This Matchweek

MonzaUdinese

Monza v Udinese result

Full-time · Monza 2–3 Udinese

Serie A · · Brianteo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monza · Udinese · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Monza 2–3 Udinese — Udinese won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 3.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 3.5 goals
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72.4% of 1701 landed (95% range 70.3–74.5%); it had given them 77.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated under 3.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 925 of 1,328 times (69.7%), against an average rating of 69.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monza: 1.90 to 1.03 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the fifth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Udinese won 3–2 at Brianteo in Serie A on Saturday 29 August.

The goals

Udinese led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Udinese: Jakub Piotrowski (32’, assisted by Hassane Kamara), Hassane Kamara (45’) and Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (45’); Monza: Andrea Colpani (37’, assisted by Ricardo Mangas) and Gustavo Varela (63’, assisted by Ebenezer Akinsanmiro).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hassane Kamara’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

C. G. Allegretta showed one yellow card — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Monza: Lorenzo Lucchesi (46’).

What it changes

Monza move up from 20th to 18th (two league matches played).

Udinese stay second after this result (two league matches played).

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across 10 matches. Udinese are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hassane Kamara (Udinese) 8.6, Jakub Piotrowski (Udinese) 7.5 and Ricardo Mangas (Monza) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 72.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1232 of 1701).

Next up

Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.

Udinese next travel to Bologna on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Udinese: Bologna v Udinese, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Monza 2–3 Udinese · Serie A
  • Venue: Brianteo · Monza
  • Referee: C. G. Allegretta
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Monza 2 · draws 3 · Udinese 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monza 3W 0D 2L · Udinese 2W 1D 2L

Monza 2–3 Udinese (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 2.38 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 2.63 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMonza for / againstLineUdinese for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.25our book
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: C. G. Allegretta.

Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Thiam19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Pizzignacco19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Pizzignacco n 880.8
3.16/4
D. Thiam n 891.1
2.75/4

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Carboni290180 min00 /9021 /9021 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
E. Kouadio290180 min73.5 /9094.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
F. Delli Carri19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /9099 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Lucchesi18888 min22 /9044.1 /9011 /9033.1 /9044.1 /9011 /90
Manga Foe Ondoa290180 min31.5 /9073.5 /9000 /9073.5 /9021 /9000 /90
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Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Carboni n 887.5
16/2
0.32/0
O. Solet
S. Birindelli n 889.5
1.36/3
1.98/4
H. Kamara
P. Cutrone n 866
1.24/2
13/2
J. Ekkelenkamp
A. Bakoune n 858.3
2.78/4
1.24/2
—
O. Forson n 738.4
12/1
1.32/2
—
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Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Carboni n 887.5
1.25/3
S. Birindelli n 889.5
1.15/3
P. Cutrone n 866
1.25/2
A. Bakoune n 858.3
2.96/3
A. Colpani n 861.3
1.53/2
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Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gustavo Varela282164 min31.6 /9000 /9063.3 /9031.6 /9000 /9031.6 /90
Ricardo Mangas280160 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9021.1 /9000 /90
P. Cutrone255110 min00 /9021.6 /9054.1 /9010.8 /9064.9 /9010.8 /90
A. Colpani24590 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9022 /90
O. Forson24590 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9044 /9022 /90
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Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Carboni n 887.5
0.95/2
0.43/0
S. Birindelli n 889.5
0.64/1
0.43/0
P. Cutrone n 866
3.16/6
1.76/3
A. Colpani n 861.3
26/4
0.73/1
O. Forson n 738.4
1.34/0
0.72/0
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Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Carboni n 887.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Birindelli n 889.5
00/0
00/0
P. Cutrone n 866
0.31/1
0.52/1
O. Forson n 738.4
0.31/0
00/0
A. Bakoune n 858.3
00/0
0.21/0
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Udinese

Udinese Goalkeeper

Udinese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Okoye290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Udinese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Okoye n 890
2.45/4

Udinese Defensive

Udinese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Abankwah290180 min21 /9010.5 /9021 /9042 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
O. Solet290180 min31.5 /9021 /9031.5 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
M. Palma268135 min32 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9096 /9021.3 /9000 /90
E. Ebosse14545 min12 /9012 /9000 /9024 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Vojvoda290180 min73.5 /9021 /9000 /90136.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Udinese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Abankwah n 560.4
1.54/1
0.31/0
—
O. Solet n 890
16/2
0.85/1
A. Carboni
M. Okoye n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
H. Kamara n 883.5
0.54/0
0.42/1
S. Birindelli
J. Ekkelenkamp n 880.3
0.74/1
14/2
P. Cutrone
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Udinese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Solet n 890
2.46/6
J. Abankwah n 560.4
1.82/2
H. Kamara n 883.5
1.15/2
J. Ekkelenkamp n 880.3
2.27/5
J. Karlström n 884
1.26/3
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Udinese Attacking

Udinese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Ekkelenkamp284168 min00 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
N. Zaniolo276152 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9031.8 /9031.8 /90
I. Gueye25099 min00 /9000 /9032.7 /9000 /9032.7 /9000 /90
K. Davis16363 min11.4 /9000 /9022.9 /9011.4 /9000 /9011.4 /90
V. Bayo11818 min00 /9000 /90210 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Udinese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Solet n 890
0.94/2
0.32/0
M. Okoye n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Abankwah n 560.4
00/0
00/0
H. Kamara n 883.5
0.73/1
0.31/1
J. Ekkelenkamp n 880.3
1.47/3
0.63/1
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Udinese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Solet n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Okoye n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Abankwah n 560.4
00/0
00/0
H. Kamara n 883.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Ekkelenkamp n 880.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonzaUdinese
51%Possession49%
1.70Expected goals (xG)0.98
15Shots12
5Shots on target5
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box10
3Corners3
4Offsides1
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves3
420Passes418
82%Pass accuracy80%

Monza Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Thiam9000000005.7
Gustavo Varela9010210007
Ricardo Mangas9001004007.2
E. Kouadio9000001106.7
P. Cutrone9000102207
A. Carboni9000210206.2
A. Colpani8410212007.6
S. Birindelli8400110106.7
L. Lucchesi61000000Y6
Manga Foe Ondoa5400111206.5
M. Mout5400000306.2
M. Folorunsho sub3600101107.2
E. Akinsanmiro sub3601001007.3
F. Delli Carri sub2900000006.9
O. Forson sub1100001006.9
Dany Mota sub1100101006.3

Udinese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Solet9000001106.9
J. Karlström9000000006.5
H. Kamara9011111208.2
J. Ekkelenkamp9010220007.2
M. Okoye9000000007.3
J. Abankwah9000000106.6
M. Vojvoda8500002106.9
E. Ebosse6800001106.3
K. Davis6800102006.3
J. Piotrowski6010211308.2
Unai Gómez6000111106.3
Oier Zarraga sub3000000006.3
Lennon Miller sub3000000006.3
N. Bertola sub2200000006.7
I. Gueye sub2200100006.7
J. Arizala sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monza v Udinese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonzaWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
UdineseWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Monza 2 · 3 draws · Udinese 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-05-11 Udinese 1–2 Monza
  • 2024-12-09 Monza 1–2 Udinese
  • 2024-02-03 Udinese 0–0 Monza
  • 2023-10-29 Monza 1–1 Udinese
  • 2023-04-08 Udinese 2–2 Monza
  • 2022-10-19 Udinese 2–3 Monza
League standing · 2026/27
Monza#18 pos7 pts10 pl-7 GD
Udinese#20 pos5 pts11 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
Monza scored1.7
Udinese scored1.09
Monza conceded2.4
Udinese conceded2.27

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Monza 1.90 xG from 14 shots, Udinese 1.03 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Patrick Cutrone 26' · 0.64 xGAndrea Carboni 27' · 0.16 xGJurgen Ekkelenkamp 57' · 0.12 xGJakub Piotrowski 47' · 0.12 xGUnai Gómez 47' · 0.12 xGAndrea Colpani 11' · 0.12 xGAndrea Carboni 70' · 0.11 xGJakub Piotrowski 28' · 0.11 xGKeinan Davis 53' · 0.10 xGIdrissa Gueye 67' · 0.10 xGUnai Gómez 43' · 0.09 xGManga Foe Ondoa 7' · 0.07 xGJurgen Ekkelenkamp 31' · 0.07 xGMichael Folorunsho 92' · 0.06 xGGustavo Varela 59' · 0.04 xGKeinan Davis 8' · 0.04 xGGustavo Varela 19' · 0.02 xGDany Mota 86' · 0.02 xGManga Foe Ondoa 5' · 0.02 xGMichael Folorunsho 92' · 0.02 xGSamuele Birindelli 27' · 0.01 xGGustavo Varela 62' · 0.32 xG · goalAndrea Colpani 36' · 0.28 xG · goalJakub Piotrowski 31' · 0.10 xG · goalJurgen Ekkelenkamp 47' · 0.05 xG · goalHassane Kamara 44' · 0.01 xG · goal
Monza (attacking right)Udinese (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Monza1421.90
Udinese1231.03

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monza led on xG, 1.33 to 0.42. At full time, Monza led on xG, 1.90 to 1.03. The widest gap was 1.02 xG to Monza, in the 36th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.90.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Udinese 31 minGoal - Monza 36 minGoal - Udinese 44 minGoal - Udinese 47 minGoal - Monza 62 min
Monza 1.90 xGUdinese 1.03 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monza v Udinese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v Udinese was Under 3.5 goals (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Udinese?
In their last 6 meetings, Monza won 2, Udinese won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monza and Udinese?
Recent form — Monza 3W 0D 2L; Udinese 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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