NapoliComo

Napoli v Como result

Full-time · Napoli 1–2 Como

Serie A · · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Napoli 1–2 Como — Como won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.40 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,932 of 2,585 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Napoli 1.06, Como 1.10 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Como won 2–1 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Serie A on Sunday 30 August. It is Como’s first win over Napoli since 23 February 2025, after three meetings without one (the 5 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Como led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Como: Martin Baturina (17’, assisted by Assane Diao) and T. Douvikas (34’, assisted by Martin Baturina); Napoli: Rasmus Højlund (30’, assisted by Amir Rrahmani).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Douvikas’s goal on 34 minutes.

Discipline

Luca Pairetto, Italy showed one yellow card — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Napoli: Giovanni Di Lorenzo (37’).

What it changes

Napoli move down from second to ninth (two league matches played). Napoli have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Napoli have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Como move down from second to fourth (two league matches played). Como have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Como have conceded eight goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Como are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Napoli have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Como have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Martin Baturina (Como) 7.8, T. Douvikas (Como) 7.6 and Assane Diao (Como) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Napoli are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Como.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Napoli or Como (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Napoli next host Lazio on 8 November 2026.

Como next travel to Inter on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Napoli: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Como: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Napoli 1–2 Como · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Naples
  • Referee: Luca Pairetto, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Napoli 1 · draws 3 · Como 1 · 1.8 goals/game
  • Recent form: Napoli 3W 1D 1L · Como 3W 2D 0L

Napoli 1–2 Como (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
6.13 / 7.13
Corners
against 2.63 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.43 yellows
Referee · Luca Pairetto, Italy
24.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNapoli for / againstLineComo for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Luca Pairetto, Italy — 4.43 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 24.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Napoli

Napoli Goalkeeper

Napoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Meret19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Meret n 888.8
1.95/1

Napoli Defensive

Napoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Amir Rrahmani19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /901313 /9000 /9000 /90
Giovanni Di Lorenzo19090 min33 /9000 /9011 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Spinazzola19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Rafa Marín18181 min11.1 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9033.3 /9000 /90
S. Lobotka19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. McTominay n 890
15/3
2.56/5
—
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
0.95/2
0.74/1
Álex Valle
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.85/1
0.75/0
Álex Valle
S. Lobotka n 873.8
0.53/0
1.77/2
—
L. Spinazzola n 873.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
—
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Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
1.56/3
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
1.35/2
S. Lobotka n 873.8
1.25/3
L. Spinazzola n 873.6
1.25/3
S. McTominay n 890
0.32/0
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Napoli Attacking

Napoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Højlund17878 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Alisson Santos16666 min00 /9000 /9022.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Lang12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /90
S. Lobotka19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
S. McTominay19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /90
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Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. McTominay n 890
2.57/6
1.14/2
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
0.95/2
0.43/0
L. Spinazzola n 873.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
S. Lobotka n 873.8
0.21/0
00/0
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Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. McTominay n 890
0.43/0
00/0
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Spinazzola n 873.6
00/0
0.21/0
A. Meret n 888.8
00/0
0.11/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Como

Como Goalkeeper

Como — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jean Butez19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jean Butez n 890
1.95/2

Como Defensive

Como — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Álex Valle19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /90
Jacobo Ramón Naveros19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Chalobah19090 min22 /9022 /9022 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
Luis Milla19090 min11 /9033 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Paz18989 min88.1 /9000 /9000 /901313.1 /9055.1 /9000 /90
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Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Douvikas n 877.6
1.47/3
1.25/3
—
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 884.4
0.95/2
0.83/1
—
Álex Valle n 880.8
0.74/1
0.73/1
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
N. Paz n 884.3
27/3
1.13/3
—
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Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Valle n 880.8
1.76/3
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 884.4
1.16/2
T. Douvikas n 877.6
0.32/0
N. Paz n 884.3
3.77/6
Jesús Rodríguez n 857.3
1.64/3
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Como Attacking

Como — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Douvikas19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
Assane Diao14545 min00 /9000 /9024 /9000 /9024 /9012 /90
Luis Milla19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9022 /90
N. Paz18989 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
Jesús Rodríguez17171 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /90
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Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Douvikas n 877.6
1.77/3
1.36/2
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 884.4
1.36/2
0.42/1
Álex Valle n 880.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Paz n 884.3
2.47/5
1.25/2
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Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Douvikas n 877.6
0.64/0
00/0
Álex Valle n 880.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Jean Butez n 890
00/0
00/0
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 884.4
00/0
00/0
N. Paz n 884.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NapoliComo
42%Possession58%
1.39Expected goals (xG)1.05
13Shots21
2Shots on target6
7Shots off target10
4Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box13
2Corners7
9Offsides0
9Fouls5
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves1
442Passes609
87%Pass accuracy91%

Napoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Meret9000000006.9
Giovanni Di Lorenzo90000002Y6.2
Amir Rrahmani9001001206.6
Rafa Marín9000000207.2
S. Lobotka9000000006.6
M. Politano9000002107.2
A. Zambo Anguissa8000101106.3
R. Højlund8010210006.9
M. Olivera5600201206.6
S. McTominay5600000006.2
N. Lang5600101106.9
L. Spinazzola sub3400000007.3
K. De Bruyne sub3400104107.2
Alisson Santos sub3400100006.3
David Neres sub1000000006.7
L. Lucca sub1000111006.5

Como Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jean Butez9000000107
Jacobo Ramón Naveros9000101207.5
T. Chalobah9000001107.2
Álex Valle9000203106.3
Luis Milla9000001207.2
T. Douvikas9010322007.5
N. Paz8100202206.7
Lucas Da Cunha6600102207.3
Assane Diao6501212106.7
Yan Couto5800000206.3
M. Baturina5811422007.6
I. Smolčić sub3200000206.9
M. Caqueret sub3200001006.7
M. Kempf sub2500000006.9
M. Perrone sub2400001006.7
Kaiki sub900111007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Napoli v Como — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NapoliDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
ComoDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Napoli 1 · 3 draws · Como 1 · 1.8 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 Como 0–0 Napoli
  • 2026-02-10 Napoli 1–1 Como
  • 2025-11-01 Napoli 0–0 Como
  • 2025-02-23 Como 2–1 Napoli
  • 2024-10-04 Napoli 3–1 Como
League standing · 2026/27
Napoli#8 pos14 pts10 pl+4 GD
Como#4 pos23 pts10 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Napoli scored1.7
Como scored1.8
Napoli conceded1.3
Como conceded0.8

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Napoli 1.06 xG from 13 shots, Como 1.10 from 21. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Noa Lang 18' · 0.28 xGScott McTominay 5' · 0.16 xGRasmus Højlund 5' · 0.15 xGNico Paz 42' · 0.11 xGMathías Olivera 54' · 0.09 xGNico Paz 77' · 0.09 xGTasos Douvikas 90' · 0.08 xGLorenzo Lucca 89' · 0.08 xGMartin Baturina 48' · 0.08 xGAssane Diao 21' · 0.07 xGKaiki 87' · 0.06 xGMathías Olivera 6' · 0.06 xGÁlex Valle 14' · 0.06 xGAlisson Santos 82' · 0.06 xGAssane Diao 48' · 0.05 xGÁlex Valle 4' · 0.04 xGFranck Zambo 57' · 0.04 xGNico Paz 51' · 0.03 xGNico Paz 77' · 0.03 xGTasos Douvikas 33' · 0.03 xGMartin Baturina 51' · 0.03 xGNico Paz 77' · 0.03 xGMartin Baturina 43' · 0.02 xGDavid Neres 91' · 0.02 xGJacobo Ramón 27' · 0.02 xGLucas Da Cunha 48' · 0.02 xGAlisson Santos 59' · 0.02 xGLucas Da Cunha 13' · 0.02 xGKevin De Bruyne 79' · 0.01 xGGiovanni Di Lorenzo 59' · 0.01 xGLucas Da Cunha 32' · 0.01 xGMartin Baturina 16' · 0.13 xG · goalTasos Douvikas 33' · 0.09 xG · goalRasmus Højlund 29' · 0.07 xG · goal
Napoli (attacking right)Como (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Napoli1311.06
Como2121.10

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Napoli 0.72, Como 0.60. At full time, xG was level: Napoli 1.06, Como 1.10. The widest gap was 0.40 xG to Napoli, in the 18th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Como 16 minGoal - Napoli 29 minGoal - Como 33 min
Napoli 1.06 xGComo 1.10 xGdots = goals · 34 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Napoli v Como?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Napoli v Como was Home or Away (best price 1.40 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Como?
In their last 5 meetings, Napoli won 1, Como won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Napoli and Como?
Recent form — Napoli 3W 1D 1L; Como 3W 2D 0L.

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