This Matchweek

ParmaCagliari

Parma v Cagliari result

Full-time · Parma 0–1 Cagliari

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Parma · Cagliari · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 0–1 Cagliari — Cagliari won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Parma 1.03, Cagliari 1.26 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Cagliari won 1–0 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Saturday 22 August. Cagliari are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Parma, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cagliari: Alessandro Romano (79’, assisted by Michel Adopo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alessandro Romano’s goal on 79 minutes.

Discipline

D. Perenzoni showed two yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Cagliari: Zé Pedro (10’) and Jacopo Fazzini (57’).

What it changes

Parma are 18th after this result (one league match played). Parma have scored eight goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Parma have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cagliari are third after this result (one league match played). Cagliari have scored nine goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Cagliari have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cagliari have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alessandro Romano (Cagliari) 8.9, Christian Ordoñez (Parma) 6.1 and Emanuele Valeri (Parma) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Cagliari, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Parma next host Bologna on 7 November 2026.

Cagliari next host Frosinone on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cagliari: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Parma 0–1 Cagliari · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
  • Referee: D. Perenzoni
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 0 · draws 2 · Cagliari 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 2W 0D 3L · Cagliari 3W 1D 1L

Parma 0–1 Cagliari (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.25
Corners
against 7 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParma for / againstLineCagliari for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2our book
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 7 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
9.13 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: D. Perenzoni.

Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Corvi19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
2.45/4

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Circati19090 min33 /9000 /9011 /9033 /9022 /9000 /90
E. Del Prato19090 min11 /9033 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Valeri19090 min55 /9044 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
M. Troilo19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Ordoñez19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9033 /9000 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Troilo n 890
15/2
0.54/0
A. Obert
E. Valeri n 876.8
0.95/1
0.42/1
Zé Pedro
C. Ordoñez n 854.4
0.82/1
1.25/1
—
A. Circati n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
—
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Circati n 890
2.37/5
C. Ordoñez n 854.4
2.36/3
E. Valeri n 876.8
2.26/4
M. Troilo n 890
1.36/4
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.95/2
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Sascha Britschgi18383 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9011.1 /90
S. Lontani17777 min22.3 /9000 /9033.5 /9033.5 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Touré16767 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9034 /9022.7 /90
M. Frigan12323 min00 /9000 /9013.9 /9013.9 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Ordoñez19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Valeri n 876.8
0.62/2
0.11/0
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.54/0
0.43/0
C. Ordoñez n 854.4
0.42/0
00/0
A. Circati n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Troilo n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Circati n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Troilo n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 876.8
00/0
00/0
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Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile1100100 min32.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 891.3
2.87/4

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Obert1100100 min43.6 /9021.8 /9000 /9065.4 /9021.8 /9000 /90
J. Rodríguez1100100 min21.8 /9000 /9010.9 /9087.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Zé Pedro1100100 min21.8 /9000 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9000 /90
A. Deiola15454 min00 /9046.7 /9011.7 /9046.7 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Kofler14646 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Adopo n 884.8
1.15/3
0.43/0
—
Zé Pedro n 875.5
16/1
0.42/1
E. Valeri
A. Obert n 889.3
0.64/1
0.65/0
M. Troilo
J. Rodríguez n 884.8
0.52/1
0.74/1
—
E. Caprile n 891.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Obert n 889.3
2.88/7
J. Rodríguez n 884.8
2.58/6
M. Adopo n 884.8
1.96/4
Zé Pedro n 875.5
1.56/4
G. Borrelli n 842.3
0.31/0
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Borrelli15555 min00 /9000 /9023.3 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /90
D. Maldini14646 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9000 /9012 /90
P. Mendy14545 min00 /9000 /9024 /9000 /9000 /9012 /90
M. Felici13333 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9012.7 /9000 /9012.7 /90
A. Romano1100100 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9021.8 /9021.8 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Zé Pedro n 875.5
0.63/1
00/0
M. Adopo n 884.8
0.32/0
00/0
J. Rodríguez n 884.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Caprile n 891.3
00/0
00/0
A. Obert n 889.3
00/0
00/0
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Adopo n 884.8
00/0
0.11/0
J. Rodríguez n 884.8
0.11/0
00/0
Zé Pedro n 875.5
00/0
0.11/0
E. Caprile n 891.3
00/0
00/0
A. Obert n 889.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ParmaCagliari
47%Possession53%
0.75Expected goals (xG)0.94
13Shots14
2Shots on target5
10Shots off target6
1Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box9
3Corners2
1Offsides0
6Fouls20
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves2
443Passes497
84%Pass accuracy90%

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Corvi9000000007
E. Del Prato9000200106.9
A. N'Diaye9000100306.3
E. Valeri9000213307.2
C. Ordoñez9000202607.7
E. Touré9000110006.5
M. Troilo8500001207.2
Abdou Konate8400100206.6
Mandela Keita7500001007
S. Lontani7500101107.2
Adrián Bernabé6600102107.2
P. Almqvist sub2400000106.3
R. Kouda sub1500001205.9
Ousmane Diallo sub1500000006.3
N. Elphege sub1200100006.5
B. Cremaschi sub1100000106.6

Cagliari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000007.2
A. Deiola9000100107
J. Rodríguez9000000107.3
A. Romano9010221408.2
H. Winks9000210006.7
M. Adopo9001002006.9
A. Obert8700002207.3
D. Maldini8700103106.7
Zé Pedro66001010Y6.7
J. Fazzini66001110Y6.2
P. Mendy6600211106.3
G. Zappa sub2400001006.6
G. Borrelli sub2400100206.9
M. Felici sub2400000006.2
G. Aurelio sub900000006.7
K. Mutandwa sub900000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
CagliariDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 0 · 2 draws · Cagliari 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-27 Parma 1–1 Cagliari
  • 2025-09-13 Cagliari 2–0 Parma
  • 2025-02-09 Cagliari 2–1 Parma
  • 2024-09-30 Parma 2–3 Cagliari
  • 2023-06-03 Parma 0–0 Cagliari
  • 2023-05-30 Cagliari 3–2 Parma
League standing · 2026/27
Parma#15 pos8 pts10 pl-7 GD
Cagliari#12 pos13 pts10 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.8
Cagliari scored0.9
Parma conceded1.5
Cagliari conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Parma 1.03 xG from 12 shots, Cagliari 1.26 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Niakhate Ndiaye 6' · 0.45 xGZé Pedro 36' · 0.34 xGAlessandro Deiola 45' · 0.26 xGNesta Elphege 92' · 0.23 xGPaul Mendy 35' · 0.11 xGPaul Mendy 3' · 0.08 xGAlessandro Romano 64' · 0.07 xGGennaro Borrelli 72' · 0.07 xGJacopo Fazzini 59' · 0.07 xGSimone Lontani 58' · 0.06 xGPaul Mendy 25' · 0.06 xGNdary Adopo 63' · 0.06 xGChristian Ordóñez 33' · 0.05 xGChristian Ordóñez 43' · 0.05 xGPaul Mendy 49' · 0.04 xGEnrico Del Prato 87' · 0.04 xGEnrico Del Prato 10' · 0.04 xGHarry Winks 68' · 0.04 xGEl Bilal Touré 12' · 0.03 xGAdrián Bernabé 41' · 0.02 xGDaniel Maldini 14' · 0.02 xGHarry Winks 51' · 0.02 xGEmanuele Valeri 57' · 0.02 xGEmanuele Valeri 83' · 0.02 xGAbdou-Salam Konate 19' · 0.01 xGAlessandro Romano 78' · 0.02 xG · goal
Parma (attacking right)Cagliari (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Parma1201.03
Cagliari1411.26

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Parma 0.66, Cagliari 0.87. At full time, xG was level: Parma 1.03, Cagliari 1.26. The widest gap was 0.52 xG to Cagliari, in the 78th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Cagliari 78 min
Parma 1.03 xGCagliari 1.26 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v Cagliari?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Cagliari was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Cagliari?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 0, Cagliari won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Cagliari?
Recent form — Parma 2W 0D 3L; Cagliari 3W 1D 1L.

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