo) 7.1 and Darryl Bakola (Sassuolo) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Monza are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sassuolo, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.

Sassuolo next travel to AS Roma on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sassuolo: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Monza 2–1 Sassuolo · Serie A
Venue: Brianteo · Monza
Referee: Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Monza 3 · draws 1 · Sassuolo 0 · 1.75 goals/game
Recent form: Monza 1W 1D 3L · Sassuolo 2W 2D 1L

Monza 2–1 Sassuolo (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.57

Corners

against 4.13 / 5.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.75 / 6

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 5.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.63 / 1.29

Cards

against 1.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Monza for / against	Line	Sassuolo for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.57 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.5 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.88 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.29 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.29 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Daniele Perenzoni, Italy.

Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Thiam	5	90450 min	51 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90
S. Pizzignacco	1	9090 min	11 /90	44 /90	00 /90

Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Thiam n 8	91.1	1.5 3/1
S. Pizzignacco n 8	80.8	3.1 6/4

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Kouadio	6	89531 min	193.2 /90	162.7 /90	20.3 /90	233.9 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
A. Carboni	5	88441 min	40.8 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90	204.1 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90
L. Lucchesi	5	84419 min	61.3 /90	204.3 /90	51.1 /90	245.2 /90	102.1 /90	20.4 /90
A. Bakoune	4	56225 min	72.8 /90	72.8 /90	20.8 /90	156 /90	83.2 /90	00 /90
F. Delli Carri	2	60119 min	43 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90	129.1 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Kouadio n 6	88.5	0.8 3/2	0 0/0	Josh Doig
Ricardo Mangas n 6	79.2	1.1 4/2	1.7 6/3	N. Matić
A. Colpani n 8	49.5	0.2 1/0	1.6 5/2	—
D. Thiam n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0.2 2/0	—
A. Carboni n 8	86.4	1.2 6/3	0.3 2/0	Josh Doig
See more players · Pro

Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 6	88.5	3.2 5/4
Ricardo Mangas n 6	79.2	1.5 4/3
A. Colpani n 8	49.5	0.2 1/0
A. Carboni n 8	86.4	1.2 4/4
S. Birindelli n 8	89.3	0.9 6/1
See more players · Pro

Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Colpani	6	49294 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	92.8 /90	61.8 /90	82.4 /90	30.9 /90
P. Cutrone	5	49246 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	103.7 /90	41.5 /90	82.9 /90	20.7 /90
O. Forson	5	46229 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	93.5 /90	31.2 /90
Gustavo Varela	4	82329 min	41.1 /90	00 /90	102.7 /90	51.4 /90	30.8 /90	41.1 /90
Jay Robinson	3	74221 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.4 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	52 /90
See more players · Pro

Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 6	88.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Ricardo Mangas n 6	79.2	1.3 4/1	0.8 3/1
A. Colpani n 8	49.5	2.5 6/4	1.6 6/1
D. Thiam n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Carboni n 8	86.4	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
See more players · Pro

Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 6	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ricardo Mangas n 6	79.2	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
A. Colpani n 8	49.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
D. Thiam n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Carboni n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Murić	5	90450 min	224.4 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Murić n 8	90	3.9 8/6

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Josh Doig	5	82411 min	92 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90	153.3 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
S. Cinquegrano	4	90360 min	41 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	102.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
F. Leysen	4	72286 min	61.9 /90	41.3 /90	41.3 /90	154.7 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
S. Cinquegrano	3	87262 min	31 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	93.1 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90
J. Idzes	3	87261 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	31 /90	62.1 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Laurienté n 8	86.8	0.9 6/1	1.3 4/3	—
A. Murić n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Josh Doig n 8	72.8	0.9 5/1	0.9 4/2	A. Carboni
N. Matić n 8	71.4	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0	Ricardo Mangas
Kieron Bowie n 5	67	1.6 4/2	1.9 4/1	—
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 8	86.8	0.9 5/1
Josh Doig n 8	72.8	1.5 5/3
N. Matić n 8	71.4	1.4 4/3
Kieron Bowie n 5	67	0.8 3/0
Vasilije Adžić n 5	55	1 3/0
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Laurienté	5	90450 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	142.8 /90	51 /90	112.2 /90	102 /90
Kieron Bowie	5	67335 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	92.4 /90	51.3 /90	61.6 /90	00 /90
C. Volpato	4	69276 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	51.6 /90	51.6 /90	134.2 /90	20.7 /90
B. Domínguez	4	2390 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	44 /90
D. Berardi	3	47141 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.8 /90	63.8 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 8	86.8	2.9 7/5	1.2 5/4
A. Murić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Josh Doig n 8	72.8	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
N. Matić n 8	71.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Kieron Bowie n 5	67	2.4 5/3	1.3 4/1
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Murić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Josh Doig n 8	72.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
N. Matić n 8	71.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Kieron Bowie n 5	67	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Monza		Sassuolo
35%	Possession	65%
1.51	Expected goals (xG)	1.47
15	Shots	20
6	Shots on target	8
6	Shots off target	7
3	Blocked shots	5
8	Shots inside the box	13
7	Corners	5
0	Offsides	1
13	Fouls	6
4	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
7	Saves	4
312	Passes	581
79%	Pass accuracy	88%

Monza Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Törnqvist	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
E. Kouadio	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	7.3
L. Lucchesi	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.9
A. Carboni	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.2
M. Folorunsho	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.6
Gustavo Varela	90	2	0	2	2	3	0	Y	8.3
S. Birindelli	89	0	1	2	1	2	2	Y	6.9
Jay Robinson	82	0	0	2	1	2	2	0	6.9
E. Akinsanmiro	56	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Ricardo Mangas	56	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
P. Cutrone	56	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
A. Bakoune sub	34	0	0	0	0	1	7	0	6.9
Manga Foe Ondoa sub	34	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.5
Dany Mota sub	34	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
M. Mout sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Y. Maye sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sassuolo Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Murić	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
S. Cinquegrano	90	0	2	1	1	2	0	6.5
F. Leysen	90	0	2	0	0	3	0	6.9
D. Ćaleta-Car	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
Josh Doig	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
A. Laurienté	90	0	1	1	2	0	0	7.9
D. Bakola	82	0	1	1	2	7	0	7.3
D. Berardi	72	0	2	1	2	1	0	6.3
S. Esposito	72	0	1	1	1	0	0	5.9
K. Thorstvedt	64	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.5
N. Matić	64	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.2
L. Lipani sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
Kieron Bowie sub	26	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.3
Vasilije Adžić sub	18	1	2	1	2	3	0	7.9
B. Domínguez sub	18	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
L. Skjellerup sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monza v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MonzaLLWDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

SassuoloLWDDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Monza 3 · 1 draw · Sassuolo 0 · 1.75 goals/game

2024-01-28 Monza 1–0 Sassuolo
2023-10-02 Sassuolo 0–1 Monza
2023-05-19 Sassuolo 1–2 Monza
2023-01-22 Monza 1–1 Sassuolo

League standing · 2026/27

Monza#18 pos7 pts10 pl-7 GD

Sassuolo#17 pos8 pts10 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Monza scored1.7

Sassuolo scored1.6

Monza conceded2.4

Sassuolo conceded2.6

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Monza 1.61 xG from 15 shots, Sassuolo 2.31 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Monza (attacking right)Sassuolo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Monza	15	2	1.61
Sassuolo	20	1	2.31

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Sassuolo led on xG, 1.37 to 0.55. At full time, Sassuolo led on xG, 2.31 to 1.61, 0.76 of Monza’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.82 xG to Sassuolo, in the 41st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Monza 1.61 xGSassuolo 2.31 xGdots = goals · 35 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monza v Sassuolo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v Sassuolo was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.78 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Sassuolo?: In their last 4 meetings, Monza won 3, Sassuolo won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monza and Sassuolo?: Recent form — Monza 1W 1D 3L; Sassuolo 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.